埃及与土耳其：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：埃及为 145 夜，土耳其为 19.8 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年埃及的数值较高，高出 125.2 夜，是土耳其的 7.32 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

埃及土耳其CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，埃及的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年埃及为 183.4 夜，土耳其为 45.5 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	埃及	土耳其
2014	145	19.8
2013	145	18.5
2012	145.1	18.7
2011	144.7	18.5
2010	143.5	18.7
2009	140.2	17.6
2008	142.6	18.2
2007	140.5	16.6
2006	139.6	17.7
2005	140	17.2
2004	141.3	17.1
2003	141	17.6
2002	137.7	16.8
2001	139	17.3
2000	134.8	16.4
1999	135.5	15.9
1998	133	14.7
1997	134	15
1996	132.1	14.8
1995	130.2	14.1
1994	129.8	13.5
1993	123.6	12.1
1992	126.1	11.5
1991	129.7	13.4
1990	129.7	14.6
1989	126	13.1
1988	124.3	12.9
1987	125.8	12.5
1986	128.9	13.3
1985	125.7	12.4
1984	119.4	11.9
1983	119.4	10.7
1982	120.7	12.4
1981	122.6	12.2
1980	124.9	12.4
1979	119.2	12
1978	122.6	11.5
1977	121.3	11.2
1976	123.2	12
1975	121.9	11.5
1974	123.1	11.8
1973	123.5	11.6
1972	120.1	11.5
1971	120.7	12.1
1970	119.7	11.6
1969	118.3	12
1968	119.4	12
1967	116.2	11.3
1966	116.1	11.5
1965	112.9	10.8
1964	116.4	11.2
1963	120.2	12
1962	118.9	11.8
1961	118.7	12
1960	123.6	12.9
1959	123.2	12.6
1958	120.7	13
1957	122.4	12.2
1956	122.7	12.7
1955	119.4	11.9
1954	120.8	11.9
1953	121.3	12.9
1952	120.7	12.1
1951	121.2	12.5
1950	118.8	12.3

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	埃及	土耳其
2015	149.6131.4–164.2	22.216.2–29.8
2016	147.7133.5–160.2	21.114.7–29.6
2017	150.8134.8–163.2	21.914.3–29.4
2018	147.4133.4–165.6	22.916–29.9
2019	149.6132.7–164	21.916.4–29.5
2020	150.8136.4–164.7	23.617–31.6
2021	152.1137.8–168.1	2317.1–30.9
2022	154138.1–170.6	23.617.3–31.6
2023	154.4139–168.4	24.717.8–33.4
2024	155.8141.7–168.5	25.418.6–34.1
2025	154.5139.6–168.1	2518.1–33
2026	155.1144.5–165.9	25.618.3–34.1
2027	154.2139.5–166.3	24.816.9–34.8
2028	154.5141.8–168.6	25.218.7–32
2029	156.3139.9–169.5	26.219.8–34.4
2030	156.3143.1–169.1	25.919.3–34.5
2031	155.5141.5–171.2	26.419.7–35.1
2032	158.3144.6–170.4	27.219.9–35.6
2033	159.9143.8–172.9	28.721.4–36.9
2034	159.8144.9–173.2	27.620.8–34.7
2035	163.5146.6–175.8	28.721.7–37
2036	156.2143.7–170.6	28.720.9–38.1
2037	158.8142.9–173.8	29.721.3–38.6
2038	164.9146.1–177.8	29.922–41.6
2039	161.8146.1–180.1	30.923.6–40.3
2040	161.6147.9–176.5	30.923.2–40.9
2041	163.7149.4–177.3	30.122.2–40.5
2042	166.5149.7–180.6	29.920.1–40.7
2043	163.6150.3–176.8	3123.6–40.4
2044	162.2147–178	30.823.1–43.5
2045	167.2152.5–181	32.424–43.1
2046	166149–181.1	32.923.5–42.8
2047	165.9151.8–181.5	32.324.1–44.9
2048	167.2154.5–180.1	34.123–45.9
2049	165.3148.7–177.9	31.622.1–43.2
2050	170152.8–183	33.423.8–44.2
2051	165.6152.7–179.5	34.125–43.1
2052	167.3156–180.2	33.325.3–42.6
2053	170.1153.6–183.8	35.326.6–44.2
2054	169153.3–183	34.624–44.1
2055	170.5153.5–183.3	35.425.9–47.7
2056	168.3151.2–181.4	34.424.1–45.6
2057	166.8150.7–185.3	36.326–47.4
2058	171.8154.2–188.2	36.425.8–51.8
2059	173.3157.8–188.6	37.124.8–48.1
2060	170.5154.8–189.3	35.826.7–48.3
2061	170.3155.1–184.6	38.826.3–49.7
2062	172.1155.2–185.7	37.725.3–49.5
2063	169.7152.8–182.6	38.426.6–51.7
2064	172.3155.9–187.2	38.928.4–49.9
2065	173.3159.7–189.9	39.628.6–49.4
2066	170155–187.7	36.325–49.1
2067	176.2161.5–190	38.327.7–50.7
2068	174.6157.3–193.1	39.928–50.7
2069	175.8158.8–191.7	39.729.2–52.2
2070	173.3158.3–191.7	39.527.6–51.7
2071	176.8158.1–194.7	39.829.1–51.7
2072	177.6160.8–192.1	41.928.9–54.2
2073	176159.2–189.3	40.927.2–54.6
2074	171.9156.5–194.1	39.428–51.9
2075	171.8157–191.9	39.828.4–53.9
2076	177161–194.6	41.529.1–53.7
2077	179.7157–194.1	41.329–53.3
2078	178.4161–195	42.231.3–52.9
2079	178.2160.2–193.7	4430.8–56.6
2080	178.5163–193.3	43.432.5–54.9
2081	177.2160–192.8	42.131.7–54.6
2082	178.8164.5–193.3	43.630.9–56
2083	180.6164.4–195.7	4629.6–57.6
2084	181.4162.4–197.8	45.131–56.8
2085	178.8163–196.7	43.330.3–54.5
2086	181.9166.6–198.8	43.830.2–56.4
2087	178156.4–194.3	44.229.2–59
2088	177.8163.5–196	44.932.7–58.1
2089	180.9163.5–198.9	44.630.7–59.3
2090	179.9162.4–197.8	46.132.8–59.2
2091	184.2165.1–198.9	45.332.2–61.2
2092	180.3162.9–196.3	45.631.1–59.2
2093	181.1166.1–198.2	47.631.5–61.8
2094	185.4168–198.9	47.533.7–61.2
2095	181.9165.5–197.3	46.232.3–60.2
2096	183.1163.5–200.3	45.731.1–60.7
2097	181.5165.4–198.9	48.432.1–61
2098	181.7162.1–198.8	46.431.2–59.5
2099	179.9164.2–197.8	45.430.8–58
2100	183.4162.9–198.1	45.530.4–60.1

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数埃及：2022 年为 157 人死亡土耳其：2022 年为 128 人死亡