埃塞俄比亚与土耳其：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：埃塞俄比亚为 144.9 夜，土耳其为 19.8 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年埃塞俄比亚的数值较高，高出 125.1 夜，是土耳其的 7.31 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

埃塞俄比亚土耳其CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，埃塞俄比亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年埃塞俄比亚为 201.7 夜，土耳其为 45.5 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	埃塞俄比亚	土耳其
2014	144.9	19.8
2013	145.1	18.5
2012	144.4	18.7
2011	145.6	18.5
2010	142.4	18.7
2009	140.3	17.6
2008	137.1	18.2
2007	138.2	16.6
2006	138.7	17.7
2005	138.1	17.2
2004	139.1	17.1
2003	138.8	17.6
2002	137.4	16.8
2001	139.2	17.3
2000	135.5	16.4
1999	132.6	15.9
1998	132.9	14.7
1997	132.7	15
1996	129.7	14.8
1995	127.8	14.1
1994	126.3	13.5
1993	122.5	12.1
1992	119.7	11.5
1991	129.5	13.4
1990	132.7	14.6
1989	129.4	13.1
1988	128.2	12.9
1987	126.4	12.5
1986	128.1	13.3
1985	122.8	12.4
1984	124.8	11.9
1983	120.6	10.7
1982	126.3	12.4
1981	127	12.2
1980	124.9	12.4
1979	125.1	12
1978	124.7	11.5
1977	125.8	11.2
1976	122	12
1975	119.5	11.5
1974	124	11.8
1973	125.2	11.6
1972	122.3	11.5
1971	120.6	12.1
1970	121.3	11.6
1969	120.4	12
1968	119.1	12
1967	118.1	11.3
1966	119.5	11.5
1965	117.4	10.8
1964	116.6	11.2
1963	115.7	12
1962	121.6	11.8
1961	124.2	12
1960	124.5	12.9
1959	121.6	12.6
1958	124.1	13
1957	123.2	12.2
1956	120.9	12.7
1955	122.8	11.9
1954	121.6	11.9
1953	121.2	12.9
1952	122.8	12.1
1951	123	12.5
1950	122	12.3

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	埃塞俄比亚	土耳其
2015	146.6129.4–163.9	22.216.2–29.8
2016	144.1127–160.6	21.114.7–29.6
2017	148.3129.2–164.9	21.914.3–29.4
2018	149.6131.6–166	22.916–29.9
2019	146.2129.3–166	21.916.4–29.5
2020	149.4129.6–168.5	23.617–31.6
2021	150.7132.1–170	2317.1–30.9
2022	154135.7–171.2	23.617.3–31.6
2023	153.5135.4–171.4	24.717.8–33.4
2024	156.5135.9–175.6	25.418.6–34.1
2025	154132.6–175.5	2518.1–33
2026	153132–175	25.618.3–34.1
2027	154.2134.4–175.3	24.816.9–34.8
2028	157.5138.3–177.4	25.218.7–32
2029	159.2141.8–176.8	26.219.8–34.4
2030	156.8136.3–175.7	25.919.3–34.5
2031	161.4142.4–179.1	26.419.7–35.1
2032	161.7143.1–182.5	27.219.9–35.6
2033	161.8140–180.9	28.721.4–36.9
2034	158.8141.5–184.3	27.620.8–34.7
2035	162141.7–184.2	28.721.7–37
2036	160.5143.6–179.4	28.720.9–38.1
2037	165145.8–184.5	29.721.3–38.6
2038	167.1146.5–186.7	29.922–41.6
2039	164.5143.9–186	30.923.6–40.3
2040	165.9146.2–190.1	30.923.2–40.9
2041	167.9146.3–189.3	30.122.2–40.5
2042	167.7146–194.3	29.920.1–40.7
2043	167.3145.5–190.8	3123.6–40.4
2044	168.2148.2–189.9	30.823.1–43.5
2045	170.7149.1–192.3	32.424–43.1
2046	175.3150–198.6	32.923.5–42.8
2047	176.9151.8–197.5	32.324.1–44.9
2048	177.5155.4–199.1	34.123–45.9
2049	177.5157.9–198.4	31.622.1–43.2
2050	176.4153.8–199	33.423.8–44.2
2051	176.6155.3–199.7	34.125–43.1
2052	177155.6–200.7	33.325.3–42.6
2053	176.7154.2–201.6	35.326.6–44.2
2054	177.6156.9–201.1	34.624–44.1
2055	180.6155.2–202.3	35.425.9–47.7
2056	177.3155–205.4	34.424.1–45.6
2057	180.3159.3–205.5	36.326–47.4
2058	182.6153.7–209.4	36.425.8–51.8
2059	185.7160.1–210.6	37.124.8–48.1
2060	185.9160.3–210.4	35.826.7–48.3
2061	183.3158.3–211.7	38.826.3–49.7
2062	183.8155.4–213	37.725.3–49.5
2063	184.5159.1–208.6	38.426.6–51.7
2064	186.7160.6–207.2	38.928.4–49.9
2065	183.7162.4–212.9	39.628.6–49.4
2066	187.1165.4–210.1	36.325–49.1
2067	187.1160.7–214.5	38.327.7–50.7
2068	187.6160.4–215.8	39.928–50.7
2069	187.8165.4–215.8	39.729.2–52.2
2070	187.9161.6–216.9	39.527.6–51.7
2071	192.7165.2–219.5	39.829.1–51.7
2072	193.6167.4–214.5	41.928.9–54.2
2073	193.3169.7–218.7	40.927.2–54.6
2074	188.5163.9–219	39.428–51.9
2075	191.9162.7–218.6	39.828.4–53.9
2076	195166.9–218.9	41.529.1–53.7
2077	194.1169.3–223.3	41.329–53.3
2078	192.1168.4–218.6	42.231.3–52.9
2079	193.4166.6–220.9	4430.8–56.6
2080	196.1169.2–222.4	43.432.5–54.9
2081	194.6171–221.4	42.131.7–54.6
2082	195.4168.8–219.9	43.630.9–56
2083	194.6168.2–228.7	4629.6–57.6
2084	198.5170.7–224.2	45.131–56.8
2085	198.4173.1–226.3	43.330.3–54.5
2086	198.6172.3–228.4	43.830.2–56.4
2087	199170.6–226.6	44.229.2–59
2088	199170.7–227.7	44.932.7–58.1
2089	198.6171.2–226.2	44.630.7–59.3
2090	198.6173.4–227.7	46.132.8–59.2
2091	203.6171.9–232.1	45.332.2–61.2
2092	200.7172.5–229.7	45.631.1–59.2
2093	201.4175.2–228.6	47.631.5–61.8
2094	200.2174–228.9	47.533.7–61.2
2095	203.9175.7–231.9	46.232.3–60.2
2096	199.1170.5–230.8	45.731.1–60.7
2097	198.4171.8–229.3	48.432.1–61
2098	198.7172.1–231.5	46.431.2–59.5
2099	201.8172.8–233.3	45.430.8–58
2100	201.7175.1–231.8	45.530.4–60.1

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

埃塞俄比亚与土耳其对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数埃塞俄比亚：2022 年为 102,900 人死亡土耳其：2022 年为 128 人死亡