土耳其与乌克兰：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：土耳其为 19.8 夜，乌克兰为 8.2 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年土耳其的数值较高，高出 11.6 夜，是乌克兰的 2.41 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

土耳其乌克兰CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，土耳其的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年土耳其为 45.5 夜，乌克兰为 28.6 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	土耳其	乌克兰
2014	19.8	8.2
2013	18.5	6.6
2012	18.7	6
2011	18.5	6.5
2010	18.7	7.1
2009	17.6	6.3
2008	18.2	5.9
2007	16.6	5.7
2006	17.7	6.3
2005	17.2	6.6
2004	17.1	5
2003	17.6	5.9
2002	16.8	5
2001	17.3	4.5
2000	16.4	5.2
1999	15.9	3.8
1998	14.7	3.6
1997	15	3.6
1996	14.8	3.7
1995	14.1	3.2
1994	13.5	2.8
1993	12.1	2.5
1992	11.5	1.3
1991	13.4	2.5
1990	14.6	2.3
1989	13.1	2.5
1988	12.9	1.6
1987	12.5	2.5
1986	13.3	3.5
1985	12.4	2.7
1984	11.9	2.2
1983	10.7	1.3
1982	12.4	2.1
1981	12.2	1.8
1980	12.4	1.8
1979	12	2
1978	11.5	2
1977	11.2	1.4
1976	12	2
1975	11.5	1.6
1974	11.8	2.3
1973	11.6	1.7
1972	11.5	1.4
1971	12.1	2.3
1970	11.6	1.7
1969	12	2
1968	12	2.5
1967	11.3	1.7
1966	11.5	1.8
1965	10.8	2
1964	11.2	1.6
1963	12	2.1
1962	11.8	1.8
1961	12	2.1
1960	12.9	2.3
1959	12.6	2.7
1958	13	2.4
1957	12.2	2.2
1956	12.7	2.4
1955	11.9	2.3
1954	11.9	2.1
1953	12.9	2.7
1952	12.1	2.3
1951	12.5	2.2
1950	12.3	2.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	土耳其	乌克兰
2015	22.216.2–29.8	7.82.8–18.1
2016	21.114.7–29.6	9.72.5–19.2
2017	21.914.3–29.4	7.93–18.7
2018	22.916–29.9	10.33.7–18.6
2019	21.916.4–29.5	9.33.1–17.1
2020	23.617–31.6	10.94.2–20.2
2021	2317.1–30.9	93–19.1
2022	23.617.3–31.6	10.63.4–21.5
2023	24.717.8–33.4	11.93.2–23.6
2024	25.418.6–34.1	113.9–18.9
2025	2518.1–33	11.83.5–26.6
2026	25.618.3–34.1	10.73.8–20.7
2027	24.816.9–34.8	10.72.8–19.5
2028	25.218.7–32	10.73.6–20.6
2029	26.219.8–34.4	13.56.1–23.8
2030	25.919.3–34.5	9.73–19.2
2031	26.419.7–35.1	12.65.8–23.9
2032	27.219.9–35.6	14.44.8–27.8
2033	28.721.4–36.9	12.86.4–26.2
2034	27.620.8–34.7	124.8–25.8
2035	28.721.7–37	12.15.5–25.7
2036	28.720.9–38.1	15.18–27.7
2037	29.721.3–38.6	15.85.4–25
2038	29.922–41.6	16.26.6–29.6
2039	30.923.6–40.3	17.27.2–33.2
2040	30.923.2–40.9	15.76.7–26.2
2041	30.122.2–40.5	16.76.8–31.7
2042	29.920.1–40.7	15.36.1–28.4
2043	3123.6–40.4	17.39–32.4
2044	30.823.1–43.5	18.17.1–34
2045	32.424–43.1	17.15.6–33.9
2046	32.923.5–42.8	19.26–35.1
2047	32.324.1–44.9	18.38–34.3
2048	34.123–45.9	22.26.1–36.6
2049	31.622.1–43.2	19.56.6–34.9
2050	33.423.8–44.2	20.27.6–36.7
2051	34.125–43.1	18.68.7–33.3
2052	33.325.3–42.6	17.47.8–31.1
2053	35.326.6–44.2	17.59.3–27.7
2054	34.624–44.1	19.67.5–29.4
2055	35.425.9–47.7	18.96.7–35.8
2056	34.424.1–45.6	18.19–33.5
2057	36.326–47.4	23.39.4–38.3
2058	36.425.8–51.8	229–44.5
2059	37.124.8–48.1	20.38.2–36.8
2060	35.826.7–48.3	18.68.6–33.8
2061	38.826.3–49.7	249.1–41.5
2062	37.725.3–49.5	22.49.9–39.1
2063	38.426.6–51.7	24.89.7–39.5
2064	38.928.4–49.9	22.18.5–38
2065	39.628.6–49.4	24.59.9–38.5
2066	36.325–49.1	22.37.9–40.7
2067	38.327.7–50.7	20.99.6–36.2
2068	39.928–50.7	20.88.1–40
2069	39.729.2–52.2	25.112.1–46.5
2070	39.527.6–51.7	22.87.2–41.8
2071	39.829.1–51.7	21.97.3–41.9
2072	41.928.9–54.2	27.913.8–44
2073	40.927.2–54.6	23.79.2–40.8
2074	39.428–51.9	2311.7–40.5
2075	39.828.4–53.9	24.59.4–44.1
2076	41.529.1–53.7	28.510.2–45.9
2077	41.329–53.3	24.310.6–42
2078	42.231.3–52.9	26.513.7–44.8
2079	4430.8–56.6	29.910.5–53.2
2080	43.432.5–54.9	28.314.7–44
2081	42.131.7–54.6	27.615.7–45.4
2082	43.630.9–56	2912.7–52.7
2083	4629.6–57.6	28.311.8–46.5
2084	45.131–56.8	31.614.5–45.4
2085	43.330.3–54.5	28.98.5–45.4
2086	43.830.2–56.4	27.714.3–51.7
2087	44.229.2–59	2814.8–50.6
2088	44.932.7–58.1	29.313.7–51
2089	44.630.7–59.3	25.211.3–46.5
2090	46.132.8–59.2	2913.9–50.7
2091	45.332.2–61.2	33.210.4–50.4
2092	45.631.1–59.2	3212.8–49.5
2093	47.631.5–61.8	30.911.2–54.7
2094	47.533.7–61.2	31.316.2–51.5
2095	46.232.3–60.2	3113.3–49
2096	45.731.1–60.7	29.614–50.4
2097	48.432.1–61	31.311.4–53.5
2098	46.431.2–59.5	31.713.7–49
2099	45.430.8–58	28.111.9–46.7
2100	45.530.4–60.1	28.614.8–45.7

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

土耳其与乌克兰对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数土耳其：2022 年为 128 人死亡乌克兰：2022 年为 82,590 人死亡