塔吉克斯坦与土耳其：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：塔吉克斯坦为 12.1 夜，土耳其为 19.8 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年土耳其的数值较高，高出 7.7 夜，是塔吉克斯坦的 1.63 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

塔吉克斯坦土耳其CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，土耳其的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年塔吉克斯坦为 21.8 夜，土耳其为 45.5 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	塔吉克斯坦	土耳其
2014	12.1	19.8
2013	12.2	18.5
2012	11.7	18.7
2011	11.6	18.5
2010	11	18.7
2009	11.7	17.6
2008	11.1	18.2
2007	11.4	16.6
2006	11.3	17.7
2005	11	17.2
2004	10.9	17.1
2003	11	17.6
2002	11.5	16.8
2001	10.8	17.3
2000	10.7	16.4
1999	10.8	15.9
1998	10.4	14.7
1997	10.3	15
1996	10.2	14.8
1995	9.9	14.1
1994	9.8	13.5
1993	8.9	12.1
1992	8.8	11.5
1991	9.6	13.4
1990	10.1	14.6
1989	10.1	13.1
1988	9.3	12.9
1987	9.5	12.5
1986	8.9	13.3
1985	9	12.4
1984	8.6	11.9
1983	7.9	10.7
1982	9.2	12.4
1981	9.4	12.2
1980	9	12.4
1979	9.1	12
1978	8.9	11.5
1977	8.4	11.2
1976	8.4	12
1975	8.7	11.5
1974	8.4	11.8
1973	8.5	11.6
1972	9	11.5
1971	8.4	12.1
1970	8.3	11.6
1969	8.6	12
1968	8	12
1967	8.6	11.3
1966	8.3	11.5
1965	8.3	10.8
1964	8.5	11.2
1963	8.6	12
1962	8.7	11.8
1961	8.8	12
1960	8.8	12.9
1959	8.7	12.6
1958	9.6	13
1957	9	12.2
1956	9	12.7
1955	8.6	11.9
1954	9	11.9
1953	8.4	12.9
1952	9	12.1
1951	8.6	12.5
1950	9	12.3

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	塔吉克斯坦	土耳其
2015	13.210–15.9	22.216.2–29.8
2016	12.910.5–16	21.114.7–29.6
2017	13.210.7–16	21.914.3–29.4
2018	12.99.7–16.3	22.916–29.9
2019	13.310.4–16.5	21.916.4–29.5
2020	13.410.9–17	23.617–31.6
2021	13.910.7–17.4	2317.1–30.9
2022	14.110.9–17.6	23.617.3–31.6
2023	14.411.3–17	24.717.8–33.4
2024	14.510.6–17.8	25.418.6–34.1
2025	14.911.7–18.3	2518.1–33
2026	1410.7–18	25.618.3–34.1
2027	14.411.4–18.2	24.816.9–34.8
2028	14.811.6–18.6	25.218.7–32
2029	14.110.9–18	26.219.8–34.4
2030	14.911.8–17.9	25.919.3–34.5
2031	15.412.3–18.6	26.419.7–35.1
2032	15.312.1–19.1	27.219.9–35.6
2033	15.311.6–19.4	28.721.4–36.9
2034	15.211.4–19.5	27.620.8–34.7
2035	16.112–19.5	28.721.7–37
2036	15.512.4–19.6	28.720.9–38.1
2037	15.912.6–19.2	29.721.3–38.6
2038	16.112.9–19.6	29.922–41.6
2039	15.612.2–19.1	30.923.6–40.3
2040	16.212.5–20.4	30.923.2–40.9
2041	16.612.7–20.2	30.122.2–40.5
2042	16.512.6–20.2	29.920.1–40.7
2043	15.812.1–20.7	3123.6–40.4
2044	16.613.6–20.7	30.823.1–43.5
2045	16.812.9–20.4	32.424–43.1
2046	1712.8–21.9	32.923.5–42.8
2047	1713.2–21.7	32.324.1–44.9
2048	16.813.7–21.1	34.123–45.9
2049	16.913.7–21.4	31.622.1–43.2
2050	17.614–22.1	33.423.8–44.2
2051	17.513.7–22.9	34.125–43.1
2052	17.413.9–22.1	33.325.3–42.6
2053	17.814.4–21.5	35.326.6–44.2
2054	17.914.3–22.4	34.624–44.1
2055	18.214.6–22.5	35.425.9–47.7
2056	18.514.2–22.9	34.424.1–45.6
2057	18.914.2–23.2	36.326–47.4
2058	18.314.3–23.5	36.425.8–51.8
2059	18.114.5–23.3	37.124.8–48.1
2060	18.714.3–23.3	35.826.7–48.3
2061	18.514.1–22.4	38.826.3–49.7
2062	1914.9–24.2	37.725.3–49.5
2063	1914.8–23.3	38.426.6–51.7
2064	18.713.9–23.5	38.928.4–49.9
2065	19.515.3–24.9	39.628.6–49.4
2066	19.515.9–23.6	36.325–49.1
2067	19.915.5–25	38.327.7–50.7
2068	19.815.8–24.2	39.928–50.7
2069	19.716–24.2	39.729.2–52.2
2070	19.516–25.2	39.527.6–51.7
2071	19.516–25.1	39.829.1–51.7
2072	19.315.4–25.5	41.928.9–54.2
2073	19.915.8–25.6	40.927.2–54.6
2074	20.116.7–25.4	39.428–51.9
2075	19.516–25.6	39.828.4–53.9
2076	20.114.4–25.3	41.529.1–53.7
2077	20.615.5–27	41.329–53.3
2078	2015.3–27.2	42.231.3–52.9
2079	19.414.9–25.5	4430.8–56.6
2080	20.315.3–26.6	43.432.5–54.9
2081	19.815.7–25.8	42.131.7–54.6
2082	20.716.3–26.1	43.630.9–56
2083	20.916.3–26.4	4629.6–57.6
2084	20.615.4–26.5	45.131–56.8
2085	20.515.9–27.5	43.330.3–54.5
2086	20.715.6–26.8	43.830.2–56.4
2087	20.917.3–25.8	44.229.2–59
2088	21.115.5–26.9	44.932.7–58.1
2089	21.216.7–26.7	44.630.7–59.3
2090	2115.6–26.7	46.132.8–59.2
2091	2216.7–27.4	45.332.2–61.2
2092	21.416.7–26.6	45.631.1–59.2
2093	21.716.9–26.7	47.631.5–61.8
2094	21.817–28	47.533.7–61.2
2095	21.916.8–27.4	46.232.3–60.2
2096	22.417.9–27.9	45.731.1–60.7
2097	21.817.2–27.4	48.432.1–61
2098	22.317–28.6	46.431.2–59.5
2099	22.217.1–27.3	45.430.8–58
2100	21.816.3–28.6	45.530.4–60.1

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

塔吉克斯坦与土耳其对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数塔吉克斯坦：2022 年为 78 人死亡土耳其：2022 年为 128 人死亡