Brazil vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C
Days above 35 °C in 2014: 18.8 days in Brazil and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Brazil, by 5.7 days, or 1.43 times that in South Africa.
BrazilSouth Africa
Watch it change on the mapdays a year · CMIP6
Latest figures
days a year · CMIP6
| Country | Latest | 10 years before | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 18.8 2014 | 16.2 | 80.8 2100 |
| South Africa | 13.2 2014 | 13.9 | 40 2100 |
What the numbers say
- Brazil has been higher since 2008, when it overtook South Africa.
- The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Brazil at 80.8 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.
Every year
days a year · CMIP6
| Year | Brazil | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18.8 | 13.2 |
| 2013 | 21.8 | 15.2 |
| 2012 | 19.5 | 14.3 |
| 2011 | 19.6 | 11.7 |
| 2010 | 15.4 | 12.5 |
| 2009 | 16.6 | 13.2 |
| 2008 | 14.6 | 12.3 |
| 2007 | 11.6 | 12 |
| 2006 | 12 | 11.9 |
| 2005 | 14.2 | 13.3 |
| 2004 | 16.2 | 13.9 |
| 2003 | 15.5 | 12.6 |
| 2002 | 12.4 | 12.6 |
| 2001 | 16.1 | 11.1 |
| 2000 | 13.5 | 11.8 |
| 1999 | 11.4 | 11 |
| 1998 | 12.8 | 12.1 |
| 1997 | 11.7 | 11.3 |
| 1996 | 10 | 9.4 |
| 1995 | 8.8 | 8.3 |
| 1994 | 9.1 | 8.5 |
| 1993 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
| 1992 | 5.6 | 7.1 |
| 1991 | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| 1990 | 13.3 | 10.1 |
| 1989 | 10.2 | 11.5 |
| 1988 | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| 1987 | 9.4 | 11.5 |
| 1986 | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| 1985 | 7.5 | 8.7 |
| 1984 | 7 | 8.7 |
| 1983 | 6.4 | 8.6 |
| 1982 | 8.5 | 10.5 |
| 1981 | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| 1980 | 8.1 | 10.3 |
| 1979 | 9.1 | 9.4 |
| 1978 | 9 | 9.5 |
| 1977 | 8 | 9.3 |
| 1976 | 6.9 | 9 |
| 1975 | 6.8 | 9.3 |
| 1974 | 7.1 | 8.8 |
| 1973 | 7.3 | 9.5 |
| 1972 | 7 | 8.4 |
| 1971 | 5.8 | 8.7 |
| 1970 | 6.7 | 8.2 |
| 1969 | 6.9 | 8.9 |
| 1968 | 6.4 | 8.4 |
| 1967 | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| 1966 | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| 1965 | 6 | 7.9 |
| 1964 | 5.9 | 6.4 |
| 1963 | 4.9 | 7 |
| 1962 | 7.2 | 8.9 |
| 1961 | 7.5 | 10.5 |
| 1960 | 7.8 | 9.7 |
| 1959 | 7.5 | 8.9 |
| 1958 | 7.9 | 9.3 |
| 1957 | 8 | 10.3 |
| 1956 | 6.9 | 7.9 |
| 1955 | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| 1954 | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| 1953 | 6.8 | 7.8 |
| 1952 | 7.2 | 9 |
| 1951 | 7.2 | 8.4 |
| 1950 | 7.7 | 8.7 |
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
| Year | Brazil | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18.56.9–38.8 | 14.76.8–24 |
| 2016 | 18.57–35.9 | 13.46.3–22.2 |
| 2017 | 19.47.7–41.4 | 15.27.7–24.6 |
| 2018 | 19.87.6–41.4 | 179.7–28 |
| 2019 | 218.9–47.1 | 14.67.1–24.5 |
| 2020 | 21.98.7–43.2 | 15.77.4–23.5 |
| 2021 | 24.69.7–51.8 | 17.99.4–27 |
| 2022 | 23.410–51.2 | 189.8–29 |
| 2023 | 25.710.5–55.5 | 18.69.9–27.1 |
| 2024 | 27.713.3–51.1 | 17.89.8–28 |
| 2025 | 27.210.5–57.6 | 16.57.5–29.6 |
| 2026 | 24.48.1–53.1 | 20.19.3–29.4 |
| 2027 | 28.28.9–55.7 | 19.910.5–32.8 |
| 2028 | 29.411.9–61.9 | 19.110.6–33.2 |
| 2029 | 33.916.4–66.7 | 21.412.9–33.6 |
| 2030 | 28.211.6–56.6 | 21.19.6–33.9 |
| 2031 | 35.315.2–70.7 | 20.79.9–35.4 |
| 2032 | 35.616.6–67.3 | 2110.9–34.8 |
| 2033 | 3113.5–63.2 | 22.612.2–34.2 |
| 2034 | 31.214.1–75.1 | 24.615–35.1 |
| 2035 | 30.814.4–68 | 20.911.7–31.3 |
| 2036 | 32.413.7–58.7 | 21.111.9–32.2 |
| 2037 | 39.419.6–66.5 | 23.412.6–35.2 |
| 2038 | 38.215.4–71.3 | 26.216–36.7 |
| 2039 | 37.214.6–75.5 | 22.611.4–35.9 |
| 2040 | 38.518.6–76.2 | 21.510.9–35.4 |
| 2041 | 41.819.9–76.6 | 23.213.2–35.8 |
| 2042 | 39.917–86.1 | 25.214.3–39.6 |
| 2043 | 37.614.9–81.2 | 25.613.4–39.9 |
| 2044 | 38.416.1–84.4 | 26.113.1–41.6 |
| 2045 | 40.420.4–74.9 | 26.813.1–40.3 |
| 2046 | 5023.7–86.7 | 25.914.5–40.8 |
| 2047 | 43.522.9–86.4 | 26.713.7–41.4 |
| 2048 | 50.424.6–96.2 | 29.215.6–45.4 |
| 2049 | 49.823.9–90.2 | 29.117.3–44.7 |
| 2050 | 46.922–92.7 | 29.815.7–48.6 |
| 2051 | 47.324.9–95.6 | 27.913.6–45.2 |
| 2052 | 54.728.7–97.5 | 31.918.3–46.8 |
| 2053 | 47.122.6–92.3 | 28.318.6–43.2 |
| 2054 | 45.221.6–92.2 | 30.717.3–50.1 |
| 2055 | 52.228.6–103.8 | 2917.8–48 |
| 2056 | 53.223.6–110.8 | 29.916–45.3 |
| 2057 | 50.620.2–94.7 | 3117.4–50.1 |
| 2058 | 55.325–117.3 | 31.115.7–46 |
| 2059 | 61.229–118.5 | 3216.1–49.9 |
| 2060 | 6531.1–111.3 | 33.419.8–49.7 |
| 2061 | 54.123.5–115.4 | 32.718.1–51.1 |
| 2062 | 54.924.7–127.7 | 31.317.7–52.6 |
| 2063 | 59.428.6–112.9 | 32.317.4–50.7 |
| 2064 | 54.828.7–106.1 | 31.817.7–47.6 |
| 2065 | 62.330.3–119.5 | 31.716.2–50.7 |
| 2066 | 62.330.6–113.5 | 34.318.4–55.3 |
| 2067 | 60.926.9–113.1 | 32.617.2–52.4 |
| 2068 | 66.730.1–119.7 | 33.819.2–54.3 |
| 2069 | 60.631.5–113.8 | 34.621.3–52.4 |
| 2070 | 59.932.1–124.8 | 32.819.3–51.1 |
| 2071 | 64.433.8–111 | 35.320.8–55.8 |
| 2072 | 6830.5–128.1 | 37.820.3–54.6 |
| 2073 | 72.736–127.6 | 4425.6–62.1 |
| 2074 | 68.832.6–125.7 | 38.320.7–55.8 |
| 2075 | 67.832.7–116.4 | 34.218.7–53.1 |
| 2076 | 67.933.7–124.9 | 38.822.9–57.5 |
| 2077 | 72.535.5–128.9 | 39.124.2–60.3 |
| 2078 | 7336.7–132 | 35.521.6–53.4 |
| 2079 | 69.233.6–125.5 | 40.522.9–59.7 |
| 2080 | 67.834.9–122.2 | 40.523.4–59 |
| 2081 | 70.936.9–140.4 | 38.523.8–59.9 |
| 2082 | 70.640.7–125.8 | 38.622.5–58.2 |
| 2083 | 75.735.7–152.5 | 38.518.7–62.9 |
| 2084 | 7734.1–140.3 | 39.720.6–58.4 |
| 2085 | 83.937.2–147.8 | 4021.5–65.8 |
| 2086 | 73.334.6–141 | 40.823–63.7 |
| 2087 | 78.439.2–144.2 | 38.324.6–58.6 |
| 2088 | 79.335.1–152 | 42.222.6–66.3 |
| 2089 | 75.239–146.4 | 41.624.2–59.1 |
| 2090 | 78.341.8–148.6 | 42.326.1–66.4 |
| 2091 | 8135.2–147.9 | 43.324.2–63.6 |
| 2092 | 7936.6–148 | 43.928–61.6 |
| 2093 | 7739.3–148.7 | 37.521.3–63.4 |
| 2094 | 7939.6–144.5 | 41.325.4–65.9 |
| 2095 | 88.636.5–155.9 | 43.522.9–70.2 |
| 2096 | 75.736.1–152.8 | 41.224.1–66.8 |
| 2097 | 7936.7–135.6 | 37.723.7–60.9 |
| 2098 | 82.737.9–166.4 | 46.425.1–71.4 |
| 2099 | 77.941–144.7 | 42.525.1–64.8 |
| 2100 | 80.840.2–141.3 | 4022.2–64.5 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
- Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
- The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
- Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time