Canada vs Poland

Canada vs Poland: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 9.6 °C in Poland, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Poland, by 12.1 °C.

°C · ERA5

Canada vs Poland: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 9.6 °C in Poland, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Poland, by 12.1 °C.
CanadaPolandCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Poland has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Canada ranked 232 and Poland ranked 203 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and Poland at 11.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianPolandPoland: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.29.69.4
2024-1.8-2119.1
2023-1.8-2.310.29.2
2022-3.6-2.39.69.9
2021-2.8-2.48.79.6
2020-3.6-2.5109.6
2019-3.6-2.710.39.1
2018-4.2-2.79.98.9
2017-3.2-2.698.9
2016-2.7-2.79.29
2015-3.5-2.79.99.1
2014-4.1-2.69.78.9
2013-4-2.98.69
2012-3-2.98.68.9
2011-3.4-398.8
2010-1.7-37.68.9
2009-4-3.18.68.9
2008-4.2-39.58.9
2007-4-3.19.48.7
2006-2.3-3.48.88.9
2005-3.2-3.18.49
2004-4.9-3.18.48.4
2003-3.7-3.18.48.6
2002-4.3-3.49.28.5
2001-3-3.48.38.4
2000-4.1-3.59.68.5
1999-3.3-3.498.3
1998-2.6-3.68.38.5
1997-4.2-3.688.3
1996-4.9-3.96.78.4
1995-4.2-4.18.27.8
1994-4.3-4.18.98.1
1993-4.4-4.57.87.6
1992-5-4.68.77.3
1991-4.4-47.97.8
1990-5-3.79.18.1
1989-5-4.19.48.1
1988-4.1-4.48.37.9
1987-3.3-46.57.9
1986-4.8-4.27.57.7
1985-4.8-4.46.78
1984-4.5-4.47.87.6
1983-4.7-4.697.5
1982-5.8-4.28.47.6
1981-2.8-4.27.87.5
1980-4.4-4.46.57.5
1979-4.9-4.37.37.7
1978-5.4-4.47.17.8
1977-3.9-4.487.6
1976-4.9-4.77.17.5
1975-4.9-4.397.4
1974-5.6-4.48.37.9
1973-4-4.67.97.6
1972-6.8-4.77.87.3
1971-4.8-4.58.27.6
1970-5-4.47.17.2
1969-4.4-4.46.97.3
1968-4.7-4.887.4
1967-5.4-4.68.87.3
1966-5.1-4.58.17.3
1965-5.5-4.66.87.4
1964-5.4-4.77.37.5
1963-4.6-4.56.97.6
1962-4.8-4.56.97.4
1961-5-4.48.37.6
1960-4.4-4.57.87.8
1959-5.2-4.68.37.6
1958-4.2-4.27.67.6
1957-4.9-4.58.17.3
1956-5.7-4.46.17.7
1955-4.9-4.27.27.6
1954-4.7-4.56.97.3
1953-4.1-4.48.37.7
1952-4.1-4.47.27.6
1951-5.5-4.48.47.4
1950-6-4.38.17.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianPolandPoland: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–9.88.8–10.4
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–9.58.7–10.2
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–9.78.8–10.7
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–9.58.9–10.8
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–9.68.7–10.6
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–9.47.9–11.2
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–108.5–11
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–9.79.1–11.1
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–9.88.6–11.1
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–9.88.6–11
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–108.8–11.5
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–9.78.6–10.9
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–9.88.5–11.5
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–9.98.6–11
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–10.18.9–11.3
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–9.98.9–10.9
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–108.6–11
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–10.38.5–11.4
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–9.98.3–11.3
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–9.98.8–11.4
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–9.98.6–11.1
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–10.39.1–11.4
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–10.69.6–11.5
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–10.48.9–11.6
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–10.29.2–11.4
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–10.18.8–12
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–10.58.8–12
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–10.49.3–11.4
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–10.29.1–11.6
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–10.19–11.7
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–10.59.3–11.6
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–10.49.4–12.1
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–10.99.4–12.1
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–10.49.2–12
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–10.59.3–11.6
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–10.69.4–11.5
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–10.79.6–12.2
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–10.79.2–12.3
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–10.79.5–11.5
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–10.59–11.9
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–10.79–11.8
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–10.69.5–11.9
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–10.69.5–12.3
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–10.99.5–12.2
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–10.69.1–12.2
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–10.78.9–12.3
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–119.7–12
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–10.89.5–12.1
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–10.89.6–12.1
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–10.49.2–12.3
2076–-0-2–2.1–10.79.5–12.7
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–10.79.8–12.1
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–10.89.7–12.3
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–10.79.5–12.5
2080–0-1.9–2–10.99.6–12.4
2081–0.1-2–2.2–10.99.7–12.3
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–10.99.8–12.7
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–10.69.3–12.6
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–10.99.4–12.5
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–11.19.7–12.6
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–11.19.9–12.8
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–11.29.7–12.9
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–11.29.7–12.5
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–119.6–12.3
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–11.39.3–12.7
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–11.29.5–12.9
2092–0.5-1.5–3–11.59.7–12.7
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–11.19.6–12.9
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–119.6–12.8
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–11.19.7–12.5
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–11.29.3–12.7
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–119.9–12.9
2098–0.9-1.2–3–11.29.7–12.5
2099–0.5-1.5–3–11.49.7–12.5
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–11.49.8–12.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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