中国与肯尼亚：预期寿命

2023 年预期寿命：中国为 78 年，肯尼亚为 63.7 年（据 UN 估计）。 2023 年中国的数值较高，高出 14.3 年，是肯尼亚的 1.22 倍。

年 · UN

中国肯尼亚Our World in Data 估计值联合国预测（中方案）95% 预测区间世界

数据解读

自 1962 年超过肯尼亚以来，中国的数值一直更高。
根据联合国预测（中方案），2100 年中国为 89.8 年，肯尼亚为 74.4 年。
全球整体：2023 年为 73.2 年。

逐年数据

年 · UN

年份	中国	肯尼亚	世界
2023	78	63.7	73.2
2022	78.2	63.6	72.6
2021	78.1	61.2	70.9
2020	78	61.6	71.9
2019	77.9	62.9	72.6
2018	77.7	62.8	72.4
2017	77.2	62.7	72.1
2016	77.2	62.5	71.9
2015	77	62.3	71.6
2014	76.7	62	71.4
2013	76.5	61.7	71.1
2012	76.2	61.5	70.8
2011	75.9	61.3	70.4
2010	75.7	60.9	70.1
2009	75.3	60.5	69.7
2008	74.8	60	69.3
2007	74.8	59.4	69
2006	74.4	59.1	68.6
2005	74.1	58.5	68.1
2004	73.7	58	67.7
2003	73.4	57.4	67.4
2002	73	56.8	67.1
2001	72.7	56.5	66.8
2000	72.3	56.1	66.4
1999	72	55.9	66
1998	71.6	55.6	65.7
1997	71.2	55.5	65.5
1996	70.8	55.6	65.2
1995	70.4	55.9	64.9
1994	69.8	56.1	64.3
1993	69.5	56.7	64.4
1992	69.1	57.1	64.3
1991	68.6	57.8	64.1
1990	68.2	58.3	64
1989	67.9	60	63.8
1988	67.6	60.3	63.4
1987	67.3	60.7	63.2
1986	66.9	60.8	62.7
1985	66.5	60.9	62.2
1984	66.2	60.6	61.9
1983	65.7	60.3	61.5
1982	65.3	59.9	61.3
1981	64.8	59.6	60.9
1980	64.2	59.2	60.5
1979	63.7	58.7	60.2
1978	63.1	58.2	59.5
1977	62.5	57.7	59.2
1976	61.2	57.2	58.6
1975	61	56.6	58.3
1974	60.2	56	58.1
1973	59.5	55.5	57.7
1972	58.6	55	57.2
1971	57.7	54.5	56
1970	56.8	54.1	56.3
1969	56	53.7	56
1968	55.2	53.3	55.6
1967	54.4	52.8	55.1
1966	53.7	52.4	54.6
1965	53	51.9	54
1964	52.3	51.3	54.3
1963	51.7	50.8	53.7
1962	51	50.1	53.2
1961	40.2	49.3	50.4
1960	33.4	48.5	47.8
1959	40.2	47.5	49.6
1958	48.8	46.5	51.6
1957	48.4	45.3	51.1
1956	47.8	43.5	50.7
1955	47.2	42.3	50.2
1954	46.8	41	49.7
1953	45.9	39.8	48.8
1952	45.3	38.6	48.2
1951	44.6	38	47.1
1950	43.8	36.9	46.4
1949	41	–	–
1945	–	28.8	–
1942	37	–	–
1937	–	26.4	–
1936	35	–	–
1934	34	–	–
1930	32	–	–
1927	–	23.9	–

12.3Our World in Data 估计值

联合国预测（中方案） · 2024–2100

年份	中国	肯尼亚	世界
2024	7876.6–79.4	63.862.4–65.3	73.3
2025	78.476.6–80.1	6461.9–66	73.5
2026	7977–80.9	64.261.7–66.6	73.8
2027	79.276.9–81.3	64.461.5–67.2	73.9
2028	79.476.9–81.7	64.561.4–67.6	74.1
2029	79.676.8–82	64.761.1–68	74.2
2030	79.876.8–82.5	64.961.1–68.4	74.4
2031	8076.7–82.6	65.160.9–68.9	74.5
2032	80.277–83	65.260.8–69.3	74.7
2033	80.476.8–83.5	65.460.9–69.7	74.8
2034	80.677.1–83.8	65.560.9–69.9	75
2035	80.877.1–84	65.760.8–70.3	75.1
2036	8177.1–84.3	65.860.9–70.7	75.3
2037	81.277.1–84.7	6660.8–70.9	75.4
2038	81.477.2–84.9	66.260.9–71.2	75.5
2039	81.577.2–85.2	66.360.7–71.6	75.7
2040	81.777.4–85.4	66.561.2–71.9	75.8
2041	81.977.2–85.6	66.661.1–72.2	75.9
2042	82.177.4–85.8	66.761–72.3	76.1
2043	82.277.4–86.2	66.961.1–72.8	76.2
2044	82.477.5–86.3	6760.8–73	76.3
2045	82.677.7–86.5	67.260.9–73.4	76.5
2046	82.777.7–86.8	67.361–73.6	76.6
2047	82.977.9–86.9	67.561.2–74.1	76.7
2048	83.177.7–87.1	67.661.2–74.2	76.8
2049	83.277.9–87.3	67.761.2–74.4	76.9
2050	83.477.9–87.5	67.961.4–74.6	77
2051	83.577.9–87.7	6861.4–74.8	77.1
2052	83.778.2–88	68.161.5–75.1	77.2
2053	83.878.2–88.4	68.261.6–75.1	77.3
2054	8478.4–88.4	68.461.6–75.4	77.4
2055	84.178.4–88.7	68.561.4–75.5	77.6
2056	84.378.8–89.1	68.661.5–75.6	77.7
2057	84.578.8–89.4	68.861.5–75.7	77.8
2058	84.679.1–89.6	68.961.6–76	77.9
2059	84.779–89.6	6961.3–76.2	78
2060	84.979.2–89.9	69.261.4–76.3	78.1
2061	8579.4–90	69.361.3–76.5	78.2
2062	85.279.4–90.2	69.461.4–76.8	78.3
2063	85.379.4–90.4	69.561.6–77	78.4
2064	85.579.7–90.5	69.761.5–77.3	78.5
2065	85.680–90.9	69.861.8–77.5	78.6
2066	85.779.9–91.1	69.961.7–77.8	78.7
2067	85.980.1–91.2	70.161.7–78	78.8
2068	8680.1–91.5	70.261.9–78.2	78.9
2069	86.180.2–91.6	70.361.9–78.4	79
2070	86.380.4–91.7	70.461.8–78.6	79.1
2071	86.480.4–91.9	70.662.1–78.8	79.2
2072	86.580.5–92.2	70.762.3–78.9	79.3
2073	86.680.8–92.4	70.862.4–79.1	79.4
2074	86.881.1–92.7	70.962.5–79.7	79.4
2075	86.981.1–92.9	71.162.5–79.7	79.5
2076	8781.1–93.1	71.262.5–80	79.6
2077	87.181.2–93.2	71.362.4–80.1	79.7
2078	87.381.5–93.5	71.462.5–80.4	79.8
2079	87.481.4–93.6	71.662.4–80.6	79.9
2080	87.581.5–93.8	71.762.7–80.8	80
2081	87.681.7–93.8	71.862.7–81.2	80.1
2082	87.781.9–94.1	7262.6–81.3	80.2
2083	87.881.9–94.1	72.162.7–81.6	80.3
2084	8882.2–94.2	72.262.8–81.7	80.3
2085	88.182.3–94.5	72.462.7–82.1	80.4
2086	88.282.4–94.7	72.562.9–82.1	80.5
2087	88.382.6–94.9	72.663.1–82.4	80.6
2088	88.482.7–95.1	72.863–82.6	80.7
2089	88.582.9–95.2	72.963.2–82.8	80.8
2090	88.783–95.3	7363.2–83.1	80.9
2091	88.883–95.4	73.263.3–83.2	81
2092	88.983–95.7	73.363.6–83.5	81
2093	8982.9–95.9	73.463.3–83.6	81.1
2094	89.183–95.9	73.663.5–83.9	81.2
2095	89.283.1–96.2	73.763.7–84.1	81.3
2096	89.483.2–96.3	73.863.5–84.4	81.4
2097	89.583.3–96.5	7463.7–84.5	81.5
2098	89.683.2–96.6	74.163.7–84.6	81.6
2099	89.783.4–96.9	74.263.7–84.8	81.7
2100	89.883.5–97.2	74.464.1–85.2	81.7

分别查看各国

须知

假如当年的死亡率在其一生中保持不变，新生儿平均能活多少年。
来源：UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024。
1950 年以前：Our World in Data, long-run life expectancy。
虚线为联合国预测（中方案），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其95% 预测区间。
排名基于 2023 年有数值的 229 个国家，从高到低排列。
浅色线为同一来源统计的全球整体数值。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

中国与肯尼亚对比

健康

人口与社会

经济

教育

政治

冲突

冲突死亡人数中国：2022 年为 0 人死亡肯尼亚：2022 年为 81 人死亡

中国与肯尼亚：预期寿命

数据解读

逐年数据

分别查看各国

须知

中国与肯尼亚对比

健康

人口与社会

经济

教育

政治

冲突

军用

气候

技术与环境