Australia vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 81.7 days in Australia and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Australia, by 68.5 days, or 6.2 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

AustraliaSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Australia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Australia at 120.5 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Australia	South Africa
2014	81.7	13.2
2013	83.1	15.2
2012	80.8	14.3
2011	79.5	11.7
2010	83.2	12.5
2009	80	13.2
2008	79.5	12.3
2007	78.5	12
2006	76	11.9
2005	76.6	13.3
2004	82.2	13.9
2003	80.7	12.6
2002	74.3	12.6
2001	77.2	11.1
2000	78	11.8
1999	71.7	11
1998	78.1	12.1
1997	75.2	11.3
1996	71.1	9.4
1995	68.9	8.3
1994	69.6	8.5
1993	67.8	7.8
1992	60.6	7.1
1991	73.2	11.1
1990	75.6	10.1
1989	72.9	11.5
1988	69.8	9.4
1987	70.1	11.5
1986	72.2	10.2
1985	66.1	8.7
1984	71.3	8.7
1983	68.4	8.6
1982	73.4	10.5
1981	69.1	9.7
1980	71.2	10.3
1979	70.4	9.4
1978	70.8	9.5
1977	70.3	9.3
1976	69.4	9
1975	65.8	9.3
1974	67.7	8.8
1973	71.3	9.5
1972	65.4	8.4
1971	68.8	8.7
1970	66	8.2
1969	70	8.9
1968	67.2	8.4
1967	67.7	6.9
1966	66.9	7.8
1965	66.9	7.9
1964	64.8	6.4
1963	63.4	7
1962	70.7	8.9
1961	72.1	10.5
1960	71.5	9.7
1959	69.2	8.9
1958	69.6	9.3
1957	70.1	10.3
1956	67.3	7.9
1955	66.2	10.3
1954	70.4	9.1
1953	67.7	7.8
1952	71	9
1951	69.7	8.4
1950	68.6	8.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Australia	South Africa
2015	76.853.2–96.9	14.76.8–24
2016	79.859.4–98.3	13.46.3–22.2
2017	86.262–105.4	15.27.7–24.6
2018	85.863–104.5	179.7–28
2019	80.955.1–101.6	14.67.1–24.5
2020	84.756.1–104	15.77.4–23.5
2021	85.663.6–106.5	17.99.4–27
2022	89.462.5–109.3	189.8–29
2023	84.961–108.6	18.69.9–27.1
2024	89.263.7–109.8	17.89.8–28
2025	86.459.2–112.4	16.57.5–29.6
2026	88.864.7–112.2	20.19.3–29.4
2027	89.463.2–109.7	19.910.5–32.8
2028	93.269.5–112.9	19.110.6–33.2
2029	9476.8–115.4	21.412.9–33.6
2030	87.664.4–110	21.19.6–33.9
2031	92.264.8–115	20.79.9–35.4
2032	96.273.8–119.2	2110.9–34.8
2033	92.871–113.6	22.612.2–34.2
2034	94.673.5–118.5	24.615–35.1
2035	93.968.1–117.2	20.911.7–31.3
2036	90.267.6–113.7	21.111.9–32.2
2037	100.677.4–120.6	23.412.6–35.2
2038	98.474.8–118.7	26.216–36.7
2039	9666.5–117.1	22.611.4–35.9
2040	95.971.2–117.3	21.510.9–35.4
2041	95.571.6–117.2	23.213.2–35.8
2042	96.367.9–119.8	25.214.3–39.6
2043	99.376.7–118.2	25.613.4–39.9
2044	97.974.6–121.5	26.113.1–41.6
2045	97.875.9–118.2	26.813.1–40.3
2046	98.972.9–124.7	25.914.5–40.8
2047	101.675.9–122.9	26.713.7–41.4
2048	105.875–127.2	29.215.6–45.4
2049	104.379.7–126.3	29.117.3–44.7
2050	103.274.6–124.4	29.815.7–48.6
2051	106.578.2–130.4	27.913.6–45.2
2052	103.877.1–130.6	31.918.3–46.8
2053	102.877.4–129.2	28.318.6–43.2
2054	103.979.2–132.2	30.717.3–50.1
2055	107.780.2–128.9	2917.8–48
2056	10782.5–128.6	29.916–45.3
2057	107.880.8–128.5	3117.4–50.1
2058	107.678.9–132.4	31.115.7–46
2059	109.283.2–131.6	3216.1–49.9
2060	108.281.6–130.8	33.419.8–49.7
2061	110.582.7–133.6	32.718.1–51.1
2062	103.675.5–126.2	31.317.7–52.6
2063	112.885.3–134.9	32.317.4–50.7
2064	109.485.3–132.4	31.817.7–47.6
2065	107.679.3–129.4	31.716.2–50.7
2066	114.593.5–137.8	34.318.4–55.3
2067	111.281.6–140	32.617.2–52.4
2068	114.379.8–138.3	33.819.2–54.3
2069	108.782–134.9	34.621.3–52.4
2070	109.479.1–140.3	32.819.3–51.1
2071	111.783–138	35.320.8–55.8
2072	113.787.6–137.3	37.820.3–54.6
2073	118.593.1–139.9	4425.6–62.1
2074	112.586.3–136	38.320.7–55.8
2075	113.181–135.9	34.218.7–53.1
2076	114.987.1–137.5	38.822.9–57.5
2077	117.686.2–139.7	39.124.2–60.3
2078	116.193.4–136.9	35.521.6–53.4
2079	112.485.3–137.7	40.522.9–59.7
2080	11483.2–138.7	40.523.4–59
2081	115.882.5–139.6	38.523.8–59.9
2082	116.188.5–138.4	38.622.5–58.2
2083	113.184.1–140.2	38.518.7–62.9
2084	120.886–143.5	39.720.6–58.4
2085	116.987.7–142.3	4021.5–65.8
2086	118.683.7–140.4	40.823–63.7
2087	11785.8–143	38.324.6–58.6
2088	120.188.6–146.1	42.222.6–66.3
2089	117.491.7–140.8	41.624.2–59.1
2090	11988.8–146.2	42.326.1–66.4
2091	118.691.2–140.5	43.324.2–63.6
2092	118.784.5–143.2	43.928–61.6
2093	122.388.6–148.2	37.521.3–63.4
2094	117.689–142.8	41.325.4–65.9
2095	12494.3–151.5	43.522.9–70.2
2096	118.390.2–145.3	41.224.1–66.8
2097	120.986.4–147.2	37.723.7–60.9
2098	118.891.5–144.3	46.425.1–71.4
2099	123.292.1–145.4	42.525.1–64.8
2100	120.591–145.4	4022.2–64.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Australia vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Australia vs South Africa

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