希腊与西班牙：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：希腊为 51.4 夜，西班牙为 16.8 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年希腊的数值较高，高出 34.6 夜，是西班牙的 3.05 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

希腊西班牙CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，希腊的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年希腊为 88.5 夜，西班牙为 51.6 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	希腊	西班牙
2014	51.4	16.8
2013	50.6	17.9
2012	50	16.4
2011	50.3	16.2
2010	49.8	17.5
2009	48.2	16.2
2008	50.1	16.5
2007	45.5	15.3
2006	48.4	17.6
2005	45.8	16.5
2004	47.8	16.4
2003	47.3	14.5
2002	46.2	14.9
2001	46.4	15.6
2000	46.3	13.8
1999	44	13.9
1998	42	13.5
1997	42.3	12.7
1996	42.4	12.9
1995	40.7	11.4
1994	39.4	12.1
1993	37.1	11
1992	36.2	9.5
1991	39.8	12.3
1990	41.3	13.1
1989	38.7	11.5
1988	38.2	12.3
1987	37.2	11.1
1986	38.7	9.2
1985	36.2	8.9
1984	36	8.9
1983	35	9.5
1982	36.5	10
1981	36.1	10.1
1980	36.4	9.6
1979	36.2	10.5
1978	36.4	11.1
1977	34.1	9.7
1976	36.4	8.3
1975	36	8.7
1974	35.4	10
1973	35.2	8.9
1972	35.5	9.6
1971	37.9	8.4
1970	34.8	8
1969	35.6	9.2
1968	36.9	9
1967	34.5	8.8
1966	35.1	8.1
1965	32.6	7.6
1964	33.6	10.1
1963	36.3	8.7
1962	36.8	9.5
1961	36.3	9.4
1960	39.6	9.3
1959	39.2	10.2
1958	38.5	9.7
1957	36.8	9.5
1956	38.4	10.5
1955	37.3	10.4
1954	36.7	9.8
1953	38.3	9
1952	37.7	10.5
1951	38.6	10.2
1950	37.7	11.8

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	希腊	西班牙
2015	55.244.9–66.7	20.413.3–30.2
2016	53.740.8–66.1	20.113.2–33.4
2017	55.742.4–69.6	21.313.3–31.1
2018	55.643.5–70	22.815.6–34.2
2019	5644.8–67.6	22.714.6–33.6
2020	58.144.3–69.7	22.314.2–32.8
2021	58.746.7–69.5	23.114.2–34.2
2022	59.246.1–75.1	26.515–37.6
2023	59.247–72.7	25.215.5–35.2
2024	60.749.4–72.3	25.216.8–37
2025	61.947.1–73	24.914–36.5
2026	63.448.8–74.7	24.814.9–36.8
2027	58.844.2–74.1	26.817–38.3
2028	61.949.4–75.3	27.315.8–39.5
2029	63.752–77.8	2816–41.8
2030	63.553–76	27.816.8–38
2031	64.151.3–75.1	2817–39
2032	65.252.6–76.9	29.720.5–40.3
2033	65.552.4–78	28.920–39.2
2034	65.953.7–77.6	31.419.3–44.8
2035	68.154–82.6	30.619.2–43.3
2036	66.452–80.9	30.721.4–43.8
2037	6754.2–79.2	31.319.8–41.7
2038	69.255.3–84.5	31.621.5–45
2039	6956–83.2	31.723–43.8
2040	69.956.8–84.9	30.119–46
2041	6755.6–81.3	30.419.5–43.3
2042	69.452.3–85.4	31.521.5–43.1
2043	70.356.7–83.5	3219.4–47.6
2044	70.455.9–86.3	3221.8–45.9
2045	71.857.2–87.1	34.122.7–47.8
2046	70.954.4–85.4	33.921.1–47.3
2047	72.958.1–87.6	34.322.3–49
2048	74.854.9–89.6	35.723.1–46
2049	72.453.6–88.9	37.324.6–52.2
2050	73.358.6–90.7	37.425.7–52.7
2051	74.160.1–88.2	36.322.6–51.6
2052	73.960.9–87.8	38.224.4–51.2
2053	77.563.3–90.6	36.325.2–51.9
2054	76.162.2–90.9	3623–53
2055	76.659.8–93.6	39.126.3–52.3
2056	74.856.7–92.6	38.227–52.8
2057	75.361.4–92.4	40.526.6–53.5
2058	80.661.1–98.1	41.827–54.8
2059	79.261.3–95.1	39.225.5–55.2
2060	77.463.4–92.5	41.929.2–55
2061	79.663.2–95.1	42.629.2–58.6
2062	79.462.1–93.9	41.429–55.5
2063	78.163.7–95.2	45.225.2–59.7
2064	80.264.7–95.1	42.625.1–57.5
2065	80.865.9–96.9	40.825.4–61.7
2066	81.163.4–95	4228.9–57.3
2067	84.168.5–98	45.531.3–61.4
2068	84.166.3–99.5	41.528.4–58.9
2069	82.968.1–98.3	4630–59.7
2070	82.566.8–100.1	45.430.7–63.3
2071	82.964.8–99.1	45.931.7–62.2
2072	8669.2–101.5	47.130.2–62.5
2073	8464.3–98.4	46.630.5–63.8
2074	8264.5–99.4	43.429.5–61.4
2075	82.566.3–101	45.529–60.5
2076	85.964.1–99.9	46.930.2–64.9
2077	85.665.9–100.4	46.129.6–63
2078	8767.6–102.6	4729.9–67.3
2079	89.665.1–107.4	43.731.4–63.5
2080	84.769.2–104.5	46.830–63.9
2081	84.769.6–103.3	4733.2–65
2082	89.468.4–106.9	4834.3–63.4
2083	87.366–107	49.932.4–65.9
2084	90.469.5–105.1	49.234.7–65.4
2085	89.569.1–103.8	5037.5–66
2086	88.769.5–107.4	5133.7–67.6
2087	87.967–106.8	5236–70.2
2088	91.973–108.3	52.133.4–72.5
2089	8968.9–110.2	50.936.8–67.7
2090	91.272–107.5	52.832.7–72.3
2091	92.571.6–110.1	54.133.4–70
2092	89.368.9–109.2	51.532.8–66.4
2093	91.172.1–111.5	48.734.9–66.7
2094	90.971.8–112.6	50.331.4–70.1
2095	90.570.8–106.8	52.733.7–72.2
2096	9069.6–112.7	54.134.9–72.5
2097	92.172.7–111	53.136.1–71.9
2098	92.372.8–109.1	5234.3–70.7
2099	9270.7–109.8	55.737–70.7
2100	88.568.5–109.2	51.634.3–71.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

希腊与西班牙对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数希腊：2022 年为 0 人死亡西班牙：2022 年为 0 人死亡