圭亚那与委内瑞拉：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：圭亚那为 339.5 夜，委内瑞拉为 301.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年圭亚那的数值较高，高出 37.9 夜，是委内瑞拉的 1.13 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

圭亚那委内瑞拉CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，圭亚那的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年圭亚那为 361.4 夜，委内瑞拉为 345 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	圭亚那	委内瑞拉
2014	339.5	301.6
2013	339.7	302
2012	340.6	303.7
2011	338.5	301.3
2010	338	300.3
2009	338.1	300
2008	337.5	298.4
2007	334.7	296.4
2006	336	296.8
2005	336.7	296.8
2004	337.9	299.4
2003	335.8	295.2
2002	336	296.3
2001	337.8	298.7
2000	333.5	292.3
1999	333.8	291.6
1998	333.2	291.4
1997	332.9	290.5
1996	329.9	286.8
1995	329.4	285.4
1994	327.6	282.3
1993	325.4	279.5
1992	323.4	274.7
1991	332.2	289.7
1990	333	291.4
1989	328.5	283.8
1988	330	284.2
1987	329	284.2
1986	328.4	284.4
1985	325.3	278.3
1984	324.6	279.8
1983	321.5	274.3
1982	327.5	280.8
1981	327.7	283.4
1980	326.5	280.5
1979	325.8	281.1
1978	325.9	278.7
1977	326.1	281.2
1976	322.8	276.6
1975	319	272.3
1974	324.1	277.7
1973	324.8	278.9
1972	322.8	275.9
1971	323.8	276.5
1970	322.8	275.6
1969	321.8	275.6
1968	320	273.2
1967	317.5	271.5
1966	318.3	273.1
1965	318.9	272.1
1964	316.5	270.3
1963	315.4	268.9
1962	323.6	276.8
1961	324.4	278.6
1960	325.6	279.9
1959	322.3	276.1
1958	325.2	280.9
1957	323.6	277.6
1956	320.2	275.1
1955	324	277.7
1954	324.3	277.5
1953	323.3	277.3
1952	323.9	278.4
1951	323.2	277.5
1950	323.1	275.8

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	圭亚那	委内瑞拉
2015	342.5323.8–350.6	306.4280.3–320.1
2016	340.9324.8–349.8	303.9282.3–316.9
2017	343.8329.7–350.3	308.5288.7–319.9
2018	343.5330.7–350.7	307.6289.9–320.7
2019	342.3329.1–351.6	306.7288.7–321.7
2020	344.6329.7–352.5	310.2287.9–323.6
2021	345.3333.3–351.6	311.3295.3–324.1
2022	346.9332.5–355	314.4295–326.3
2023	345.1332.9–353.2	311.5294.4–326.5
2024	347.8337.1–355.4	316298.2–327.4
2025	346.8335.8–355.8	313.8294.2–329.5
2026	346.5334.2–355.6	314290.3–329.4
2027	347.2333–355.8	315.6292.6–328.8
2028	349334.8–356.9	317.7296.4–332.1
2029	350334.8–356.6	319.3296.9–332
2030	348.1334.4–355.9	317.7295–328.5
2031	349.9337–357.4	320.1295.9–331.8
2032	351.7339.8–358.9	321.4304.7–335
2033	350.8339–357	320.6301.8–331.2
2034	349.4336.4–357.6	318.1298.1–335
2035	349.9338.8–359.1	319.3302.3–335.9
2036	350.8339.3–358.2	320.5305.3–332.3
2037	352.6341.6–357.6	324.1307.2–334.1
2038	353341.7–359.6	325.8309.6–336.2
2039	352.5340.9–358.4	324.3307.9–335.8
2040	351.9341.7–360.1	323.5307.5–338.7
2041	352.9342.2–359.2	325.3309.6–336.6
2042	352340.6–360.9	324.8305.5–341.2
2043	351.8341.4–359.6	324.2307.1–337.7
2044	351.3341.3–360.4	324.1306.3–339.8
2045	354342.9–359.6	327.5309.7–338.6
2046	354.9343.1–360.9	329.6310.8–340.5
2047	354.8344.3–361.2	329.5313.9–341.5
2048	356344–361.8	331.2313.7–342.8
2049	355.8345.4–360.8	332.3314.9–340.5
2050	354.9344.2–361.8	330.9311.8–343.6
2051	354.9342.9–362.2	330.7310.1–344
2052	356.1345.4–362.6	332.4316.6–343.5
2053	355.8343.8–361.4	330.6312.7–343.6
2054	356.4345.9–361.6	331.9313.8–344.6
2055	356.1346.7–362.5	333317–345.8
2056	356.5345–363.7	332.7313.1–347.7
2057	357.8344.5–362.3	334.2315.2–345.3
2058	357.6345.3–362.4	333.5314.3–346.2
2059	357.6346.9–363	335.6317.1–348.3
2060	358.3347.8–363.6	337.4319.4–349
2061	357.9347.5–362.7	335.3317.3–347.2
2062	358.4346.9–363	335.9315–348.4
2063	359.6347.2–362.9	338317.5–347.9
2064	358.1348.1–363.4	336.3319.9–347.5
2065	358.8347.2–363.5	336.8319.9–349
2066	359348.7–363.1	337.9320.9–349.1
2067	359347.7–362.7	337.5317.9–348.2
2068	359.8346.4–364	339.3317.4–349.4
2069	358.3347.8–363.5	336.5318.1–349
2070	358.3346.2–363.3	336.4319.5–349.1
2071	359.8347.8–363	338.9319.1–349.1
2072	360347.7–364.2	340321.8–350.6
2073	360.3347.8–364	340.3322.9–351.4
2074	359.2348.3–363.3	338.9319.1–349.5
2075	359.2348.1–363.4	339.5318.1–349.2
2076	359.9349.4–364.1	339.8322.6–350.2
2077	360.4349.2–363.8	340.3322.1–351
2078	360.5349.4–363.8	340.2323–351
2079	360.2349.8–363.8	340.1320.9–351.4
2080	360.5348.2–364.5	341.4320.2–351.6
2081	360.4349.4–363.6	340.7322.5–351.3
2082	360.7350.5–363.4	341.6323.9–350.1
2083	360.4349.8–363.9	341.7323.3–353
2084	361.3349.5–364.6	343.3321.3–352.4
2085	361.9350.6–363.9	344.7322.8–353.5
2086	360.7350.5–363.8	341.4322.6–352.2
2087	360.9349.3–363.9	342.5322.4–352.2
2088	361.3347.8–364.9	342.9322.8–353.6
2089	361.6351.2–364.1	342.3324.8–353.1
2090	361.2350.5–364.1	341.9325.2–352.9
2091	361.8349.9–364.1	344.3323.4–353.3
2092	361.4350.2–365.2	344.3324.9–354.2
2093	361.1351–364.3	343324.8–353.6
2094	361.4351.5–363.9	343.9326.6–352.8
2095	361.9351.8–364.4	345.4325.4–354.5
2096	362350.4–365.2	343.7326–355.2
2097	360.9351.9–363.8	343.5324.6–351.9
2098	361.8349.8–364.2	344.5326.1–354.4
2099	361.6348.6–364.2	344.6324.8–353.8
2100	361.4351.1–364.3	345328.4–353.9

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

圭亚那与委内瑞拉对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数圭亚那：2022 年为 0 人死亡委内瑞拉：2022 年为 2 人死亡