Colombia vs Nigeria: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 4.1 days in Colombia and 107.4 days in Nigeria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 103.3 days, or 26 times that in Colombia.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

ColombiaNigeriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Colombia at 29 days and Nigeria at 163.6 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Colombia	Nigeria
2014	4.1	107.4
2013	4.8	104.3
2012	3.9	104.4
2011	3.6	103.7
2010	3.9	101.1
2009	3.4	99.4
2008	3.3	98.6
2007	2.5	97.4
2006	2.9	97.9
2005	3.6	97.2
2004	3.7	99.2
2003	2.7	98.2
2002	2.6	98.3
2001	3.2	102.2
2000	2.6	96.3
1999	2	92.3
1998	2.7	91.6
1997	2.1	95.2
1996	1.7	89.5
1995	1.8	90.2
1994	1.7	86.1
1993	1.9	83.5
1992	1.1	81.3
1991	2.8	94.2
1990	2.7	95
1989	2	89.3
1988	1.2	93.4
1987	1.7	90.4
1986	2.1	93.2
1985	1.5	87
1984	2.4	89.5
1983	1.4	88.5
1982	2.2	89.6
1981	1.7	91.9
1980	1.6	89.5
1979	1.7	89.8
1978	1.4	88
1977	1.9	88.4
1976	1.5	83.6
1975	0.9	87.3
1974	1.7	84.9
1973	1.9	88.3
1972	1.3	87.1
1971	1.3	84.5
1970	1.3	87.3
1969	1.4	87.1
1968	1.2	84.9
1967	1.2	84.8
1966	1.6	85.7
1965	1.3	85.7
1964	1	77.7
1963	1	81.7
1962	1.4	89.3
1961	1.4	91.6
1960	1.5	91.4
1959	1.3	88.3
1958	2	89.9
1957	1.4	91.2
1956	1.1	84.6
1955	1.5	88.4
1954	1.6	88.8
1953	1.7	91.7
1952	2	87.9
1951	1.5	92.1
1950	1.1	88.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Colombia	Nigeria
2015	4.51.2–11	105.581.2–130.1
2016	4.11.2–10.3	101.478.2–120.6
2017	4.81.4–13.3	10680.5–130.9
2018	4.51.2–15.1	105.177.2–129
2019	4.21.4–13.9	104.378.3–130.3
2020	4.91.4–11.3	104.778.2–130.2
2021	5.11.7–13	104.885.2–128.6
2022	72.1–16.4	111.184.4–135.5
2023	51.7–13.8	106.585.6–130.6
2024	72.1–17.4	114.493.3–136.4
2025	5.51.7–17.5	112.191.1–132
2026	6.51.5–16.9	108.574.8–133.8
2027	6.62.1–18.5	114.581.7–136.4
2028	6.52.2–16.5	113.487.6–141.8
2029	8.53.2–20.7	116.591.5–141
2030	7.11.8–16.7	117.785.5–145.3
2031	7.92.5–23.1	116.388.2–141.7
2032	8.32.7–21.9	118.785.8–144.2
2033	6.52–14.8	118.490.6–146
2034	5.81.8–20.3	117.689–144.4
2035	7.52.6–24.6	12087.5–144.3
2036	6.72.7–16.1	116.889.2–143.5
2037	8.83.8–22.9	124.790.9–151.6
2038	104.1–23.3	126.696.2–152.6
2039	9.73.1–25.5	122.697–147.4
2040	8.82.5–27.6	121.193.5–153.7
2041	104–26.4	127.599.5–154.2
2042	11.72.7–28.6	12896.1–152.5
2043	9.53.7–28.9	124.298.9–149.7
2044	9.23.1–32	125.496.3–152.8
2045	10.44.1–31.1	129.499.4–156.4
2046	15.25.4–37.1	135.999.9–158.5
2047	123.8–26.5	135.299–159.5
2048	11.53.9–32.2	133.1103.7–160.3
2049	155.1–37.3	135.4104.4–161.8
2050	12.24.2–31.7	131.3102–166.4
2051	14.24.6–37.7	131.6106.2–166.5
2052	14.85.9–37.2	139.6101.6–171.1
2053	12.84.2–33	135.1105–166.8
2054	13.25.1–34.5	139102.4–172.2
2055	146.8–42.4	140113.8–172.2
2056	13.24.8–44.9	141.8102.8–177.8
2057	15.85–35.5	148.8113.3–178.3
2058	14.74.7–51.2	140112–171.9
2059	20.46.1–44.9	142.3114.3–176.6
2060	195.8–40.8	144.3110.6–176.5
2061	186.5–44.3	145109.2–180.3
2062	195.5–53.5	146111.1–181.8
2063	18.77.5–45.2	147.1114.5–182.6
2064	16.87.2–44.7	146.4112.8–179.9
2065	17.97.2–46.5	149.2116.8–179
2066	17.17.2–46	148.8117.8–185.3
2067	12.95.8–47.5	142.6114.9–185.1
2068	18.55.8–50.1	152.4114.1–187.8
2069	20.76–54.9	148.2114.1–185.4
2070	18.56–47.8	151.6111–187.8
2071	227.7–51.9	155.2117.6–192.8
2072	22.47.1–59.2	155.2118.4–190.6
2073	26.210.7–56.2	154.8115.7–196.8
2074	20.46.7–47.1	151.6114.2–195.8
2075	21.68.3–49.7	158.4117.9–190.2
2076	22.28.2–53.3	154.5120–193.1
2077	24.38.5–58.6	164121.3–203.7
2078	22.78.2–57.7	158.9117–196.9
2079	22.76.8–52.8	157.6123.7–192.5
2080	24.86.6–54.6	161.3118.7–197.4
2081	24.86.6–60.4	158.9119.1–200.5
2082	21.86.6–55	156.9118.5–201.5
2083	24.66.5–59.8	160.4121.6–203.2
2084	267–72.6	157.7118.3–198.5
2085	27.16.7–67.4	165.1122.6–201.9
2086	256.5–68.2	160.4122–201.3
2087	23.55.3–67.3	164.1121.4–199.1
2088	30.47.7–74.5	162.3124.7–205.8
2089	28.48.1–67.5	157.8122.5–206.2
2090	24.69.4–65.2	163124.3–204.5
2091	28.510–72.1	167.5124.5–204.5
2092	29.67.8–70.8	173.2125.1–206.7
2093	27.99–75.1	166.1126.9–212.1
2094	25.98–71.7	167.8130.5–205.1
2095	32.76.7–74.9	173.9123–212.7
2096	25.68–72.4	164.5127.5–213
2097	30.18.8–71.7	161.2123.5–206.8
2098	30.58.4–84.1	167.8128.2–206.2
2099	28.29.7–63.4	171129.1–212.5
2100	2910.9–71.6	163.6126.1–210.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Colombia vs Nigeria: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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