利比亚与苏丹：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：利比亚为 138.1 夜，苏丹为 242.4 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年苏丹的数值较高，高出 104.3 夜，是利比亚的 1.76 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

利比亚苏丹CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，苏丹的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年利比亚为 172.3 夜，苏丹为 278.6 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	利比亚	苏丹
2014	138.1	242.4
2013	137.8	240
2012	138.4	242
2011	139.2	242.2
2010	136.9	240.6
2009	134.6	236.5
2008	137.9	237.1
2007	134.2	236
2006	134.3	235.3
2005	135.4	233.1
2004	134.1	233.5
2003	134.3	235.6
2002	133.8	234.7
2001	131.4	235.4
2000	128.8	230.5
1999	126.8	232.1
1998	126	230.2
1997	126.7	231.1
1996	124.7	227.3
1995	123.8	227.8
1994	122	225.3
1993	117.9	219.1
1992	118.6	217.8
1991	125.4	227.3
1990	123.4	227.5
1989	119.5	223
1988	116.9	223.1
1987	116.8	224.4
1986	123.6	226.4
1985	117.9	222.1
1984	113.4	220.7
1983	112.8	217
1982	114	216.3
1981	117	223.2
1980	118.8	220
1979	112	218.4
1978	116.9	218.5
1977	112.2	219.3
1976	116.5	220.1
1975	113.1	215.7
1974	112.4	217.5
1973	116.2	220
1972	114.6	217.9
1971	111.4	215.5
1970	112.2	217
1969	108.3	213.1
1968	111.9	214
1967	111.4	210.3
1966	109.5	213.3
1965	105.7	213.4
1964	108.6	213.2
1963	112.3	210.1
1962	111.9	217
1961	110.5	216.9
1960	116.6	221.3
1959	113.5	217.8
1958	113.6	216.2
1957	114.9	218.9
1956	113.3	217.2
1955	112.5	216.6
1954	110.9	218.9
1953	113.6	215.1
1952	111.6	216.4
1951	111.5	218.5
1950	109.4	214.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	利比亚	苏丹
2015	140.5122.7–155	242.3225.3–258.3
2016	140.8126.8–152.9	241.4223.3–254.1
2017	146128.5–159.7	243.2223–259.1
2018	140.6121.8–159.1	242.3226.4–258.5
2019	144.3121.2–156.8	243.1221.7–260.4
2020	143.7126.3–158.3	244.9225.9–261.7
2021	144.7131.1–159	245.6229.1–261.5
2022	146.2129.6–163.7	249230.9–262.3
2023	144.7131.2–158.3	247.1226.8–263.1
2024	148.8135.3–162.1	251.5232.8–266.1
2025	148131.8–160.5	250.7232.4–265.6
2026	148.9135.9–160.7	250230.8–266.6
2027	146.2129.7–158.7	248.8228.4–265.6
2028	146133.3–161.9	249232.2–263.1
2029	148.6134.1–161.5	251.4232.1–266
2030	148.3131.9–159.9	252235.4–266.7
2031	149132.5–165.3	253.3234.4–268.9
2032	151.7137.6–165	250.4232.3–266.6
2033	152.7134.7–163.5	254.4235.3–269.4
2034	152.1136.4–166.8	254.2234.5–269.9
2035	153.3136.3–168.5	258.3240.2–273.6
2036	148.9135.3–162.7	252.8235.6–268.6
2037	150.2136.1–164.4	256.7238.6–271.8
2038	153.9139.1–169.1	258.7244.8–272.1
2039	154.2134.7–172.2	259.5241.2–272.5
2040	155.4140.4–168.6	256.4236.7–272.3
2041	154.4138.9–167.4	259.1241.2–274.5
2042	158.8139–173.8	258.7242–274.7
2043	156143.6–167.9	258.1240.3–272.6
2044	153.3138.2–169.2	257.3238.6–274.7
2045	157.6140–169.7	258.8243.1–276.2
2046	157139.9–170.8	261.1241.7–277.6
2047	157.1142.6–171.9	261.4244.6–278.4
2048	156.8144.9–168.2	260.4243.4–279.5
2049	156.4141.9–171.2	261.9242.6–275.9
2050	160.2144.6–172.3	263.5245.4–279
2051	156.9142.4–172.3	263.6246.6–278.8
2052	160.6147.6–173.2	263.8248.7–278.3
2053	160.4145.8–172.2	262.8242.4–279.2
2054	160143.6–176.2	266.3246.6–282.9
2055	161.7149–173.4	265.6245.9–281.4
2056	157.7140.4–173.6	264.1242.6–281.5
2057	158.9142.3–177.5	266.4247.6–283.4
2058	161.7145.2–179.2	265.2247.4–280.3
2059	165.2147.4–180.9	268.4249.6–285.4
2060	162.5143.4–179.2	263.6246.7–284.4
2061	162.8147.1–178.6	266.9250.1–281.9
2062	163.6147.2–177.4	266.4248.5–285
2063	158.9144–174.4	267.1246.9–283.4
2064	164.6146.1–179	269250.7–284.7
2065	164.6149.1–179	269.8253.9–285.6
2066	162.6144.6–179.3	271.4251.9–287.3
2067	168152–179.9	270.9250–288.4
2068	167.1148–184.3	271.9251.7–289.8
2069	167.1149.7–182.7	268251.1–286.2
2070	164.8147.9–184.1	269252.3–285.8
2071	166.9147.5–183.3	275.5254.1–290.4
2072	171.2152.9–181.9	273.3254.2–289.4
2073	165.5148.3–180.1	271.9250.7–287.6
2074	163.1144.5–182	270.9249–290.1
2075	164.5148.4–182.4	273.1254–291.9
2076	169.6149.7–184.9	272.7255.2–290.9
2077	171.2149.1–183.6	274.6255.2–292.7
2078	171.6153.1–183.2	274.3255.6–291.2
2079	168.4149.8–182.8	272255.2–288.5
2080	169.4152.6–183	276.6256–292.2
2081	166.3147.4–180.8	275.1254.1–294.8
2082	168.9153.2–184.9	272.9258.7–288.6
2083	166.9151.7–186.5	276.5258–291.7
2084	172.9151.6–186.4	275.4253–294.9
2085	168.7152.1–183.4	275.3258.6–291.6
2086	173.7157.5–188.1	276.4256.9–296.6
2087	167.7145–184.9	273.5253.1–293.3
2088	169.8153–188.3	273.6253.7–293.6
2089	169.4154–188.9	276.5256.6–293.4
2090	169.3149.9–188.3	276.6256.4–294.6
2091	172.9156.2–187.9	277.4256.4–296.6
2092	172.2154.1–186	274.6254.3–294.9
2093	171.8154.8–187.9	278261.9–292.1
2094	172.8157.2–185.2	280.3262.2–294
2095	170.8155.1–186.2	277.5262.6–294
2096	170.1156.2–189.7	279.7258.7–297
2097	169.4154.6–183.2	276.3254.1–297.6
2098	169.8151.1–185.7	277.7258.2–295.5
2099	169.3156.5–188.9	276.8257.2–296.2
2100	172.3153.7–190.8	278.6259–294.3

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数利比亚：2022 年为 0 人死亡苏丹：2022 年为 1,364 人死亡