Canada vs Egypt: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.5 nights in Canada and 145 nights in Egypt, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Egypt, by 144.5 nights, or 270 times that in Canada.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CanadaEgyptCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Egypt has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 4.1 nights and Egypt at 183.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Canada	Egypt
2014	0.5	145
2013	0.4	145
2012	0.5	145.1
2011	0.5	144.7
2010	0.4	143.5
2009	0.5	140.2
2008	0.4	142.6
2007	0.4	140.5
2006	0.5	139.6
2005	0.4	140
2004	0.4	141.3
2003	0.4	141
2002	0.4	137.7
2001	0.3	139
2000	0.3	134.8
1999	0.4	135.5
1998	0.3	133
1997	0.3	134
1996	0.3	132.1
1995	0.3	130.2
1994	0.2	129.8
1993	0.2	123.6
1992	0.1	126.1
1991	0.2	129.7
1990	0.3	129.7
1989	0.2	126
1988	0.2	124.3
1987	0.2	125.8
1986	0.2	128.9
1985	0.2	125.7
1984	0.2	119.4
1983	0.1	119.4
1982	0.1	120.7
1981	0.2	122.6
1980	0.2	124.9
1979	0.2	119.2
1978	0.2	122.6
1977	0.2	121.3
1976	0.1	123.2
1975	0.3	121.9
1974	0.2	123.1
1973	0.2	123.5
1972	0.2	120.1
1971	0.1	120.7
1970	0.2	119.7
1969	0.1	118.3
1968	0.1	119.4
1967	0.1	116.2
1966	0.2	116.1
1965	0.2	112.9
1964	0.1	116.4
1963	0.2	120.2
1962	0.2	118.9
1961	0.3	118.7
1960	0.2	123.6
1959	0.2	123.2
1958	0.2	120.7
1957	0.2	122.4
1956	0.2	122.7
1955	0.2	119.4
1954	0.2	120.8
1953	0.1	121.3
1952	0.2	120.7
1951	0.2	121.2
1950	0.2	118.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Canada	Egypt
2015	0.60.1–1.9	149.6131.4–164.2
2016	0.60.2–1.9	147.7133.5–160.2
2017	0.60.1–2	150.8134.8–163.2
2018	0.60.2–1.8	147.4133.4–165.6
2019	0.60.2–1.9	149.6132.7–164
2020	0.60.1–2	150.8136.4–164.7
2021	0.60.1–1.9	152.1137.8–168.1
2022	0.80.3–2.3	154138.1–170.6
2023	0.80.2–2.5	154.4139–168.4
2024	0.70.1–2.6	155.8141.7–168.5
2025	0.90.2–2.5	154.5139.6–168.1
2026	10.2–3.1	155.1144.5–165.9
2027	0.90.2–3.3	154.2139.5–166.3
2028	10.3–2.6	154.5141.8–168.6
2029	10.3–3	156.3139.9–169.5
2030	10.2–2.7	156.3143.1–169.1
2031	0.90.2–2.7	155.5141.5–171.2
2032	1.10.3–3.3	158.3144.6–170.4
2033	1.10.4–3	159.9143.8–172.9
2034	1.10.3–3.1	159.8144.9–173.2
2035	1.30.3–3.8	163.5146.6–175.8
2036	1.30.3–4	156.2143.7–170.6
2037	10.3–3.3	158.8142.9–173.8
2038	1.10.3–3.9	164.9146.1–177.8
2039	1.10.3–3.5	161.8146.1–180.1
2040	1.40.3–4.9	161.6147.9–176.5
2041	1.30.4–3.7	163.7149.4–177.3
2042	1.20.4–3.9	166.5149.7–180.6
2043	1.20.3–4.5	163.6150.3–176.8
2044	1.60.5–4.3	162.2147–178
2045	1.40.4–4.2	167.2152.5–181
2046	1.60.4–4.9	166149–181.1
2047	1.70.6–4.8	165.9151.8–181.5
2048	1.60.5–4.1	167.2154.5–180.1
2049	1.60.4–5	165.3148.7–177.9
2050	1.70.4–5.2	170152.8–183
2051	1.80.5–6	165.6152.7–179.5
2052	20.3–5.2	167.3156–180.2
2053	1.50.3–4.9	170.1153.6–183.8
2054	1.80.4–5.7	169153.3–183
2055	20.5–5	170.5153.5–183.3
2056	1.90.5–5.8	168.3151.2–181.4
2057	20.5–5.8	166.8150.7–185.3
2058	2.10.5–6.4	171.8154.2–188.2
2059	20.6–5.9	173.3157.8–188.6
2060	2.50.8–5.6	170.5154.8–189.3
2061	2.40.6–6	170.3155.1–184.6
2062	2.60.4–6.4	172.1155.2–185.7
2063	2.20.6–6.4	169.7152.8–182.6
2064	1.70.4–6	172.3155.9–187.2
2065	2.40.5–7	173.3159.7–189.9
2066	2.30.5–7.4	170155–187.7
2067	2.40.6–6.3	176.2161.5–190
2068	2.50.5–7.9	174.6157.3–193.1
2069	2.90.8–7	175.8158.8–191.7
2070	2.30.7–7.2	173.3158.3–191.7
2071	2.40.5–7.3	176.8158.1–194.7
2072	2.50.7–7.2	177.6160.8–192.1
2073	2.60.6–7.6	176159.2–189.3
2074	2.60.7–7.6	171.9156.5–194.1
2075	2.60.6–7.7	171.8157–191.9
2076	2.80.7–7.9	177161–194.6
2077	2.90.7–8.5	179.7157–194.1
2078	2.60.8–8.4	178.4161–195
2079	30.7–7.4	178.2160.2–193.7
2080	2.70.8–7.5	178.5163–193.3
2081	31–8.6	177.2160–192.8
2082	3.40.7–9.1	178.8164.5–193.3
2083	3.21–9.4	180.6164.4–195.7
2084	2.90.8–8.4	181.4162.4–197.8
2085	3.51–9.1	178.8163–196.7
2086	3.51–9.4	181.9166.6–198.8
2087	3.80.9–9.5	178156.4–194.3
2088	3.60.7–9.2	177.8163.5–196
2089	3.40.9–8.5	180.9163.5–198.9
2090	3.30.8–9	179.9162.4–197.8
2091	3.91–10.6	184.2165.1–198.9
2092	3.91–10	180.3162.9–196.3
2093	3.61–9.6	181.1166.1–198.2
2094	3.90.6–9.2	185.4168–198.9
2095	3.71.1–11.2	181.9165.5–197.3
2096	3.91.1–10.7	183.1163.5–200.3
2097	41.1–10.7	181.5165.4–198.9
2098	3.71.1–10.2	181.7162.1–198.8
2099	3.81.3–9.7	179.9164.2–197.8
2100	4.11–11.5	183.4162.9–198.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Canada vs Egypt: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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