黎巴嫩与叙利亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：黎巴嫩为 27.7 夜，叙利亚为 89.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年叙利亚的数值较高，高出 61.9 夜，是黎巴嫩的 3.24 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

黎巴嫩叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，叙利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年黎巴嫩为 72.1 夜，叙利亚为 133.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	黎巴嫩	叙利亚
2014	27.7	89.6
2013	26.9	90.8
2012	27.1	91.2
2011	27.2	89.6
2010	26.7	88.1
2009	26.2	86.2
2008	26.7	87.9
2007	24.3	85
2006	25.6	87.3
2005	24.9	85.3
2004	24.2	86.7
2003	25.6	86.7
2002	24	84.3
2001	24.5	85.9
2000	23.6	83.2
1999	24	82.1
1998	22.7	80.5
1997	22.5	80.5
1996	21.1	78.1
1995	20.3	75.8
1994	21.1	76.7
1993	18	71.5
1992	18.3	71.3
1991	20.2	75.5
1990	21.9	79.3
1989	19.9	75.7
1988	19.9	76.2
1987	19.5	73
1986	20.3	76
1985	18.6	72.6
1984	17.9	69.6
1983	18.1	67.9
1982	18.6	72
1981	18.4	72
1980	19.6	75
1979	17.2	67.7
1978	17.7	70.2
1977	18.1	70.1
1976	18.3	73.4
1975	18.2	69
1974	17.9	70
1973	18.6	70.7
1972	18.5	70.1
1971	18.5	70.7
1970	17.9	70.9
1969	18.9	71.3
1968	17.5	68.7
1967	17.7	68.8
1966	17.7	68.8
1965	15.8	64.3
1964	17.2	66.4
1963	18.7	69.1
1962	18.4	71.5
1961	17.5	70.8
1960	19.7	71.7
1959	19	72.7
1958	19.5	72.8
1957	19.6	72.6
1956	19.2	72.2
1955	19.2	70.3
1954	18	68.9
1953	19.7	72.2
1952	18.8	70.8
1951	19.6	72.4
1950	17.3	68.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	黎巴嫩	叙利亚
2015	32.224.6–42.8	96.981.9–110.9
2016	30.722.6–42.3	93.581.2–108.2
2017	33.925.9–44.2	9782.1–109.5
2018	33.726.3–44	97.785.9–111
2019	34.124.7–43.7	98.983.7–111.2
2020	35.624.5–46.5	98.683.7–112.6
2021	35.627.3–44.9	10087.1–110.7
2022	36.525.5–47.2	101.684.9–113.2
2023	37.827.7–47.8	101.988.3–115.3
2024	39.128.2–52.2	102.790.7–113.8
2025	38.527.1–51.2	102.988.6–114.2
2026	38.528–49.6	103.389.5–116.1
2027	39.328.2–50.7	103.886.7–116.5
2028	39.428.9–49	103.589.2–116.4
2029	40.231–52.4	105.694–116.3
2030	40.230.8–52.6	105.991.3–119.2
2031	39.531.1–52	105.190.7–116
2032	42.833.7–54.1	107.893.2–119.4
2033	42.132.4–54.4	108.796.6–119.1
2034	42.130.8–54.3	107.593.9–119
2035	43.932.5–56.8	108.596.3–118.3
2036	4333.8–55.7	105.793.2–118.7
2037	46.833.8–57.5	109.294.8–121.9
2038	44.833.9–58.8	111.897.8–125.5
2039	4536.3–58.6	112.398.9–128
2040	46.233.9–59.5	111.898.5–127.5
2041	47.336–58.9	110.799.1–124.5
2042	46.133.4–61.5	112.996.4–126.5
2043	47.937.5–60.5	113.199.7–127.3
2044	4835.3–63	112.599.8–128.8
2045	50.738.8–62.2	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	49.538.6–62.7	117.2104.7–129
2047	50.736.4–66.4	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	50.937.8–66.7	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	48.334.9–63.1	11499.3–128.9
2050	49.939.3–66.7	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	51.240.7–65.5	117.7105.5–129
2052	51.940.8–65.1	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	52.840–67.4	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	53.342.2–68.1	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	53.540.1–69.5	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	53.337.5–71.6	119.799.9–132.9
2057	52.638.8–69.2	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	55.540–72.5	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	57.840–73.2	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	54.442.7–72.8	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	57.240.5–71.5	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	56.939.7–73.2	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	58.839.4–74.6	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	59.642.9–75.7	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	59.941.7–75.6	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	5739.6–76	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	60.443.8–79.2	126111.1–142.7
2068	61.747.9–78.3	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	59.245.3–72.5	123107.9–137.3
2070	62.745.6–78	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	63.744.9–77.7	126109.5–142.8
2072	65.748.4–81.4	128111.8–141.9
2073	64.546.3–80.6	127.6108–143.7
2074	60.445.2–78.3	124.2107–139.7
2075	62.647.5–76.1	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	65.546–80.7	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	62.446.2–81.7	127.5109–143.3
2078	6651.1–79.1	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	70.449.3–87.2	132.9116–146.9
2080	67.549.8–84.3	129111.8–144.3
2081	6451.1–85.1	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	68.249.2–84.8	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	67.650.2–86.8	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	69.150.1–84.7	132.2111–145.1
2085	65.753.3–86	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	69.150.1–87	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	66.352.2–89.5	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	68.253.9–91.3	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	68.252.2–88.5	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	7255.6–88.5	128.9115–145.8
2091	70.553.8–89.8	133.4116–150.3
2092	71.149.9–90.5	131.6115.3–149
2093	73.854–98.5	135119.8–151
2094	72.954.1–92	134118–148.5
2095	72.854.3–92.2	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	71.651.6–93.1	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	7353.6–89.6	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	74.751.9–92.7	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	72.148.3–88.6	132.8116–145.1
2100	72.150.2–91.7	133.8113.2–152.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

黎巴嫩与叙利亚对比

健康

人口与社会

经济

教育

成人识字率黎巴嫩：2019 年为 92%叙利亚：2021 年为 94.4%

政治

冲突

冲突死亡人数黎巴嫩：2022 年为 0 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡