Chad vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 187.2 days in Chad and 48.1 days in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Chad, by 139.1 days, or 3.89 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

ChadKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Chad has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Chad at 230.3 days and Kenya at 103.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Chad	Kenya
2014	187.2	48.1
2013	182.2	46.4
2012	184.1	45.5
2011	184	46.4
2010	182.3	45.5
2009	177.1	40.9
2008	176.6	40.8
2007	174.9	39.2
2006	175.3	42
2005	173.8	42.9
2004	175.5	41.8
2003	176.1	41
2002	176.1	42.7
2001	180.1	43.4
2000	173.3	39.6
1999	170.7	40.9
1998	166.8	39.7
1997	171.5	38.8
1996	167.3	35.3
1995	167.2	34.3
1994	165.3	32.9
1993	158.9	28.5
1992	158.4	28.2
1991	168.1	35.1
1990	168.7	34.1
1989	166.9	34.5
1988	167.6	33.9
1987	164.3	35.9
1986	170.5	35.5
1985	162	31.2
1984	161.3	31
1983	161.2	30.2
1982	159.2	33.9
1981	164.3	34.6
1980	164.6	36.4
1979	163	34.4
1978	160.3	31.8
1977	161.4	30.5
1976	159.8	28.6
1975	156.9	29.7
1974	157.6	30.4
1973	164.8	29.1
1972	161.4	28.4
1971	158.7	28.1
1970	160.4	27
1969	156.8	29
1968	157.6	25.7
1967	155	26.9
1966	156.9	25.8
1965	157.4	24.4
1964	152.2	20.8
1963	150.1	25.7
1962	161.8	28.8
1961	160.4	30.9
1960	166.3	29.5
1959	159.9	30.4
1958	160.9	28
1957	163.1	30.7
1956	159.3	28.9
1955	159.6	30.2
1954	159.8	30
1953	161.1	31
1952	161.7	29.8
1951	163.6	30.1
1950	160.6	30.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Chad	Kenya
2015	184.1153.9–205.2	50.131.1–66.1
2016	179.9150.6–201.9	49.230.5–67.3
2017	185.5156.4–210.2	50.228.4–68.7
2018	180.7153.2–206	5033.4–67.3
2019	182.2153.5–208.9	49.431.2–67.4
2020	183.2154.8–206.8	53.533.4–75.7
2021	187.2156.5–209.5	52.434.3–69.5
2022	187161.9–212.6	51.825–70.5
2023	185160.4–208.6	55.535.3–80
2024	192.4172.2–213.8	60.738.5–78.7
2025	191166–212.1	55.236.8–74.4
2026	186.6152.4–214.2	55.435.2–86.2
2027	190.6157.6–213.3	5634.2–77.5
2028	191.7161–214.4	56.731.5–80.6
2029	193.6167.4–215.7	59.535.1–79.7
2030	194.7165.8–217.9	57.940.5–79.9
2031	193163.2–220.9	64.244.3–83.9
2032	192.4167.3–215	58.839.6–81.3
2033	195.6171.3–219.5	63.639.2–87.1
2034	194.6166.8–223.6	62.339.2–84.6
2035	196.8163.3–221.4	61.636.8–84.1
2036	193.9166.6–216.5	59.840.3–84.7
2037	199.7172.7–223.3	63.740.4–91.7
2038	201177.2–225.1	63.235.1–89.5
2039	199171.5–222.5	65.540.6–88.4
2040	199.4169.8–223.2	64.144.3–84.7
2041	202.3173.3–227	69.847.4–98.8
2042	201.3171.5–225.6	71.147–95.3
2043	199.1171.1–222.4	66.640.7–91.1
2044	199.3169.7–223.7	69.243–91.5
2045	202.6173.4–228.4	7049.2–100.3
2046	209.1172.1–231.9	76.643.2–107.2
2047	207175.1–230	74.249.2–103.8
2048	207.1179.1–231.8	72.847.4–102.8
2049	205173.7–229.2	78.548.6–107.8
2050	205.3174.8–233.6	7250–107.2
2051	205179.7–232.7	79.352.5–111
2052	211.7176.4–236.1	79.550.7–104.4
2053	208.7176.2–233.5	72.944.3–104.5
2054	213.8172.2–235.8	73.142.1–99.6
2055	213.9185–235.6	80.450.6–105.6
2056	210.7180.5–239	76.247–111.2
2057	216.3186.1–240.6	81.352.9–109.1
2058	212.4181–235.3	78.950–112.4
2059	215.2186.5–243.1	83.351.3–115.7
2060	214.9186.3–241.6	85.749.3–116.5
2061	214.7181.7–243.2	85.354.7–115.1
2062	215.8183–242.9	85.355.1–116.5
2063	214.7186.4–237.8	84.254.2–110.1
2064	216.1186.2–244	87.448.2–113.7
2065	217.7194.5–241.9	86.855.1–123.7
2066	219.7190–249.3	83.857–115
2067	214.9189.9–245.2	8955.6–119.5
2068	218.4188.5–246.9	87.751.4–117.1
2069	216.1184.3–245.3	8653.8–118.3
2070	221.4186.3–246.2	86.150.8–121
2071	225.7190.5–249	91.757.9–123.6
2072	222.8195.7–248.5	91.461.3–123.1
2073	221.5191.4–249.1	91.458.5–127.3
2074	219.2185.9–251.3	87.855.2–124.3
2075	224.3187.8–249.4	89.853.7–127.4
2076	222.7194.1–252.8	97.664.7–134.6
2077	227.5195.3–253.9	97.755.7–131.4
2078	225.1197.2–250.4	90.260.9–124.7
2079	222.7192.5–248.8	9463.2–125.8
2080	224.8190.9–252.8	96.157.8–132.4
2081	225.4195.3–255	99.766.8–136.7
2082	223.1195.2–256.1	99.458.5–131.7
2083	227.9197.3–253.7	100.263.9–137.5
2084	224.1193.8–252.4	9967.9–133.8
2085	227.6199.6–253.1	99.259.2–137.4
2086	226.6195.1–261.8	104.457.4–142.5
2087	223.9190.2–252.3	99.762.4–134.4
2088	220.7193.8–260.3	98.761–135.2
2089	225.9191.8–254.4	97.966–126.9
2090	230.1192.8–254.7	101.468.5–136
2091	228.4195.4–254.3	104.465.5–141.4
2092	231.3198.8–255.9	99.759.8–137.8
2093	228.4200.3–254.7	105.971.9–140.7
2094	231.3201.1–255.7	107.369.1–137.3
2095	232.7197.9–258.5	106.367.5–142.4
2096	228.1200.4–255.1	105.461.5–142.2
2097	226.8198.5–255.6	105.161.4–139.2
2098	227.7194.7–253.8	104.861.9–140.8
2099	232.1203.4–258.1	103.362.5–145.4
2100	230.3201.6–261.3	103.757.3–139.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Chad vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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