马里与赞比亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：马里为 250.2 夜，赞比亚为 62.9 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年马里的数值较高，高出 187.3 夜，是赞比亚的 3.98 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

马里赞比亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，马里的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年马里为 283.6 夜，赞比亚为 171.5 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	马里	赞比亚
2014	250.2	62.9
2013	247.3	64.7
2012	253.1	63.9
2011	251.9	61.5
2010	250.4	59.3
2009	248	57.5
2008	247.8	56
2007	248.1	55.1
2006	245.5	55.9
2005	244.3	54.5
2004	243.9	58.4
2003	247.1	56.6
2002	245.8	55
2001	245.6	59
2000	243.2	52.9
1999	242.4	48
1998	240.6	51.3
1997	240.7	47.8
1996	236.4	43.5
1995	238	43.9
1994	236.2	41.6
1993	235.1	35.3
1992	232	36
1991	238.7	42.7
1990	241	46.4
1989	236.3	45
1988	234.7	43.6
1987	236.1	44
1986	237.1	43.8
1985	235.3	38.7
1984	233	38.7
1983	231.2	38.8
1982	234.9	40
1981	233.9	41.7
1980	231.5	39.7
1979	233.8	40.7
1978	234.8	38.9
1977	233.6	40
1976	231.7	35.7
1975	232.4	37.1
1974	229.7	37.4
1973	230.3	38.8
1972	230.7	35
1971	229.5	36
1970	229.9	38.1
1969	227.3	37.1
1968	230.5	34.1
1967	229	32.2
1966	228.1	33.1
1965	230.2	34.9
1964	228.9	31.3
1963	228.2	30.5
1962	231.7	38.8
1961	231.6	37
1960	235.1	39.3
1959	231.8	38.3
1958	231.8	39
1957	233.3	37.8
1956	230.7	34.6
1955	230.6	38.2
1954	232	38
1953	228.3	35.4
1952	229.2	37.6
1951	231.4	36.9
1950	228.6	36

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	马里	赞比亚
2015	247.9231.5–264.7	72.150.1–93.9
2016	248231.3–262.6	66.845.9–85.7
2017	252.7233.6–268.2	71.449.7–92.5
2018	254.2236.4–269	73.852.7–94.8
2019	251.6233.5–272.3	73.354–97.6
2020	251.3231.2–270.7	77.556.9–100.4
2021	254.8238.5–270	76.755.7–104.5
2022	257237.8–275.3	84.861.6–109.7
2023	254.2239.6–269.2	84.763–108
2024	259.3242.3–276.8	85.158.2–113.9
2025	256.2239.2–272.3	84.957.1–116
2026	256.8237.2–277.8	83.658.4–119.4
2027	258.5240.3–273.1	89.562.5–115.7
2028	259.7243.6–273.9	89.965–118.6
2029	260.8240.3–275.3	9669.8–122.8
2030	258.1237.5–272.6	9166.7–118.1
2031	262.2243.4–280.6	97.668.2–121.3
2032	260.5242.1–278.2	94.970.3–122.2
2033	262.1241.7–280.3	98.270.1–123.6
2034	260.7242–275.3	97.370.4–135.2
2035	261.5244.8–283.6	104.168.4–137.8
2036	262.5244.6–281.1	99.568.7–131.5
2037	264.5245.2–279.6	107.177.4–139.8
2038	266246.7–283.2	110.383.2–138.8
2039	262.3245–281.6	101.874.3–139.1
2040	263.6247.5–279.6	100.872.5–145.3
2041	264.6250.8–283.1	113.978.7–147.6
2042	265.7245.9–283.5	111.379.1–155.1
2043	264.8246.9–278.8	106.678.3–150.6
2044	269.3247.4–284.7	110.574.3–145.5
2045	265.6248.9–283.7	109.882.2–148.2
2046	269.8247.5–286.4	119.485.9–160
2047	271.9251.2–290.3	123.191.1–159.4
2048	270.4254.4–288.2	124.590.6–160.2
2049	272252.1–288.2	124.586.1–167.1
2050	269.5250.6–286.4	130.592–166
2051	268.8251.7–286.9	128.498.1–169.8
2052	270.1252.7–292.1	130.798.6–170.4
2053	269.3249.2–288.8	128.488–168.8
2054	270.3251.7–290.6	132.193–169.6
2055	270.9252.7–288.1	132.1100.1–176.1
2056	273248.6–291.4	132.492.7–179.6
2057	275.5255.2–295	133.298.5–178.5
2058	271252.7–293.2	137.299.2–179.7
2059	274.5259.3–299.6	139.8105.8–189.5
2060	273.5258–293.7	145.4102.9–191
2061	275.4257–298	136.692.8–196.9
2062	270.8251.7–291.8	143.9101–194.7
2063	275.9256.6–292.2	144.5101.7–187.8
2064	276.4256.6–298.4	147.998.4–180.9
2065	275.3256–295.1	148.6104.3–199.8
2066	276.9260–296.5	152.1109.4–193.6
2067	272.6255.4–293.3	140.6103.2–195.7
2068	277.5258.1–296.5	150.8105.7–200.3
2069	276.1257.7–293.3	150.5106.3–197
2070	277.2256.6–296.6	145.8104.7–202.4
2071	277.2258.4–295.6	153.1112.7–212
2072	281.9263.8–298.9	157.2120–195.7
2073	276.8257.9–296.8	161.5115.2–210.9
2074	277.7258.7–295.9	149.2115–198.7
2075	278.5260.1–298.5	148.2111.5–202.2
2076	278.1261.1–294.2	150.4112–201.9
2077	283.8263.1–302.3	156.5120.3–208.3
2078	283.8263.5–299.4	157.2122.2–209.5
2079	278.9259.2–300.6	156.8118.1–207.3
2080	281.2262.1–299.4	159.8116–211.9
2081	279.1259.3–301.8	160.2117.1–208.6
2082	280.2260.2–298.4	159.6119.6–200.6
2083	280.8260.8–302.3	159.5110.7–219.9
2084	280.4263.8–301	166124.3–210.3
2085	284.6259.2–303	172.9126.8–221.1
2086	281.9262.8–302.4	161.9120.6–224.1
2087	279.7258.8–302.8	158.3129.2–219.6
2088	282.3260.7–303.3	168.4123.9–218.5
2089	283.4262.4–300.5	168.5129.9–217.9
2090	283.9259.8–301.9	165.7124–223.8
2091	283.1260.4–304.8	177.4129.5–227.2
2092	281.6259.7–303.1	170.6127.8–221.5
2093	284.8265.8–305.4	173.6123.6–223.3
2094	284.6262.8–305.6	171.4130.3–220.7
2095	283.6262–304.6	179131.6–228.6
2096	284.9263.3–306.3	170.8124.8–233.3
2097	280261–300.5	167.2122.2–224.3
2098	282.5262–302.1	172.5131.9–226.9
2099	285.3266.2–305.4	171.7126.5–229.1
2100	283.6262.8–304.1	171.5124.3–228

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

马里与赞比亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数马里：2022 年为 3,602 人死亡赞比亚：2022 年为 0 人死亡