Canada vs United Kingdom

Canada vs United Kingdom: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 10.4 °C in United Kingdom, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United Kingdom, by 13 °C.

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°C · ERA5

Canada vs United Kingdom: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 10.4 °C in United Kingdom, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United Kingdom, by 13 °C.
CanadaUnited KingdomCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • United Kingdom has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Canada ranked 232 and United Kingdom ranked 198 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and United Kingdom at 11 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUnited KingdomUnited Kingdom: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.210.49.9
2024-1.8-210.29.8
2023-1.8-2.310.39.8
2022-3.6-2.310.49.8
2021-2.8-2.49.69.8
2020-3.6-2.5109.9
2019-3.6-2.79.79.6
2018-4.2-2.79.89.5
2017-3.2-2.69.99.6
2016-2.7-2.79.69.7
2015-3.5-2.79.59.6
2014-4.1-2.610.29.4
2013-4-2.99.19.6
2012-3-2.999.4
2011-3.4-39.99.4
2010-1.7-38.39.5
2009-4-3.19.59.6
2008-4.2-39.39.5
2007-4-3.19.99.3
2006-2.3-3.4109.5
2005-3.2-3.19.79.4
2004-4.9-3.19.89.2
2003-3.7-3.19.89.3
2002-4.3-3.49.89.3
2001-3-3.49.29.3
2000-4.1-3.59.59.2
1999-3.3-3.49.89.3
1998-2.6-3.69.69.2
1997-4.2-3.69.89
1996-4.9-3.98.69
1995-4.2-4.19.68.9
1994-4.3-4.19.39
1993-4.4-4.58.78.8
1992-5-4.698.8
1991-4.4-48.89
1990-5-3.79.79
1989-5-4.19.79
1988-4.1-4.49.19
1987-3.3-48.48.9
1986-4.8-4.28.18.8
1985-4.8-4.48.28.9
1984-4.5-4.498.7
1983-4.7-4.69.28.7
1982-5.8-4.29.18.8
1981-2.8-4.28.58.8
1980-4.4-4.48.68.7
1979-4.9-4.37.98.7
1978-5.4-4.48.68.8
1977-3.9-4.48.78.6
1976-4.9-4.79.18.5
1975-4.9-4.39.18.7
1974-5.6-4.48.88.7
1973-4-4.68.88.6
1972-6.8-4.78.58.6
1971-4.8-4.59.18.4
1970-5-4.48.78.5
1969-4.4-4.48.68.4
1968-4.7-4.88.68.5
1967-5.4-4.68.98.6
1966-5.1-4.58.28.5
1965-5.5-4.67.88.6
1964-5.4-4.78.48.6
1963-4.6-4.57.38.6
1962-4.8-4.57.68.7
1961-5-4.498.6
1960-4.4-4.58.88.5
1959-5.2-4.69.48.6
1958-4.2-4.28.58.6
1957-4.9-4.59.28.5
1956-5.7-4.48.18.7
1955-4.9-4.28.58.6
1954-4.7-4.58.38.6
1953-4.1-4.49.18.4
1952-4.1-4.48.28.6
1951-5.5-4.48.38.7
1950-6-4.38.58.5
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUnited KingdomUnited Kingdom: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–10.19.1–10.9
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–109.2–10.8
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–10.19.1–11.1
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–9.99.1–10.7
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–9.88.9–10.8
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–10.19–10.8
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–10.29.1–11
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–109.1–11
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–10.19.3–11
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–10.18.9–11
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–10.29.2–11.1
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–109.2–10.8
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–9.99.1–10.9
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–109.2–10.7
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–10.19.1–11.3
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–9.99.2–11
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–109.4–11
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–10.19–11.2
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–10.29.1–11
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–10.19.3–10.9
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–109.2–11
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–10.49.5–11
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–10.39.6–11.3
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–10.39.3–11.8
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–10.49.5–11.2
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–10.29.2–11.5
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–10.39.2–11.4
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–10.29.2–11.5
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–10.39.4–11.2
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–10.39.3–11.5
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–10.39.2–11.5
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–10.49.5–11.7
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–10.69.6–11.6
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–10.49.3–11.4
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–10.59.6–11.4
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–10.59.7–11.4
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–10.69.6–11.4
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–10.49.7–11.6
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–10.49.6–11.4
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–10.49.4–11.8
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–10.59.2–11.6
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–10.49.5–11.8
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–10.59.5–11.7
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–10.89.6–11.8
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–10.39.5–12.1
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–10.59.6–12
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–10.69.4–11.9
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–10.69.8–11.9
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–10.79.7–11.8
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–10.39.4–11.6
2076–-0-2–2.1–10.69.6–12.1
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–10.49.5–11.9
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–10.59.4–12.2
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–10.59.5–12.1
2080–0-1.9–2–10.49.5–11.9
2081–0.1-2–2.2–10.79.6–11.9
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–10.69.4–12.2
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–10.79.5–11.8
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–10.99.5–11.8
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–119.8–11.9
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–10.99.9–12.4
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–10.99.8–12.6
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–11.29.8–12.1
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–119.4–12.2
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–11.29.5–12.2
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–119.7–12.5
2092–0.5-1.5–3–10.99.7–12.3
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–10.99.7–12.2
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–10.89.5–12.3
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–10.99.4–12.5
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–10.99.5–12.2
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–10.99.7–12.3
2098–0.9-1.2–3–11.19.7–12.4
2099–0.5-1.5–3–119.6–12.4
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–119.8–12.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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