黑山与塞尔维亚对比

黑山与塞尔维亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：黑山为 11.4 夜，塞尔维亚为 7.7 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年黑山的数值较高，高出 3.7 夜，是塞尔维亚的 1.48 倍。

在地图上查看其变化

每年夜数 · CMIP6

黑山与塞尔维亚：热带夜2014 年热带夜：黑山为 11.4 夜，塞尔维亚为 7.7 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年黑山的数值较高，高出 3.7 夜，是塞尔维亚的 1.48 倍。
黑山塞尔维亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

  • 自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，黑山的数值都更高。
  • 根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年黑山为 25.1 夜，塞尔维亚为 39.4 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份黑山塞尔维亚
201411.47.7
2013115.4
201211.16.9
2011118.3
201011.48
200910.77
200810.56.1
2007104.3
200610.86.3
200510.24.8
200410.25.2
200310.55.2
20029.83.5
200110.33.7
200010.55.4
19999.43.9
19989.43.1
19979.22.8
19969.23.8
19958.63.1
19948.72.5
19938.31.9
19928.11.2
19919.12.8
19909.12.4
19898.22.2
19888.41.4
19877.81.6
19868.32
19858.11.4
19848.51.4
19837.81.6
19827.80.9
19817.61.1
198081.9
19798.31.1
19788.31.7
19777.41
197681.1
19757.92
19747.41.2
19737.70.7
19727.80.9
19718.61.1
19707.61.4
19697.71.6
19687.51.2
19677.51.1
19667.41.1
19657.20.9
19647.41.2
19638.11.2
19628.11.5
19618.10.9
19608.51.6
19599.22.5
19588.21.7
195781.3
19568.92
19558.62.5
19547.81
19538.22.9
19528.42.5
19518.41.5
195081.6
CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100
年份黑山塞尔维亚
201512.510.1–15.38.23.7–17.7
201612.78.4–16.38.42–17.1
201712.49.5–17.38.71.7–18.3
201812.69.7–16.97.72–19.2
201912.79.5–16.393.2–18.9
202013.39–17.612.12.4–21.3
202113.610.3–17.48.94.2–18.1
2022149.8–18.9122.8–23.4
202313.510.1–17.310.42.6–21.4
202413.810.3–18.512.72.8–25.2
202514.99.3–18.912.71.8–22.2
202615.211.1–18.314.73.8–23
202714.410–19.511.42.4–22.1
202814.610.8–19124.4–24.8
202915.19.9–20.4154–30.5
203015.611.6–19.312.54.4–22.2
203114.610.6–19.312.65.4–23.5
203215.211.2–22.114.95.2–37
203315.411.4–18.614.13.9–23.5
203415.611–20.415.22.6–29.6
203515.911.7–21.417.74.2–30
203615.912.1–21.217.96.2–31
203715.911.9–20.817.55.9–27.4
20381612.1–24.816.56.2–36.5
203916.311.6–20.817.96–27.4
204016.211.7–21.718.46.7–31.2
20411611.6–21.116.95.7–31.9
204216.211.8–23.816.86.8–33
204317.312.6–21.619.59.7–31.5
204417.411.8–22.218.57.8–33.6
204518.112.5–22.8215.1–32.4
204617.210.5–23.820.16.1–40.6
204718.212.8–23.822.49.5–38.1
204817.512.3–25.221.68–41.5
20491812.2–23.821.76.5–35.2
205018.113.6–24.3238.6–36.1
20511913.4–25.220.77.5–37.6
205218.513–26.4228–36.3
205318.514.2–23.621.410.4–34.5
205419.414.6–24.22412.4–37
205519.213.5–26.124.29.7–43.4
205619.413.1–25.120.611–37.8
205718.713.7–24.522.18.2–34.2
205820.713.5–28.828.37.7–48.4
205919.614–2723.78.4–42.9
206019.215–2622.713.8–37.7
206119.714.9–26.627.212.4–41.6
206219.514.6–26.323.910.1–41.6
206320.713.5–28.12810.9–46.9
206420.315.1–26.826.711.7–40.5
206520.215.2–26.9287.8–41.4
206620.214.1–26.824.612.9–42.6
206721.715.6–29.331.313.6–51.6
206821.816.7–27.530.519–42.4
206920.916.6–28.328.614.3–44.8
207021.215.6–28.127.811.6–51
207121.214.4–3228.87.5–50.7
207222.316.9–28.632.615.5–49.8
207321.415.5–27.929.213.6–43.8
207419.814.9–27.626.914.3–46.3
207520.716.9–28.62915–46.1
207621.814.7–30.132.510.9–52.1
207721.515.4–29.730.615.7–48
20782215.3–30.630.316.5–54.6
207923.615.2–34.635.514.1–60.7
208021.916.3–31.732.317.9–52.6
208121.215.8–30.129.313.4–50.2
208224.416.1–32.634.518.9–58.4
208322.315.1–29.728.69.8–49.1
208423.418.2–32.134.518.3–49.7
20852417.6–32.435.216.9–50.2
208623.716.9–31.135.316.1–53.7
208722.816.9–32.334.913.7–58.5
208824.817.6–35.736.117.6–59
20892416.7–35.332.313.2–57.4
209023.917.5–33.138.717.6–59
209125.117.4–33.939.719.9–59.5
209223.815.3–36.23611.2–56.9
209324.417.2–35.533.515.1–59.4
209422.917.2–34.135.715.6–58.8
209524.917.5–35.238.616.4–56.3
209622.817.6–37.229.414.6–62
209723.617.3–343813.9–56.7
209825.417.9–36.839.816.7–57.8
209924.717–33.837.214.9–58.5
210025.116.5–33.439.418.3–56.7

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须知

  • 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
  • 来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
  • 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
  • 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

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