伊朗与伊拉克：35 °C 以上天数

2014 年35 °C 以上天数：伊朗为 78.4 天，伊拉克为 143.3 天（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年伊拉克的数值较高，高出 64.9 天，是伊朗的 1.83 倍。

每年天数 · CMIP6

伊朗伊拉克CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，伊拉克的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年伊朗为 110.7 天，伊拉克为 168.1 天。

逐年数据

每年天数 · CMIP6

年份	伊朗	伊拉克
2014	78.4	143.3
2013	78.1	143.1
2012	76.8	142.6
2011	76.6	142.2
2010	73.4	139.4
2009	74.5	138.4
2008	73.5	141.5
2007	74	139.4
2006	74.7	140
2005	74.3	139.3
2004	73.2	139.9
2003	73	138.9
2002	74.9	138.1
2001	73.5	140
2000	74	140.9
1999	72.2	136.7
1998	70.8	135.3
1997	71	137
1996	70.2	137.4
1995	68.6	133.4
1994	66.8	133.6
1993	64.6	130.1
1992	63	127.6
1991	68.9	131.5
1990	70.1	136
1989	69.1	135.7
1988	68.4	134.3
1987	67.4	132.2
1986	66.9	135.4
1985	66.7	131
1984	66.4	129.7
1983	62	127.6
1982	65.7	129.4
1981	68.3	132.1
1980	67.1	134.4
1979	68.2	130.4
1978	65.1	129.9
1977	64.8	129.8
1976	65.3	132.6
1975	64.3	128.2
1974	63.7	129.9
1973	63.7	129.9
1972	64.7	130.2
1971	63	128.3
1970	62.2	130
1969	63.2	131.1
1968	63.7	127.9
1967	64.6	128.3
1966	64.1	129
1965	63.3	128.6
1964	62.2	129.3
1963	64.1	130
1962	65.5	130.2
1961	66.3	134
1960	65.8	131.1
1959	64.3	133.8
1958	66.2	131.8
1957	66	131.7
1956	63.8	130.7
1955	64.3	129.8
1954	65.4	131.7
1953	65	132.9
1952	66.4	133.6
1951	65.5	133.5
1950	66.6	130.2

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	伊朗	伊拉克
2015	81.369.5–93.3	146.5134.9–155.9
2016	81.970.3–93	145.4133.9–160.3
2017	81.367.6–92.1	146132.3–158.3
2018	80.569–93.6	146.2132.5–158.8
2019	82.370.5–92.9	146.8135.9–158.8
2020	83.472.3–96.2	148.8135.8–160.2
2021	82.971.4–96.3	146.6135.6–157.1
2022	82.672–95.7	148.4136.8–159.5
2023	86.571–98.9	149.7138.7–161.4
2024	84.771.6–98.3	148.6138.1–160.9
2025	86.574.4–98.2	149.3137.3–161.5
2026	85.773.5–99.3	147.6136.7–158.3
2027	87.175–98.9	150.9138.6–161.1
2028	86.871.2–100	149.4134.2–162.8
2029	85.773–97.6	149.1139.1–159.9
2030	87.375.5–100.7	149.4138.7–161.4
2031	88.674.7–102.5	149.8138.5–163.1
2032	88.875.2–102.3	151.3138.1–162.1
2033	9076–104.7	153.3141.2–164.6
2034	92.777.2–106.2	151.3139–165.8
2035	91.377.9–105.2	152141.2–165.7
2036	90.277.4–103.2	150.3136.4–161.5
2037	92.779.2–107.3	152.6138.8–165.1
2038	92.778.9–104.8	153.8140.6–166.8
2039	9278.6–105.8	155.8142.5–168.3
2040	92.779.2–106.8	156.2144.7–166.4
2041	91.677.9–103.9	154.2140.9–163.6
2042	95.780.4–108.4	157.4142.7–166.1
2043	93.178.7–107.6	156.5139.2–166.1
2044	93.180–107.2	155.9146.3–166
2045	96.981.4–111.2	158.2146.5–171.2
2046	95.182.6–108.4	156.8145.5–169.4
2047	97.584.1–111.8	157.7145.9–169.1
2048	97.585–110.1	156.8145.8–169
2049	97.882–111.6	156.1144.3–166.8
2050	99.885.2–113.3	159.3146.2–171
2051	99.883.5–112.1	160.8148.7–171.4
2052	99.383.9–113.9	157.8144.1–169
2053	9883.4–111.8	156.4144.3–169.1
2054	9983.2–112.3	158.8143.4–175.1
2055	102.486.9–116.3	162.7147.9–174.7
2056	10086.2–114.2	156.9143.8–169.1
2057	101.688.8–116.5	158.5144.4–172.5
2058	101.885.4–117	160.7147.3–172.2
2059	9985.4–111.1	158.5145.8–173.2
2060	103.488.2–117.6	159.6148–175.7
2061	103.487.5–116.8	162.4149.3–172.8
2062	101.885.5–118.1	160.3147.2–173.3
2063	104.489.9–118.3	162.1146.3–173.4
2064	102.788.3–118.1	161.2147.6–172.3
2065	103.888.1–119.2	160.4149.2–172.3
2066	104.790.8–119.2	159.6149.3–173.8
2067	106.888.7–121.8	162.7152.7–179.1
2068	10689.2–118.7	163.1147.4–173.5
2069	105.889–120.4	163.9149.4–172.1
2070	105.391.5–120.2	165153.2–175.5
2071	10791.4–122.7	163.2151.8–177.8
2072	106.487–122.7	163.9150.2–174.6
2073	107.990.9–125	166.2151.5–179.5
2074	106.691.1–121.4	163.7147.1–179
2075	106.492.1–121	163.3148.9–175.3
2076	105.689.3–125.6	163148.4–175.1
2077	107.389.9–121.9	165.4149.6–178
2078	105.791.4–123.3	165151.6–176.3
2079	106.290.6–122	165.3151.1–177.6
2080	107.593.1–126.4	165.1153.7–177.3
2081	107.991.3–125.2	165.4151.8–180.6
2082	109.294–124.3	165.4151.9–178.4
2083	110.292.8–126.8	166.3149.9–178.5
2084	109.895.4–124.3	168.8156.7–179.6
2085	107.593.5–125.4	164.8153.3–179
2086	109.693.4–125.6	168155.9–178.1
2087	111.295.2–125.7	167.4152.7–179.4
2088	112.494.1–127	168.3153.6–181.4
2089	11196.6–126.2	166.3150.5–179.8
2090	110.192.6–128	165.5150–179.2
2091	110.694.3–127	166.8154.8–181
2092	113.596.8–128.3	167.6155.6–178.5
2093	111.896.7–124.7	168.4156.2–180.5
2094	112.595.8–128.9	169.3158.3–181.6
2095	111.694.6–127	166.8154.1–181.1
2096	112.595–128.5	167.4154.4–181.6
2097	110.392.6–127.1	170.5151.7–182.3
2098	111.595.6–128.1	166.4152.3–182.3
2099	110.694–127.5	168.4155.5–179.9
2100	110.793.4–130.1	168.1155.5–182.3

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须知

一年中最高气温超过 35 °C 的天数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数伊朗：2022 年为 360 人死亡伊拉克：2022 年为 819 人死亡