马拉维与赞比亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：马拉维为 138.1 夜，赞比亚为 62.9 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年马拉维的数值较高，高出 75.2 夜，是赞比亚的 2.19 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

马拉维赞比亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，马拉维的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年马拉维为 213.3 夜，赞比亚为 171.5 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	马拉维	赞比亚
2014	138.1	62.9
2013	138.9	64.7
2012	137.4	63.9
2011	136.6	61.5
2010	132.4	59.3
2009	131.4	57.5
2008	130.8	56
2007	132.8	55.1
2006	129.8	55.9
2005	129.5	54.5
2004	133.4	58.4
2003	132.5	56.6
2002	130.3	55
2001	134	59
2000	126.6	52.9
1999	124.8	48
1998	127.1	51.3
1997	124.2	47.8
1996	121.3	43.5
1995	120.9	43.9
1994	118.4	41.6
1993	113.8	35.3
1992	114.1	36
1991	120.9	42.7
1990	123.8	46.4
1989	120.5	45
1988	120.8	43.6
1987	118.8	44
1986	121.1	43.8
1985	115.7	38.7
1984	116.2	38.7
1983	115.5	38.8
1982	115.1	40
1981	119	41.7
1980	116.9	39.7
1979	117.7	40.7
1978	114.8	38.9
1977	117.2	40
1976	114	35.7
1975	114	37.1
1974	115.2	37.4
1973	114.7	38.8
1972	113.8	35
1971	114.1	36
1970	115.8	38.1
1969	114.3	37.1
1968	110	34.1
1967	109.8	32.2
1966	111	33.1
1965	111.5	34.9
1964	106.3	31.3
1963	107.5	30.5
1962	114.7	38.8
1961	116	37
1960	117.4	39.3
1959	115.6	38.3
1958	116.4	39
1957	114.6	37.8
1956	111.4	34.6
1955	115.2	38.2
1954	113.9	38
1953	113	35.4
1952	113.5	37.6
1951	113.5	36.9
1950	112.8	36

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	马拉维	赞比亚
2015	145.7126.7–164.3	72.150.1–93.9
2016	139.8122.6–157.4	66.845.9–85.7
2017	143.6127–161.8	71.449.7–92.5
2018	143.1124.6–162.6	73.852.7–94.8
2019	143.8128.3–161.4	73.354–97.6
2020	145127.3–165.8	77.556.9–100.4
2021	145.3128–163.6	76.755.7–104.5
2022	151130.1–169.1	84.861.6–109.7
2023	149.2129.5–171.2	84.763–108
2024	152.4130–172.6	85.158.2–113.9
2025	151.1129.7–170.4	84.957.1–116
2026	151.1126.2–173.8	83.658.4–119.4
2027	154.4135.1–173.1	89.562.5–115.7
2028	155.5134.6–174	89.965–118.6
2029	159.8139.2–178.5	9669.8–122.8
2030	155.6138.7–174.5	9166.7–118.1
2031	161.1143.4–177.6	97.668.2–121.3
2032	160.8141.3–181.3	94.970.3–122.2
2033	161.3135.6–179.2	98.270.1–123.6
2034	160.9138.9–185	97.370.4–135.2
2035	164.3140.4–189.5	104.168.4–137.8
2036	163.8137.6–182.5	99.568.7–131.5
2037	166.9144.6–189.2	107.177.4–139.8
2038	172.2148.4–191.2	110.383.2–138.8
2039	164.8147.3–188.2	101.874.3–139.1
2040	164.4146.4–189.7	100.872.5–145.3
2041	169.3143.7–192.5	113.978.7–147.6
2042	169.8146.3–197.8	111.379.1–155.1
2043	167.5147.1–193.2	106.678.3–150.6
2044	172.6148.3–197	110.574.3–145.5
2045	170.4153.1–194.7	109.882.2–148.2
2046	176.3151.2–203.1	119.485.9–160
2047	178.7157.8–200.9	123.191.1–159.4
2048	180.7158.9–204.1	124.590.6–160.2
2049	176.7154–205.4	124.586.1–167.1
2050	180.4155.2–204.9	130.592–166
2051	182.9162.1–207.4	128.498.1–169.8
2052	184.9163.2–209.6	130.798.6–170.4
2053	177.2149.6–207.4	128.488–168.8
2054	185.1157.1–208	132.193–169.6
2055	186.1159.2–212.6	132.1100.1–176.1
2056	184.6158.5–214.3	132.492.7–179.6
2057	184.7159.3–212.3	133.298.5–178.5
2058	188.5163.8–214.7	137.299.2–179.7
2059	189.8166.9–218.5	139.8105.8–189.5
2060	192.6163.4–218.1	145.4102.9–191
2061	186.4158.8–216.8	136.692.8–196.9
2062	192.3163.9–218.6	143.9101–194.7
2063	189.2165.2–220.3	144.5101.7–187.8
2064	197161.3–218	147.998.4–180.9
2065	193.1165.8–225.2	148.6104.3–199.8
2066	201170.1–224.7	152.1109.4–193.6
2067	193.1164.2–223.7	140.6103.2–195.7
2068	198.6163.7–227.1	150.8105.7–200.3
2069	199.4165.8–225	150.5106.3–197
2070	198.7168–226.7	145.8104.7–202.4
2071	199.3167.9–233.5	153.1112.7–212
2072	202.3173.2–226.2	157.2120–195.7
2073	205.4168.2–233.4	161.5115.2–210.9
2074	198.2175.4–227.7	149.2115–198.7
2075	199.6168.9–228.3	148.2111.5–202.2
2076	198.8169.8–225.2	150.4112–201.9
2077	202172.2–231.2	156.5120.3–208.3
2078	203.5175.8–232.1	157.2122.2–209.5
2079	203.6172.2–236.1	156.8118.1–207.3
2080	204.7172.2–234.3	159.8116–211.9
2081	202.2174.9–231.3	160.2117.1–208.6
2082	204.3178.3–228.6	159.6119.6–200.6
2083	205.8170.7–238.3	159.5110.7–219.9
2084	208.1175.9–235.6	166124.3–210.3
2085	211.1179.4–241	172.9126.8–221.1
2086	203.3175.4–237	161.9120.6–224.1
2087	205.3181.2–237.7	158.3129.2–219.6
2088	211.6174.7–240.6	168.4123.9–218.5
2089	208.9180.5–237.8	168.5129.9–217.9
2090	209.4173.4–243	165.7124–223.8
2091	214.3179.7–244.8	177.4129.5–227.2
2092	213.2176.8–242.3	170.6127.8–221.5
2093	212.5177.8–242.2	173.6123.6–223.3
2094	211.8179.7–241.5	171.4130.3–220.7
2095	216.9185–243.8	179131.6–228.6
2096	213.1182–247.6	170.8124.8–233.3
2097	210.8174.9–242.1	167.2122.2–224.3
2098	214.4181.5–242.2	172.5131.9–226.9
2099	213.5181.9–244.1	171.7126.5–229.1
2100	213.3181.5–246.3	171.5124.3–228

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

马拉维与赞比亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数马拉维：2022 年为 0 人死亡赞比亚：2022 年为 0 人死亡