Egypt vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 105.6 days in Egypt and 48.1 days in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Egypt, by 57.5 days, or 2.19 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

EgyptKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Egypt has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Egypt at 153.5 days and Kenya at 103.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Egypt	Kenya
2014	105.6	48.1
2013	106.5	46.4
2012	105.9	45.5
2011	107.4	46.4
2010	105.8	45.5
2009	100.3	40.9
2008	103.3	40.8
2007	100.7	39.2
2006	100.5	42
2005	99.3	42.9
2004	102.1	41.8
2003	103.3	41
2002	98	42.7
2001	99.6	43.4
2000	97.7	39.6
1999	97.4	40.9
1998	93.9	39.7
1997	93.4	38.8
1996	92.1	35.3
1995	91.8	34.3
1994	90.1	32.9
1993	83.5	28.5
1992	84.8	28.2
1991	92.4	35.1
1990	92.8	34.1
1989	89.9	34.5
1988	84.9	33.9
1987	86.6	35.9
1986	91	35.5
1985	85.8	31.2
1984	80	31
1983	80.5	30.2
1982	83.2	33.9
1981	85.4	34.6
1980	88.9	36.4
1979	80.7	34.4
1978	84.8	31.8
1977	82.1	30.5
1976	85.3	28.6
1975	81.3	29.7
1974	82.8	30.4
1973	83.4	29.1
1972	81.8	28.4
1971	81.7	28.1
1970	82.9	27
1969	80.4	29
1968	80.4	25.7
1967	78.5	26.9
1966	76.7	25.8
1965	74.7	24.4
1964	75.7	20.8
1963	82.2	25.7
1962	79.4	28.8
1961	81.4	30.9
1960	84.9	29.5
1959	84.8	30.4
1958	83.6	28
1957	84.1	30.7
1956	85	28.9
1955	82.3	30.2
1954	80.3	30
1953	84	31
1952	82.4	29.8
1951	82.3	30.1
1950	79	30.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Egypt	Kenya
2015	111.990.8–128.2	50.131.1–66.1
2016	110.294.5–127.2	49.230.5–67.3
2017	111.197–126.6	50.228.4–68.7
2018	11096.5–128.3	5033.4–67.3
2019	111.396.6–127.8	49.431.2–67.4
2020	115.299.3–131.2	53.533.4–75.7
2021	114.5101.6–129.3	52.434.3–69.5
2022	117.4100.6–133.7	51.825–70.5
2023	117.3101.6–132.1	55.535.3–80
2024	119103.7–135.3	60.738.5–78.7
2025	120.1101.5–133.8	55.236.8–74.4
2026	118.6104.9–131.8	55.435.2–86.2
2027	117.9102.1–132	5634.2–77.5
2028	119.9103.3–133.5	56.731.5–80.6
2029	120.1102.1–137	59.535.1–79.7
2030	120.4104.9–134.6	57.940.5–79.9
2031	119.2104.8–134.6	64.244.3–83.9
2032	123.9110.2–138.1	58.839.6–81.3
2033	126.1108.8–139	63.639.2–87.1
2034	124.4108.9–139.2	62.339.2–84.6
2035	127107.3–143.2	61.636.8–84.1
2036	120.1107–137	59.840.3–84.7
2037	125109–139.7	63.740.4–91.7
2038	129.2110.5–145.3	63.235.1–89.5
2039	127.4111.1–145.5	65.540.6–88.4
2040	130.1113.6–145.3	64.144.3–84.7
2041	129.3112–144.4	69.847.4–98.8
2042	130.6110.6–147	71.147–95.3
2043	129.4117.5–144.2	66.640.7–91.1
2044	127.8110.2–145.3	69.243–91.5
2045	133.4116.6–147.2	7049.2–100.3
2046	133.5116.3–149.7	76.643.2–107.2
2047	133.8117.7–149.1	74.249.2–103.8
2048	134.7118.6–149.8	72.847.4–102.8
2049	131.5109.7–149.2	78.548.6–107.8
2050	133.7118.5–149.4	7250–107.2
2051	131.1117.9–143.6	79.352.5–111
2052	135.3121.8–149.8	79.550.7–104.4
2053	134.6118.8–148.8	72.944.3–104.5
2054	135.3116.9–150.8	73.142.1–99.6
2055	138.6116–152.8	80.450.6–105.6
2056	134.9114.6–150.4	76.247–111.2
2057	134115.6–153.3	81.352.9–109.1
2058	138.1117.5–155.5	78.950–112.4
2059	140.2118.4–157.9	83.351.3–115.7
2060	139.3121.5–157.9	85.749.3–116.5
2061	136.4120.5–151.4	85.354.7–115.1
2062	138.5120.7–153.2	85.355.1–116.5
2063	138121.6–150.4	84.254.2–110.1
2064	139.4124.3–157.5	87.448.2–113.7
2065	140.2122.7–157.6	86.855.1–123.7
2066	136.3119.3–155.3	83.857–115
2067	145.3126–161	8955.6–119.5
2068	143.8123.2–161.6	87.751.4–117.1
2069	142.9125.7–157.3	8653.8–118.3
2070	144.3121.8–160.9	86.150.8–121
2071	143.2122.8–161.5	91.757.9–123.6
2072	146.8127.7–162.6	91.461.3–123.1
2073	144.3125.4–160.4	91.458.5–127.3
2074	139.3121.4–159.1	87.855.2–124.3
2075	139.7122.6–159.9	89.853.7–127.4
2076	145.3123.2–162.9	97.664.7–134.6
2077	148122.5–161.6	97.755.7–131.4
2078	146.8126.7–162.7	90.260.9–124.7
2079	147.3127.8–164.9	9463.2–125.8
2080	148.3128.1–163.8	96.157.8–132.4
2081	145.3127.3–161.8	99.766.8–136.7
2082	147.4130.6–165.2	99.458.5–131.7
2083	148.5128.8–163.1	100.263.9–137.5
2084	150.1130.1–167.3	9967.9–133.8
2085	145.2131–164.5	99.259.2–137.4
2086	148.7132.2–165.5	104.457.4–142.5
2087	146.5123.5–162.2	99.762.4–134.4
2088	148.9128.6–163.9	98.761–135.2
2089	149.6130.5–168.6	97.966–126.9
2090	147.9130.5–162.9	101.468.5–136
2091	153.9131.8–168.5	104.465.5–141.4
2092	150.3131.6–166.6	99.759.8–137.8
2093	151.4132.3–168	105.971.9–140.7
2094	152.9133.9–169	107.369.1–137.3
2095	150.7132.1–167.7	106.367.5–142.4
2096	151129.9–167.8	105.461.5–142.2
2097	151.3132.8–167.3	105.161.4–139.2
2098	149.5130.4–166.4	104.861.9–140.8
2099	149.6129.7–167.6	103.362.5–145.4
2100	153.5130.3–169.4	103.757.3–139.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Egypt vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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