Belize vs Mexico: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 305.9 nights in Belize and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Belize, by 202.2 nights, or 2.95 times that in Mexico.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BelizeMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Belize has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belize at 349 nights and Mexico at 142.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Belize	Mexico
2014	305.9	103.7
2013	311.6	103.9
2012	306.4	102.8
2011	306.8	102.9
2010	305.3	101.5
2009	304.3	101.8
2008	302.1	100.1
2007	302.2	99.1
2006	302	99.8
2005	304.3	99.5
2004	303.6	99.4
2003	299.6	98.3
2002	299.1	99.1
2001	299.3	98.7
2000	299.5	97.9
1999	297	96.6
1998	297.1	95.8
1997	296.9	95.9
1996	292.3	93.8
1995	288.5	92.7
1994	290.7	90.7
1993	289.4	89
1992	288.9	88.5
1991	293.9	93.4
1990	296.2	94.9
1989	294.2	93
1988	291.6	92.1
1987	289.2	92
1986	286.8	90.2
1985	287.4	90
1984	284.9	88
1983	282.5	86.7
1982	285.7	88.7
1981	291.4	91.5
1980	287.7	90.1
1979	286.9	90.8
1978	285	89
1977	284.1	89
1976	287.6	89.1
1975	283.5	86.8
1974	284.5	87.9
1973	284.9	88.6
1972	282.3	87.7
1971	279.4	86.8
1970	278.1	86.1
1969	282.4	87.5
1968	281.2	87.1
1967	277.2	86.7
1966	280.3	86.4
1965	278.1	84.9
1964	277.5	84.7
1963	280.2	87.1
1962	283.5	88
1961	285	89.5
1960	287.2	89.7
1959	282.6	89.6
1958	284.3	89.1
1957	286.4	89
1956	283.8	88.5
1955	288.4	88.2
1954	286.3	88.4
1953	285.8	88.6
1952	283	87.8
1951	286.9	89.4
1950	284.2	88.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Belize	Mexico
2015	310.2291.1–328.2	106.192.9–118.4
2016	314296.3–330	107.695–120
2017	313.9301.3–327.1	108.696.3–119.7
2018	314.9299.7–329.4	10997.1–120.4
2019	315.8295.7–333.2	110.396.4–123
2020	316.4295.8–329.4	109.696.8–121.8
2021	316.6300.5–331.9	111.296.9–124.1
2022	316.4298–328	109.796–121.7
2023	319.9304.9–336.9	111.898.6–125.3
2024	318.7301–338.1	112.298.2–126.2
2025	319.4303.7–332.8	11298.8–125.8
2026	324.1302.2–339.1	113.999.5–126.4
2027	321.6306.8–340.3	112.999.5–128.3
2028	324.6308–339.3	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	323.5306.4–336.5	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	324.7308.1–337.6	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	327.5306.8–339.3	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	327309.8–342.8	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	326.5302.7–339.6	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	324.9307.4–341.4	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	325.1306.9–339.1	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	325.9309.3–343.2	117.8105.1–131
2037	329.5306.6–341.4	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	332.3315.1–343.1	121107.5–133.4
2039	327.9309.4–343.3	121.3107–135.6
2040	330.8310.8–343.1	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	331.1308–343	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	332.8309.1–344.1	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	331311.3–348.6	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	331.9314.8–345.3	121.9108–135.6
2045	333.5318.7–347	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	329.8310.4–348.8	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	334.8319.5–348.1	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	334.6315–348.6	126.3113–140.3
2049	338.1317.9–348.4	127111.2–140.8
2050	339.9315.8–351.4	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	338.1320.7–348.1	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	332.1320.3–349.1	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	337.8314.6–351.8	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	336.4324.5–349.9	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	337.4323.9–351.1	129114.4–144.7
2056	338.7322.9–352	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	339.1324.2–350.4	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	337.8320.9–352.1	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	339.3316.6–351.6	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	342.5325.6–352	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	339.5324.4–352.2	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	339323.2–350.6	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	339.9323.9–354.6	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	339.2321.5–352.1	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	339.4322.2–352.2	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	341.2321.8–353.5	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	341.3323–354.4	133.3117–150.3
2068	343.4326.8–356.5	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	345.3328.1–355.2	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	342.8326.9–355.8	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	345.1329.4–354.6	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	347.7324.9–358.6	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	343.9325.6–356.7	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	347.2328.1–357	136119.7–152.2
2075	343.1324.1–355.5	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	344.4317.6–358.1	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	344.1324–356	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	346.6323.7–357.9	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	344.4327.3–356.8	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	344.8327.2–359.4	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	345.4326.3–355	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	345.2329.8–357.4	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	344.1328–357.1	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	346.9331.9–357.4	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	346.2325.2–357.5	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	345.1325.5–356.1	139.8121–157.8
2087	348323.8–357.8	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	351.4330.2–359.6	141121.8–159.9
2089	350.2327.9–358.1	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	348.6336–359.8	141.2123–160.7
2091	348.7333.4–359.8	141.8123–161.6
2092	349.5329.8–357.9	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	346.1331–358.6	141.4124.3–161
2094	348329.9–357.3	142123.3–159.6
2095	348.9334.1–357.6	143.5124–160.7
2096	348.8330.7–357.5	142.3125–161.3
2097	345333.7–355.7	141.2123.2–160
2098	346.8326.4–359.5	142.2122.5–162
2099	348.4326.5–357.8	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	349332.1–357.1	142.8124.3–160.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Belize vs Mexico: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Belize vs Mexico

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