皮特凯恩群岛

皮特凯恩群岛的热带夜

皮特凯恩群岛的热带夜:1950 年为 311.9 夜,2014 年为 335 夜(CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟)。

最新值,2014 年
335 夜
模型值
自 1950 年以来
+23.1 夜
预测值,2100 年
358.5 夜
CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径)

每年夜数 · CMIP6

皮特凯恩群岛的热带夜皮特凯恩群岛的热带夜:1950 年为 311.9 夜,2014 年为 335 夜(CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟)。 根据CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径),2100 年为 358.5 夜,介于 351.3 夜 至 364.7 夜 之间(模型第 10–90 百分位)。
CMIP6 历史模拟,模型中位数CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径)模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

  • 根据CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径),2100 年为 358.5 夜,介于 351.3 夜 至 364.7 夜 之间(模型第 10–90 百分位)。
  • 最高为 2006 年的 339.2 夜,最低为 1965 年的 307.6 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份皮特凯恩群岛
2014335
2013337.6
2012334.6
2011333.1
2010332.8
2009332.5
2008337.9
2007333.5
2006339.2
2005334.5
2004329.4
2003330.7
2002336.6
2001330.6
2000339
1999333.3
1998329.5
1997331.6
1996332.7
1995334.7
1994321.9
1993320.6
1992318.8
1991329.1
1990328.7
1989330.4
1988332.8
1987324.8
1986324.3
1985322.3
1984327
1983324.1
1982324
1981329.6
1980327.3
1979319.6
1978327.7
1977319.8
1976327.1
1975329.7
1974317.3
1973313.9
1972322.7
1971320
1970326.6
1969320.5
1968310.4
1967321.6
1966310.2
1965307.6
1964309.5
1963311.6
1962322.5
1961327.2
1960318.4
1959331.5
1958324.7
1957325.2
1956320.6
1955318.9
1954320.4
1953321.4
1952319.2
1951314.3
1950311.9
CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径) · 2015–2100
年份皮特凯恩群岛
2015338.6305.9–350.1
2016343.8322–359.3
2017334.5308.8–352.2
2018338.2320.9–360.9
2019343.1317.8–362.4
2020342.1306.1–351.3
2021338.5307.6–355.3
2022341.7319.9–359.8
2023337.7310.7–358.8
2024342.1324.4–355.7
2025342.9317.7–358
2026341.1314.7–356.8
2027335.9319.8–351.8
2028336.2288.9–356.6
2029343.6321.1–358.7
2030347.6320.4–357.6
2031340.9309.9–351.9
2032342.1315.1–356.6
2033346.7320.5–362.3
2034345.7324.8–360.2
2035347.4331.8–361
2036351336.6–362.4
2037342.1325.4–357.1
2038348.3330.6–355.5
2039346.2329.6–361
2040347.9327.8–359.1
2041344.9318.6–360.9
2042347.4332.1–356.3
2043353.6332.6–362.3
2044347.8331.4–362
2045350.6333.2–362.2
2046346.7324.4–359.1
2047353.5326.9–363.2
2048347.6309.8–362.6
2049347.2327.7–362.7
2050352330.7–361.9
2051351.4326.5–363.6
2052353.3333.2–361.8
2053351.8333.1–363.8
2054356.3336.9–364.7
2055355.7331.6–362.5
2056353.8340.7–364
2057354338–362.3
2058352.9334.9–363.1
2059346.9331.6–363.2
2060356.4338.6–361
2061353.6335.4–362.9
2062358.7330–364.8
2063353.3334.8–361.4
2064356.7340.9–363.8
2065353.7328.6–363.1
2066355.8338.7–363.8
2067355.2324.1–364.8
2068355.9342–362.3
2069355.9339.6–364.3
2070353.3335.5–364.3
2071357.9345.7–363.8
2072357.9336.7–362.8
2073356.7333.8–364.2
2074360.1343.4–365
2075358.3337.1–363.9
2076356.3343.1–363.3
2077356.9341.5–361.7
2078356.5342.3–364.9
2079354.6336.1–363.2
2080358.2334.1–365.4
2081358.5344.5–363.3
2082357.4340.7–364.9
2083356.1351.1–364
2084359.4344.4–365.2
2085357.3344.8–364.8
2086358.9340.6–364.8
2087358.6343.6–363.7
2088360.6335.9–364.8
2089359.7346.1–364.7
2090359.4347–364.9
2091358.7346.7–364.4
2092359349–364
2093358.6348.3–364.8
2094358.3347.2–363.2
2095358.4335.1–363.4
2096360.6339.8–364.9
2097358349.7–363.6
2098360.7349.3–364.3
2099359.9344.8–364.8
2100358.5351.3–364.7

须知

  • 一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数,取全国平均。
  • 来源:World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
  • 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径),是一种情景而非预报;阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
  • 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数:2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟,此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟;它们并非实测数据。

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