海地与墨西哥：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：海地为 298.9 夜，墨西哥为 103.7 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年海地的数值较高，高出 195.2 夜，是墨西哥的 2.88 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

海地墨西哥CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，海地的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年海地为 346.8 夜，墨西哥为 142.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	海地	墨西哥
2014	298.9	103.7
2013	301.1	103.9
2012	301.5	102.8
2011	301	102.9
2010	298.6	101.5
2009	298.7	101.8
2008	296.4	100.1
2007	293.6	99.1
2006	294.2	99.8
2005	295.3	99.5
2004	298	99.4
2003	295.4	98.3
2002	295.6	99.1
2001	296	98.7
2000	291	97.9
1999	290.8	96.6
1998	291.4	95.8
1997	288	95.9
1996	287	93.8
1995	283.1	92.7
1994	282.6	90.7
1993	278.8	89
1992	277.7	88.5
1991	286.2	93.4
1990	291.1	94.9
1989	286.3	93
1988	282.7	92.1
1987	282.9	92
1986	281	90.2
1985	277.9	90
1984	277.7	88
1983	276.1	86.7
1982	280.4	88.7
1981	281.3	91.5
1980	280.2	90.1
1979	280.2	90.8
1978	277.8	89
1977	280.4	89
1976	276	89.1
1975	275.1	86.8
1974	278.1	87.9
1973	278.3	88.6
1972	276.6	87.7
1971	275.5	86.8
1970	272.2	86.1
1969	275.5	87.5
1968	274.5	87.1
1967	275	86.7
1966	277.8	86.4
1965	274.1	84.9
1964	274.8	84.7
1963	274.2	87.1
1962	278.6	88
1961	278.2	89.5
1960	278.2	89.7
1959	278.6	89.6
1958	281.6	89.1
1957	278	89
1956	277.9	88.5
1955	280.7	88.2
1954	277.6	88.4
1953	276.8	88.6
1952	279.7	87.8
1951	277.9	89.4
1950	276.8	88.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	海地	墨西哥
2015	305.5285.9–322.7	106.192.9–118.4
2016	306288.9–319.7	107.695–120
2017	307.5292–322.8	108.696.3–119.7
2018	308.8294.3–322.5	10997.1–120.4
2019	307.1290.7–322.4	110.396.4–123
2020	307.4293.2–321.3	109.696.8–121.8
2021	311.8296.6–324.5	111.296.9–124.1
2022	312.1298–329.1	109.796–121.7
2023	311.6297.9–324.7	111.898.6–125.3
2024	312.3294.2–326.9	112.298.2–126.2
2025	314.6291.3–328.7	11298.8–125.8
2026	316.3297.5–332.3	113.999.5–126.4
2027	316.4293.9–332.7	112.999.5–128.3
2028	316.4299.6–334.9	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	316.5298.3–333.6	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	314.8301.6–331.6	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	317.8303.5–333.7	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	321.4303.7–333.1	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	319.5302–332.4	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	319.5298.9–337.1	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	322.6304.3–335.1	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	321.3304.1–335.4	117.8105.1–131
2037	325310.6–336	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	322305.4–338.2	121107.5–133.4
2039	322.3305.5–339.8	121.3107–135.6
2040	324.1309.7–338.7	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	323.8310.9–339.7	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	325307.1–339.2	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	325.4306.3–339.9	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	326.8308.2–345.7	121.9108–135.6
2045	327312.5–341.6	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	330.7312.9–342.1	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	327.3313.3–343.2	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	331.4313.9–344.2	126.3113–140.3
2049	333.3314.4–344.6	127111.2–140.8
2050	331.2312.1–348	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	331.4314–342.3	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	331.5314.8–346	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	332.8314.2–342.8	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	331.7315.8–348.4	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	331.2317.8–348.8	129114.4–144.7
2056	330317.4–348.3	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	335.7314–347.6	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	335.3316.4–350.6	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	336.7319.6–349	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	337.6318.4–350	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	336.4318.8–349.6	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	336.1317.5–349.7	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	338320.8–354	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	336.6319.4–350.9	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	335.5318.9–349	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	338.8321.1–351.7	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	337.2317.8–350.8	133.3117–150.3
2068	340.4321.9–353.8	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	337.2320.2–351.6	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	339.5319.8–351.4	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	339.8320.1–353.6	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	342.6319.9–353.2	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	340.9320.2–353.6	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	340.9324.7–353.4	136119.7–152.2
2075	338.8321.7–353.5	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	344.1322–355.4	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	340.8321.6–354	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	340.6325.1–354.5	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	341.6323.7–354.4	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	340.3322.6–354.3	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	340322.6–353.4	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	342.4326.5–353.5	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	342.2326.4–352.5	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	345.5326.2–354.6	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	344325–355.4	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	344.9326.6–355.1	139.8121–157.8
2087	342.6322.5–354.4	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	342.5328.2–356.1	141121.8–159.9
2089	345.8326.6–358	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	343.2328.2–355.8	141.2123–160.7
2091	344.7323.1–357.7	141.8123–161.6
2092	346.5326.6–356.5	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	341.4324.8–356.7	141.4124.3–161
2094	341.4327.9–355.8	142123.3–159.6
2095	345.6326.2–356.1	143.5124–160.7
2096	344327.2–358.3	142.3125–161.3
2097	344.2330–356.7	141.2123.2–160
2098	343.8324.3–358.4	142.2122.5–162
2099	346.6323.1–358.1	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	346.8326.2–356.3	142.8124.3–160.8

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数海地：2022 年为 235 人死亡墨西哥：2022 年为 14,210 人死亡