Bulgaria vs Serbia

Bulgaria vs Serbia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.5 °C in Bulgaria and 12.3 °C in Serbia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Bulgaria, by 0.2 °C, or 1.02 times that in Serbia.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Bulgaria vs Serbia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.5 °C in Bulgaria and 12.3 °C in Serbia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Bulgaria, by 0.2 °C, or 1.02 times that in Serbia.
BulgariaSerbiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Bulgaria has been higher since 2025, when it overtook Serbia.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Bulgaria at 14.3 °C and Serbia at 14.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearBulgariaBulgaria: CMIP6 historical run, model medianSerbiaSerbia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.512.712.312.4
202413.312.413.312.2
20231312.412.612.3
202212.212.612.112.5
202111.712.411.412.3
202012.312.311.712.1
201912.612.112.411.8
201812.112.112.111.8
201711.712.111.611.8
20161211.811.511.7
201512.112.31212.1
201411.9121211.8
201312.111.911.811.7
20121211.711.811.6
201110.911.91111.8
201011.71211.311.9
200911.811.811.711.9
200811.91211.911.8
200712.311.511.911.4
200611.111.610.811.6
200510.711.610.111.4
200411.211.610.711.3
200310.911.61111.4
200211.511.411.711.1
200111.611.411.111.2
200011.811.612.111.5
199911.711.511.111.2
1998111110.810.9
199710.211.110.210.8
199610.311.21011
199510.71110.510.8
199412.111.111.811
199310.610.710.510.5
199210.810.31110.1
19911010.89.810.8
199011.311.311.211.2
19891110.910.810.8
198810.610.810.710.5
198710.310.610.410.3
198610.510.810.410.4
198510.310.69.910.5
198410.510.610.210.4
198310.710.310.810.3
198210.510.510.510.5
198110.710.610.410.4
19809.910.49.610.4
197910.710.510.610.1
197810.110.59.610.6
197710.910.310.710.1
19769.810.49.510.2
197510.810.310.610.2
197410.510.410.510.3
197310.210.710.110.5
197210.610.510.510.1
197110.510.710.410.5
19701110.210.310
196910.310.51010.3
19681110.510.710.2
196710.810.610.510.4
196611.510.310.910
196510.310.39.810
196410.310.79.710.5
196310.610.610.110.3
19621110.710.310.5
196111.110.811.110.4
196011.210.910.810.6
19591010.910.110.7
195811.410.81110.6
195710.710.610.610.3
19569.610.4910.3
195510.610.710.210.7
19549.710.59.410.3
195310.110.910.110.6
195211.510.711.310.7
195111.310.811.510.5
195011.610.811.910.5
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearBulgariaBulgaria: CMIP6 historical run, model medianSerbiaSerbia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.511.7–13.6–12.411.5–13.4
2027–12.511.6–14–12.311.6–13.9
2028–12.611.6–13.2–12.411.5–13.4
2029–12.711.9–13.6–12.511.4–13.7
2030–12.611.5–13.5–12.411.1–13.4
2031–12.611.6–13.5–12.311.2–13.5
2032–12.812–13.4–12.711.8–13.3
2033–12.712–13.9–12.311.6–13.5
2034–12.812–13.7–12.611.7–13.8
2035–1312.1–14–12.711.9–13.9
2036–12.911.9–14–12.911.8–14
2037–12.911.7–13.9–12.711.4–13.7
2038–13.311.7–14.2–13.111.6–14.1
2039–13.212.1–14–12.911.7–13.6
2040–1312.1–14–12.911.7–13.8
2041–12.912.1–13.6–12.412–13.7
2042–1311.9–14–12.811.6–13.8
2043–1312.2–14.3–12.911.6–14.2
2044–13.111.6–14.1–12.811.3–13.9
2045–13.112.2–14.6–12.812–14.6
2046–1312.3–14.4–12.811.7–14.1
2047–13.111.9–14.5–13.111.5–14.5
2048–13.412.3–14.3–13.311.9–14.5
2049–13.312.3–14.4–1311.7–14.3
2050–13.412.2–14.7–13.112–14.6
2051–13.412.4–14.3–1311.9–14.3
2052–13.412.4–14.4–13.111.9–14.4
2053–13.612.4–14.9–13.412.1–14.6
2054–13.312.4–14.6–13.212.1–14.7
2055–13.612.2–14.9–13.312–14.7
2056–13.312–14.7–13.111.6–14.3
2057–13.412.4–14.8–13.212.1–14.6
2058–13.612.5–15.4–13.612.3–15.3
2059–13.712.1–14.6–13.611.9–14.4
2060–13.512.4–14.7–13.512.2–14.4
2061–13.712.5–14.7–13.412.3–14.6
2062–13.912.6–15.1–13.512.4–15
2063–13.712.3–15.2–13.512.1–15.3
2064–13.612.5–15–13.412.4–14.6
2065–1412.4–15–13.712.2–14.8
2066–13.612.6–15.2–13.512–14.7
2067–1412.7–15–13.712.5–14.8
2068–13.812.9–15.4–13.812.8–15.2
2069–1412.9–15.1–13.712.7–15
2070–13.812.6–14.8–13.512.3–14.6
2071–13.812.2–15–13.811.6–15.1
2072–14.113–15.4–1412.8–15.4
2073–13.812.4–15.1–13.612.2–15
2074–13.812.7–15–13.712.4–14.9
2075–13.812.8–15.1–13.612.7–15.1
2076–13.912.5–15.4–13.612.4–15.2
2077–14.112.7–15–13.912.4–14.8
2078–14.212.8–15.4–13.812.5–15.3
2079–14.112.8–15.7–13.812.5–15.7
2080–14.113.2–15.2–1412.8–15.1
2081–1413.1–15.1–13.912.7–14.8
2082–14.113.1–15.3–13.912.9–15.3
2083–1413–15.5–13.712.3–15.1
2084–14.412.9–15.4–14.312.7–15.5
2085–14.213.2–15.4–1413.1–15.2
2086–14.413.1–15.7–14.212.9–15.7
2087–14.412.6–15.5–14.112.2–15.4
2088–14.213–15.3–1412.8–15.3
2089–14.212.7–15.5–1412.6–15.5
2090–14.613.3–15.9–14.612.8–15.3
2091–14.413.1–15.5–14.113–15.2
2092–14.412.9–15.9–14.312.7–15.7
2093–14.213–16.2–13.912.7–16.1
2094–14.712.2–16.4–14.412.3–16.3
2095–14.412.9–15.6–14.112.5–15.6
2096–14.212.6–16.1–1412.3–16
2097–14.513.1–16.3–14.312.9–15.7
2098–14.312.8–15.9–14.112.5–15.9
2099–14.413–15.5–14.512.8–15.4
2100–14.312.6–15.9–14.112.3–15.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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