Ethiopia vs Kenya: GDP growth
GDP growth: 8.1% a year in Ethiopia in 2024 and 4.6% a year in Kenya in 2025, by IMF estimates. In 2024 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 3.4 percentage points, or 1.73 times that in Kenya.
EthiopiaKenya
Watch it change on the map% a year · IMF
Latest figures
% a year · IMF
| Country | Latest | 10 years before | Rank in 2025 | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 8.1 2024 | 10.3 | — | 7.7 2031 |
| Kenya | 4.6 2025 | 5 | 43 of 143 | 5 2031 |
What the numbers say
- Ethiopia has been higher since 2022, when it overtook Kenya.
- The IMF projection (World Economic Outlook, October 2026) puts Ethiopia at 7.7% a year and Kenya at 5% a year in 2031.
Every year
% a year · IMF
| Year | Ethiopia | Kenya |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.2 | 4.6 |
| 2024 | 8.1 | 4.7 |
| 2023 | 7.2 | 5.7 |
| 2022 | 6.4 | 4.9 |
| 2021 | 6.3 | 7.6 |
| 2020 | 6.1 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 9 | 5.1 |
| 2018 | 7.7 | 5.7 |
| 2017 | 10.2 | 3.8 |
| 2016 | 8 | 4.2 |
| 2015 | 10.4 | 5 |
| 2014 | 10.3 | 5 |
| 2013 | 9.9 | 3.8 |
| 2012 | 8.7 | 4.6 |
| 2011 | 11.4 | 5.1 |
| 2010 | 10.6 | 8.1 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3.3 |
| 2008 | 11.2 | 0.2 |
| 2007 | 11.8 | 6.9 |
| 2006 | 11.5 | 5.9 |
| 2005 | 12.6 | 5.7 |
| 2004 | 11.7 | 4.6 |
| 2003 | -2.1 | 2.9 |
| 2002 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2001 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 2000 | 9.8 | 0.3 |
| 1999 | 6.3 | 2.2 |
| 1998 | -4.2 | 3 |
| 1997 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
| 1996 | 13.5 | 4.5 |
| 1995 | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| 1994 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1993 | 13.4 | -0.1 |
| 1992 | -8.9 | -1.1 |
| 1991 | -7.2 | 1.3 |
| 1990 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| 1989 | -0.5 | 4.6 |
| 1988 | 0.6 | 6.1 |
| 1987 | 13.9 | 5.8 |
| 1986 | 9.7 | 7 |
| 1985 | -11.4 | 4.1 |
| 1984 | -2.3 | 1.6 |
| 1983 | 7.8 | 1.6 |
| 1982 | 1 | 5.1 |
| 1981 | – | 4.1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 5.6 |
- 12.3Projected
IMF projection (World Economic Outlook, October 2026) · 2026–2031
| Year | Ethiopia | Kenya |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.2 | 4.5 |
| 2027 | 7.8 | 4.7 |
| 2028 | 8.2 | 4.9 |
| 2029 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 2030 | 8 | 5 |
| 2031 | 7.7 | 5 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- How much the economy grew or shrank in a year, after inflation.
- Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2026.
- The dashed line is the IMF projection (World Economic Outlook, October 2026), a scenario rather than a forecast.
- Ranks count the 143 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time