巴西与智利对比

巴西与智利：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：巴西为 282 夜，智利为 0.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年巴西的数值较高，高出 281.9 夜，是智利的 4,000 倍。

在地图上查看其变化

每年夜数 · CMIP6

巴西与智利：热带夜2014 年热带夜：巴西为 282 夜，智利为 0.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年巴西的数值较高，高出 281.9 夜，是智利的 4,000 倍。
巴西智利CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

  • 自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，巴西的数值都更高。
  • 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年巴西为 317.3 夜，智利为 1 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份巴西智利
20142820.1
2013282.50.1
2012283.60.1
2011281.80
2010280.20.1
2009279.20.1
2008277.80.1
2007275.90
2006275.40
2005275.80.1
2004278.50
2003276.70.1
2002276.20.1
2001277.70.1
2000273.30
19992710
1998273.60.1
1997270.90
1996264.70
1995263.80
1994263.60
1993258.30
1992252.80
1991269.70
1990272.50
1989267.10
1988264.70
1987265.90
1986265.70
1985260.60
1984261.10
1983255.90
1982264.80
1981265.30
19802620
1979261.20
1978259.70
1977261.80
1976258.40
1975252.40
1974258.70
19732610
1972258.10
1971256.50
1970254.50
1969255.10
1968254.90
1967250.30
1966254.50
1965250.80
1964246.20
1963241.90
1962257.90
1961258.20
1960260.30
1959255.70
1958258.10
1957256.60
1956251.20
1955257.20
19542580
1953255.20
1952255.80
1951256.30
1950254.40
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100
年份巴西智利
2015284257.6–299.50.10–0.2
2016281.5261.4–296.30.10–0.2
2017284.1263.2–297.80.10–0.3
2018283.4263.1–298.80.10–0.3
2019283.7262.9–302.40.10–0.3
2020286.3264.2–303.60.10–0.3
2021287.9266.9–302.30.10–0.3
2022289.6270.7–303.90.20.1–0.4
2023287.3270.5–3030.10.1–0.3
2024291.5268.2–304.60.10.1–0.3
2025289.6269.1–304.80.20–0.4
2026289.7266.2–305.10.20–0.5
2027289.5269.1–303.70.20.1–0.4
2028291.2271.9–3060.20.1–0.4
2029295.5276.3–309.60.20.1–0.5
2030292.2269.1–306.90.10.1–0.4
2031295.3274–308.90.20.1–0.6
2032296.8280.1–310.90.20.1–0.6
2033295.4273.3–308.50.20.1–0.4
2034294.3273.5–311.80.20.1–0.5
2035295.2274.4–310.90.20.1–0.5
2036295.1278.2–307.80.20.1–0.5
2037299.9283.7–311.30.30.1–0.7
2038299.6283.5–312.10.30.1–0.6
2039296.9279.9–3110.20.1–0.6
2040298.5279.4–311.90.30.1–0.6
2041301.4282.2–314.10.30.1–0.7
2042300.6277.8–314.70.30.1–0.8
2043298.2279.8–312.70.30.1–0.7
2044300.3281.2–315.60.30.1–0.7
2045299.9279.7–313.10.30.2–0.7
2046302.8285.8–316.60.40.2–0.9
2047303.3285–316.40.40.2–0.8
2048304.4287.3–317.30.40.2–1
2049305.4288.4–318.50.40.2–0.9
2050303.9283.9–316.20.40.2–0.9
2051305.7287.5–317.50.40.2–1
2052305.9290.6–318.80.40.2–1
2053305.3285.9–317.50.40.2–1
2054306.1288.4–319.30.40.2–1.2
2055306.4290.8–319.80.40.2–1.4
2056306.7288.3–321.10.40.2–1.1
2057306.4287.6–321.10.50.2–1.2
2058309291–321.40.40.2–1.6
2059310.4290.7–322.80.50.3–1.5
2060311.6294.4–325.10.50.3–1.3
2061307.5290.3–321.20.50.2–1.3
2062309291.5–322.80.40.2–1.4
2063310.8290.6–322.80.60.2–1.6
2064309.6290.2–321.10.50.3–1.3
2065311.1291.6–323.10.60.3–1.6
2066312.2294.2–324.20.60.3–1.5
2067310.9291.5–323.30.50.2–1.6
2068311.5293–324.50.60.3–1.6
2069310.6292.2–323.60.70.3–2
2070312.7293–325.30.60.3–1.7
2071311.5292.1–323.90.70.3–2
2072313.3297.8–325.50.70.3–1.7
2073313.8298.6–327.20.80.4–2.3
2074311.4292.4–323.50.70.3–1.8
2075310.9291.5–324.50.60.3–1.7
2076314.2294.4–327.70.70.3–1.9
2077315.1295.6–326.80.70.3–2.2
2078314.9296.3–327.10.80.3–2.1
2079313292.8–326.80.70.3–1.9
2080311.9294.7–325.40.80.3–2
2081313.5295.5–325.60.80.3–2.1
2082315296.8–327.10.70.3–1.9
2083315.7295.3–328.70.80.4–2.5
2084316.6298.5–327.90.90.4–2.4
2085317.4299.3–329.810.4–2.7
2086315.8294–3280.90.4–2.6
2087316.5297.9–328.50.90.4–2.5
2088315.6297.3–328.80.90.4–2.9
2089315296.6–327.90.80.4–2.4
2090316298.9–330.30.90.4–2.5
2091317298.1–330.610.4–2.9
2092317.6298.7–330.71.10.5–2.9
2093316.3297.5–328.610.4–3.6
2094316.4300.2–327.510.4–2.8
2095319299.8–330.71.10.4–3.2
2096317.7299.5–330.810.4–3.4
2097316.9297.8–32910.4–2.5
2098318.6299.9–331.910.5–3.1
2099318.1300–330.21.10.4–3.2
2100317.3298.4–330.310.4–3.2

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须知

  • 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
  • 来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
  • 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
  • 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

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