El Salvador vs Guatemala

El Salvador vs Guatemala: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 26.9 °C in El Salvador and 23.7 °C in Guatemala, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in El Salvador, by 3.2 °C, or 1.14 times that in Guatemala.

El SalvadorGuatemala
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El Salvador vs Guatemala: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 26.9 °C in El Salvador and 23.7 °C in Guatemala, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in El Salvador, by 3.2 °C, or 1.14 times that in Guatemala.
El SalvadorGuatemalaCMIP6 historical run, model median

Latest figures

°C · ERA5

CountryLatest10 years beforeRank in 2025Projected
El Salvador26.9 202526.941 of 23328.7 2100
Guatemala23.7 202523.6115 of 23325.6 2100

What the numbers say

  • El Salvador has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, El Salvador ranked 41 and Guatemala ranked 115 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts El Salvador at 28.7 °C and Guatemala at 25.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearEl SalvadorEl Salvador: CMIP6 historical run, model medianGuatemalaGuatemala: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202526.92723.723.9
202426.82724.224
20232726.924.123.9
202226.226.923.423.9
202126.52723.623.9
202026.326.823.823.8
201926.726.823.923.7
201826.426.723.223.7
201726.226.923.323.8
201626.626.723.623.6
201526.926.723.623.7
201426.326.523.123.4
201326.126.523.323.5
201225.926.52323.5
201125.626.523.223.4
201025.626.523.223.5
200926.126.523.323.4
200825.226.422.523.3
200725.626.522.923.3
200625.826.322.723.2
200525.726.42323.3
200425.826.422.623.3
200325.826.32323.2
20022626.422.823.3
200125.526.422.323.3
200025.326.322.223.3
199924.826.222.123.1
19982626.323.323.1
199726.126.222.923.1
199625.126.122.323
199525.42622.822.8
199425.92622.622.9
199325.525.922.422.8
199225.825.822.322.7
199125.926.122.523
199025.926.222.223.1
198925.326.12223
198825.52622.422.9
198726.22622.422.9
198625.426.12223
198525.4262222.8
19842525.821.922.7
19832625.822.522.6
198225.82622.322.8
198125.326.121.922.9
198025.625.922.122.8
197925.525.922.122.8
197825.425.922.222.7
197725.625.92222.8
197625.225.921.622.8
197525.125.822.222.7
197425.125.921.822.8
197325.225.922.322.7
197225.825.822.322.7
197124.925.82222.6
19702525.721.922.6
196925.225.822.322.7
19682525.821.522.7
196725.525.721.822.6
196625.125.821.622.6
196525.425.721.822.6
196425.225.72222.5
196325.225.621.922.5
196224.825.921.622.8
196124.825.921.622.7
196024.425.921.622.8
195924.725.821.422.6
195825.225.92222.7
195724.925.921.622.8
195624.325.820.922.7
195524.325.921.522.8
195424.525.921.222.8
195325.225.922.122.8
195224.925.921.822.7
19512525.92222.8
195024.125.921.122.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearEl SalvadorEl Salvador: CMIP6 historical run, model medianGuatemalaGuatemala: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–27.126.4–27.7–2423.2–24.7
2027–2726.5–27.7–2423.5–24.7
2028–27.226.9–27.6–24.123.7–24.7
2029–27.126.9–27.6–24.123.6–24.6
2030–27.126.6–27.7–2423.5–24.6
2031–27.226.7–27.7–24.123.6–24.8
2032–27.326.8–27.7–24.223.6–24.9
2033–27.126.6–27.6–2423.5–24.7
2034–27.126.7–27.9–24.123.5–24.9
2035–27.126.7–27.9–24.123.6–24.8
2036–27.326.8–27.6–24.223.7–24.7
2037–27.427–27.9–24.423.7–24.9
2038–27.527.1–27.9–24.523.9–24.9
2039–27.427–27.9–24.323.9–25
2040–27.427–27.9–24.323.8–25
2041–27.427.1–28–24.323.8–24.9
2042–27.426.9–28.2–24.423.6–25.3
2043–27.427.1–28.2–24.423.9–25.3
2044–27.427–28.2–24.423.9–25.3
2045–27.527.1–28.3–24.423.9–25.3
2046–27.627–28.3–24.623.9–25.5
2047–27.627.2–28.3–24.624.1–25.4
2048–27.727.3–28.3–24.724–25.5
2049–27.727.2–28.3–24.724.1–25.4
2050–27.827.2–28.3–24.624.1–25.5
2051–27.727.3–28.6–24.624.2–25.6
2052–27.827.1–28.6–24.724–25.6
2053–27.727.1–28.6–24.624–25.6
2054–27.727.4–28.4–24.824.2–25.5
2055–27.927.4–28.5–24.824.2–25.5
2056–27.827.2–28.6–24.724.1–25.6
2057–27.927.3–28.5–24.824–25.6
2058–27.927.2–28.8–24.824.1–26
2059–27.927.4–28.8–2524.2–25.9
2060–2827.4–28.7–2524.3–25.7
2061–27.927.4–28.7–24.924.3–25.9
2062–2827.3–28.9–24.924.1–26
2063–2827.4–28.9–2524.2–25.9
2064–2827.5–28.6–2524.3–25.8
2065–28.127.6–28.9–25.124.3–25.9
2066–28.127.5–28.9–2524.4–25.9
2067–2827.5–28.9–24.924.4–25.8
2068–28.327.7–28.8–25.224.5–25.9
2069–28.127.6–28.8–25.124.4–26.2
2070–28.127.6–28.9–25.124.4–26.1
2071–28.327.6–29–25.324.5–26
2072–28.327.6–29.1–25.424.5–26.2
2073–28.327.8–29.1–25.324.6–26.3
2074–28.227.7–29.1–25.224.6–26.3
2075–28.227.6–28.9–25.224.5–26
2076–28.327.7–28.9–25.324.5–26
2077–28.327.6–29–25.324.3–26
2078–28.427.7–29–25.324.6–26.1
2079–28.427.5–29.1–25.424.3–26.3
2080–28.327.6–29.1–25.324.5–26.3
2081–28.427.6–29.1–25.324.6–26.2
2082–28.427.5–29.3–25.424.4–26.2
2083–28.427.6–29.4–25.324.5–26.5
2084–28.527.7–29.5–25.524.5–26.5
2085–28.527.6–29.5–25.524.4–26.5
2086–28.327.6–29.3–25.424.4–26.5
2087–28.527.6–29.1–25.424.4–26.4
2088–28.527.9–29.4–25.524.6–26.6
2089–28.427.9–29.2–25.324.7–26.4
2090–28.527.7–29.3–25.424.6–26.4
2091–28.727.8–29.3–25.724.7–26.5
2092–28.628–29.4–25.624.9–26.4
2093–28.527.9–29.2–25.324.7–26.7
2094–28.528–29.4–25.424.7–26.5
2095–28.927.9–29.5–25.624.7–26.7
2096–28.627.8–29.3–25.524.7–26.7
2097–28.628–29.2–25.424.7–26.3
2098–28.827.8–29.6–25.724.6–26.8
2099–28.827.9–29.3–25.624.7–26.6
2100–28.728–29.6–25.624.8–26.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time