Belgium vs Singapore: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.2 nights in Belgium and 365 nights in Singapore, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Singapore, by 364.8 nights, or 1,500 times that in Belgium.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BelgiumSingaporeCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Singapore has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belgium at 7.7 nights and Singapore at 365 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Belgium	Singapore
2014	0.2	365
2013	0.5	365
2012	0.5	365
2011	0.1	365
2010	0.6	365
2009	0.1	365
2008	0	365
2007	0	365
2006	0	365
2005	0.3	365
2004	0.1	365
2003	0.4	365
2002	0	365
2001	0	365
2000	0	365
1999	0.2	365
1998	0	365
1997	0	365
1996	0	365
1995	0	365
1994	0	365
1993	0	365
1992	0	365
1991	0	365
1990	0	365
1989	0	365
1988	0	365
1987	0	365
1986	0	365
1985	0	365
1984	0	365
1983	0	365
1982	0	365
1981	0	365
1980	0	365
1979	0	365
1978	0	365
1977	0	365
1976	0	365
1975	0	365
1974	0	365
1973	0	365
1972	0	365
1971	0	365
1970	0	365
1969	0	365
1968	0	365
1967	0	365
1966	0	365
1965	0	365
1964	0	365
1963	0	365
1962	0	365
1961	0	365
1960	0	365
1959	0	365
1958	0	365
1957	0	365
1956	0	365
1955	0	365
1954	0	365
1953	0	365
1952	0	365
1951	0	365
1950	0	365

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Belgium	Singapore
2015	0.10–3.4	365360–365
2016	0.40–3.5	365360–366
2017	0.30–4.5	365360–365
2018	0.30–2.1	365360–365
2019	0.40–3	365360–365
2020	0.40–4.4	365360–366
2021	0.30–3.8	365360–365
2022	0.70–4.2	365360–365
2023	0.60–4.8	365360–365
2024	0.70–4.7	365360–366
2025	1.30–5.8	365360–365
2026	1.20–5.5	365360–365
2027	0.80–3.6	365360–365
2028	0.60–6	365360–366
2029	1.10–4.6	365360–365
2030	0.90–4	365360–365
2031	0.70–4	365360–365
2032	0.70–5.4	365360–366
2033	0.90–5	365360–365
2034	1.50–8.7	365360–365
2035	1.20–7.3	365360–365
2036	1.50–6.5	365360–366
2037	1.60–7.1	365360–365
2038	0.90–10.4	365360–365
2039	0.90–5.5	365360–365
2040	10–6.1	365360–366
2041	1.80–7.2	365360–365
2042	1.10–5.5	365360–365
2043	1.80–6	365360–365
2044	1.60.1–7.4	365360–366
2045	2.10–7.4	365360–365
2046	1.40.1–8	365360–365
2047	2.50.1–8.4	365360–365
2048	2.20–10.9	365360–366
2049	2.70–9.2	365360–365
2050	2.90.1–7.7	365360–365
2051	1.70.1–6.5	365360–365
2052	1.80–10.1	365360–366
2053	1.20–7	365360–365
2054	2.40.3–9.6	365360–365
2055	1.80–5.7	365360–365
2056	3.50.1–10.1	365360–366
2057	2.70–9.4	365360–365
2058	4.30.2–12.1	365360–365
2059	2.70–11.7	365360–365
2060	2.90.1–10.7	365360–366
2061	30.2–11.5	365360–365
2062	4.10.3–11.8	365360–365
2063	2.30.2–11	365360–365
2064	2.10.3–8.1	365360–366
2065	30.1–14.1	365360–365
2066	2.20–8.7	365360–365
2067	6.60.7–16.4	365360–365
2068	1.90–7.8	365360–366
2069	4.20.7–11.9	365360–365
2070	3.90.1–13.1	365360–365
2071	4.20.1–13.5	365360–365
2072	4.51.3–10.4	365360–366
2073	3.70.1–15.1	365360–365
2074	40.3–12.8	365360–365
2075	3.60.2–15	365360–365
2076	5.10.2–15.2	365360–366
2077	4.40–14.7	365360–365
2078	5.40.1–17.8	365360–365
2079	3.10.3–13.4	365360–365
2080	4.60.3–12	365360–366
2081	5.50.1–14.9	365360–365
2082	4.60.3–18.7	365360–365
2083	4.50.7–14.2	365360–365
2084	3.10.3–14	365360–366
2085	40.3–16.3	365360–365
2086	7.10.2–19.4	365360–365
2087	7.30.2–23.2	365360–365
2088	6.61.2–19.7	365360–366
2089	5.71.2–11.1	365360–365
2090	3.90–16.8	365360–365
2091	7.60.2–16.1	365360–365
2092	5.60.1–15	365360–366
2093	3.70.3–13.6	365360–365
2094	61.5–17	365360–365
2095	7.10.2–17.3	365360–365
2096	6.70.1–18.3	365360–366
2097	3.30.2–17.2	365360–365
2098	5.90.4–17.2	365360–365
2099	4.90.1–22	365360–365
2100	7.70.5–15.1	365360–365

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time