Ethiopia vs Malawi

Ethiopia vs Malawi: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 24.1 °C in Ethiopia and 22.2 °C in Malawi, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 1.9 °C, or 1.08 times that in Malawi.

°C · ERA5

Ethiopia vs Malawi: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 24.1 °C in Ethiopia and 22.2 °C in Malawi, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 1.9 °C, or 1.08 times that in Malawi.
EthiopiaMalawiCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Ethiopia has been higher since 1953, when it overtook Malawi.
  • In 2025, Ethiopia ranked 108 and Malawi ranked 130 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ethiopia at 25.7 °C and Malawi at 24.8 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearEthiopiaEthiopia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202524.12422.222.9
202424.324.222.823
202324.124.122.722.9
202224242222.9
202123.823.922.322.7
202023.823.922.522.8
201923.923.822.422.8
201823.423.922.322.7
201723.923.922.422.8
201624.123.822.722.6
20152423.922.622.8
201423.623.822.322.6
201323.423.822.222.6
201223.623.722.122.6
201123.423.822.222.5
201023.623.722.322.4
20092423.621.922.3
200823.323.521.622.4
200723.523.521.922.5
200623.423.521.922.3
200523.523.522.422.3
200423.223.521.622.4
200323.323.621.922.4
200223.423.52222.4
20012323.62222.4
200022.923.421.622.2
199923.223.421.622.1
199823.623.422.322.2
199723.123.321.922.1
199622.923.32222.1
199523.323.222.422
199423.223.12221.9
199322.822.92221.7
199222.922.922.421.8
199123.123.221.822
199023.123.322.122.1
198922.623.221.522
198823.223.221.922.1
198723.323.222.321.9
198622.723.221.322
198522.42321.221.8
198422.823.121.621.8
198322.92322.421.9
198222.623.121.521.8
198122.723.221.421.9
198023.123.221.521.9
197922.723.121.621.9
197822.52321.521.7
197722.623.121.921.9
197622.52321.221.8
197522.322.921.421.8
197422.32321.121.9
197322.923.121.721.8
197222.62321.421.8
197122.12321.221.8
197022.822.921.721.9
196922.92321.821.8
196822.122.921.421.7
19672222.821.421.6
196622.722.921.721.7
196522.422.820.921.8
196422.422.721.321.6
196322.222.721.321.5
196222.22321.521.8
196122.323.121.421.8
196022.12321.421.9
195922.32321.521.9
195822.82321.721.9
195722.22321.421.8
195622.122.921.221.7
195522.1232121.8
195421.82321.521.8
195321.32321.121.8
195221.42321.621.8
195121.3232221.7
195020.7232121.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearEthiopiaEthiopia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–2423.3–24.8–22.922.2–23.6
2027–2423.3–24.7–23.122.5–23.6
2028–24.223.5–24.8–23.122.5–23.6
2029–24.223.7–24.7–23.322.5–23.7
2030–24.223.6–24.8–23.122.6–23.6
2031–24.323.8–24.9–23.222.9–23.7
2032–24.323.8–25–23.222.6–23.9
2033–24.423.7–25–23.322.7–23.8
2034–24.323.8–25–23.322.6–24.1
2035–24.423.7–25–23.422.7–24
2036–24.323.8–24.9–23.322.5–23.8
2037–24.523.8–25.1–23.422.8–24.1
2038–24.523.9–25.1–23.623.1–24.1
2039–24.523.9–25.1–23.422.8–24.1
2040–24.523.9–25.1–23.322.9–24
2041–24.523.9–25.2–23.422.7–24.1
2042–24.524–25.3–23.522.8–24.2
2043–24.523.9–25.3–23.522.8–24.3
2044–24.623.9–25.3–23.522.9–24.4
2045–24.724.1–25.4–23.423–24.2
2046–24.823.9–25.6–23.822.8–24.4
2047–24.924.1–25.5–23.823–24.6
2048–24.824.1–25.6–23.823.3–24.5
2049–24.924.3–25.6–23.723.1–24.5
2050–24.824.2–25.6–23.923.3–24.5
2051–24.924.2–25.7–23.923.3–24.8
2052–24.924.2–25.5–23.923.4–24.7
2053–24.924.1–25.6–23.822.8–24.5
2054–24.924.2–25.6–2423.1–24.9
2055–2524.2–25.7–2423.2–24.9
2056–24.924.1–25.9–2423.2–24.9
2057–2524.4–25.9–23.923.2–24.7
2058–25.224.1–25.9–24.123.4–24.8
2059–25.124.3–26–2423.5–25
2060–25.224.4–26–24.223.1–24.8
2061–25.224.3–26.1–23.923.3–25
2062–25.124.2–26.1–24.123.4–25.2
2063–25.124.4–25.9–24.123.2–25
2064–25.324.4–25.9–24.223.2–24.9
2065–25.124.5–26–24.123.4–25.4
2066–25.224.6–25.9–24.423.5–25.2
2067–25.324.4–26.1–24.123.2–25.2
2068–25.224.4–26.2–24.323.4–25.3
2069–25.224.5–26.2–24.423.4–25.1
2070–25.224.5–26.3–24.323.3–25.3
2071–25.424.5–26.4–24.423.4–25.5
2072–25.424.6–26.1–24.523.7–25.2
2073–25.524.8–26.4–24.523.4–25.6
2074–25.324.5–26.4–24.323.6–25.3
2075–25.424.4–26.3–24.323.6–25.3
2076–25.524.6–26.4–24.323.3–25.2
2077–25.524.6–26.5–24.523.6–25.5
2078–25.424.7–26.4–24.523.5–25.4
2079–25.524.6–26.3–24.523.7–25.4
2080–25.624.6–26.4–24.623.7–25.4
2081–25.624.8–26.5–24.423.6–25.4
2082–25.624.8–26.4–24.523.7–25.2
2083–25.524.8–26.7–24.523.5–25.5
2084–25.624.8–26.5–24.523.7–25.5
2085–25.624.8–26.6–24.723.6–25.6
2086–25.724.7–26.7–24.323.7–25.6
2087–25.624.7–26.7–24.523.7–25.5
2088–25.624.8–26.7–24.823.5–25.7
2089–25.624.9–26.5–24.823.8–25.5
2090–25.724.9–26.7–24.823.5–25.8
2091–25.924.8–26.7–24.923.7–25.9
2092–25.724.9–26.6–24.823.6–25.8
2093–25.824.9–26.7–24.823.6–25.7
2094–25.725–26.7–24.923.6–25.8
2095–25.825–26.8–24.923.9–25.7
2096–25.724.8–26.8–24.723.8–25.9
2097–25.624.8–26.7–24.623.7–25.8
2098–25.624.8–26.8–24.823.8–25.8
2099–25.824.8–26.9–2523.7–25.9
2100–25.724.9–26.8–24.823.7–25.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Ethiopia vs Malawi

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