南苏丹与津巴布韦：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：南苏丹为 343.7 夜，津巴布韦为 76.4 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年南苏丹的数值较高，高出 267.3 夜，是津巴布韦的 4.5 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

南苏丹津巴布韦CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，南苏丹的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年南苏丹为 361.1 夜，津巴布韦为 148.3 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	南苏丹	津巴布韦
2014	343.7	76.4
2013	342.1	78.4
2012	342.8	75.9
2011	343.3	73.3
2010	341.9	71.5
2009	338.8	69.6
2008	339.8	69.8
2007	336.9	69.3
2006	339	70.3
2005	336.8	69.5
2004	336.6	71.8
2003	338.9	72.9
2002	336.6	71.3
2001	338.7	71.3
2000	334.6	67.4
1999	331.8	62.3
1998	333.6	66.3
1997	334.5	62
1996	330.7	57.7
1995	329.6	58.9
1994	328.2	56.8
1993	321.9	50.1
1992	321.5	52.1
1991	329.1	58.7
1990	332.6	61.5
1989	329	60.4
1988	330.5	61.6
1987	328.8	57.3
1986	330.4	58.6
1985	327.1	54.1
1984	324.1	54.6
1983	322.8	53.3
1982	322.8	53.7
1981	329.9	57
1980	326.5	57.3
1979	325.3	56.2
1978	324.1	53.1
1977	325	55.2
1976	322.6	51.2
1975	320.8	53.6
1974	320.1	54.2
1973	325.4	53.9
1972	324.7	53.2
1971	319.9	51.1
1970	322.3	53.1
1969	318.5	53.3
1968	318.3	48.7
1967	315.6	48.7
1966	317.2	48.8
1965	316.5	48.6
1964	312.9	44.6
1963	309.8	47.4
1962	323.9	55.8
1961	323.3	51.6
1960	324.8	55.6
1959	321.5	53.6
1958	320.2	55.3
1957	322.1	53.2
1956	319.5	48.6
1955	317	54.4
1954	322.4	53
1953	321.6	51.8
1952	322.4	52.7
1951	323.9	52.3
1950	318.6	51.8

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	南苏丹	津巴布韦
2015	342.7327.5–353.3	79.463.5–98.5
2016	342.1325.1–351.1	78.657.9–101.7
2017	344.5326.9–353.7	81.263.3–98.5
2018	344.1324.9–353.7	82.160.5–104.1
2019	344.5324–354.2	82.863.9–102.3
2020	344.9326.9–355.6	84.362.9–106.9
2021	347.3329.2–355.3	82.564.7–102.7
2022	344.5326.1–355.5	89.870.1–108.8
2023	347.2329.2–357	90.672.5–110.7
2024	350.4331.6–357.9	93.769.8–113.4
2025	347.1330.2–357.7	8865.1–114.6
2026	347.6329.5–356.7	89.767.8–113.9
2027	346327.1–356.1	95.668.4–119.6
2028	349.4333.5–357.3	93.371.4–115.7
2029	348.6337.5–355.6	100.277.2–120
2030	349.3335.5–357.2	9671.6–115.3
2031	351.3336.3–357.6	9874.9–119.8
2032	348.6333.6–357.7	98.574.7–118.5
2033	350.8336.7–359.4	98.974–120.6
2034	350.2337.5–358.3	100.277.3–128.1
2035	352.3331–359.5	103.975.7–130.6
2036	352340.8–359.1	100.878–123
2037	351.9337.4–359.5	10882.1–131.1
2038	354.3341.9–359.6	110.986.5–135
2039	353.8340.6–360	102.480.4–122.3
2040	353.5338.7–360.2	101.379.5–133.5
2041	353.2336.9–360.2	108.483.7–134.2
2042	351.9336.9–360.3	108.883.1–139.9
2043	353.2336.2–359.5	107.985.7–137.3
2044	353.7339.9–361.1	111.287–134.8
2045	353.7342.2–360.6	106.186.2–130.7
2046	355.4342.2–361	112.386.4–139.1
2047	355.7344–361.2	119.692.1–145.9
2048	354.7342.5–361.6	116.888.4–143.9
2049	356.7346.4–361.1	119.290.4–146.2
2050	356.8345.6–361.7	122.794.1–148.6
2051	356345.4–361.8	122.4100.9–147.7
2052	355.3343.8–362.2	124.2101.3–152.8
2053	355.5343.4–361.7	121.689–146.9
2054	356.9345.2–362.1	123.993.9–150.8
2055	356.9345–361.7	126.597.9–153.7
2056	356.7345.7–363.1	126.198–154.7
2057	358.4349.2–362.6	122.797.6–150.7
2058	357.7345–361.8	125.3103–154.1
2059	358.6348.4–362.6	132.2107.4–157.4
2060	357.7344.7–363.8	132.599.9–159
2061	358.2345.8–362.7	126.694.2–161.1
2062	357.4345.2–363.1	126.399.6–157.3
2063	358.8347.3–362.6	127.7101–159.7
2064	358.9348.4–363.3	130.498–151.3
2065	359.1351.1–362.9	132.4107.6–165.6
2066	359.2350.6–363.1	134.5106.8–159.8
2067	358.6347.6–363.3	125.598.9–160.5
2068	359.9350.3–364.4	134102.3–166.1
2069	357.6347–363.1	136.9106.4–164.2
2070	359.5350.4–363	133.199.8–166.3
2071	359.6350.5–363.2	135.2108.4–173.7
2072	360.2348.4–364.2	140.4110.6–166.8
2073	359.3350.3–363.5	140.9109.7–173.6
2074	359.5348–363.3	135.5112–170.6
2075	359.9348.5–363.4	136108.5–166.6
2076	359.4350.5–364	133.7105.9–163.7
2077	359.9352.2–363.7	140.2114.3–170.6
2078	360351.2–363.4	137.5111.3–172.3
2079	359.8350.9–363.3	136.9110.2–172.6
2080	361.3349.8–364.6	145115.8–173.2
2081	360.4350.5–363.9	147.2106.5–174.1
2082	360.3351–363.3	141.4111.4–169.9
2083	360351.1–363.8	143.6106.5–179.2
2084	360.8350.8–364.9	149.4117.3–176.9
2085	361352.3–363.7	154.3114.9–182.7
2086	360.4352.5–364.1	141.7115.3–176.1
2087	359.7347.8–363.8	142.7116.8–177.3
2088	360.3352.2–364.7	150.2118.3–178.9
2089	360.2352.3–363.8	148.9121.3–176.4
2090	360.2351.3–363.9	145.7113.7–179.4
2091	360.9351.6–364.1	149.7116.5–181.8
2092	360.7352.4–364.7	149.4119.7–181.7
2093	361.6354.1–363.9	152.5117.1–184.1
2094	361.3353.8–364.3	150.9117.3–182.2
2095	361.5353.2–364	155118.3–181.5
2096	361.1352.8–365.1	152.4113.1–189.2
2097	360.7351.9–364.2	144.1113.8–183.3
2098	361.5352.6–364.1	152.4119.2–187
2099	361.2352.4–364.1	152.9117.3–185
2100	361.1352.6–364.2	148.3120.1–184.6

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

南苏丹与津巴布韦对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数南苏丹：2022 年为 679 人死亡津巴布韦：2022 年为 0 人死亡