Guinea vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 66.5 days in Guinea and 48.1 days in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Guinea, by 18.3 days, or 1.38 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

GuineaKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Guinea has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Guinea at 142.5 days and Kenya at 103.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Guinea	Kenya
2014	66.5	48.1
2013	66.9	46.4
2012	66.3	45.5
2011	64.8	46.4
2010	62.6	45.5
2009	62.8	40.9
2008	58.8	40.8
2007	62	39.2
2006	59	42
2005	60.1	42.9
2004	63.3	41.8
2003	58.9	41
2002	59.9	42.7
2001	63.3	43.4
2000	58.8	39.6
1999	57.3	40.9
1998	56.5	39.7
1997	56.7	38.8
1996	49.9	35.3
1995	52.3	34.3
1994	49.7	32.9
1993	44.8	28.5
1992	43.1	28.2
1991	55.2	35.1
1990	55.1	34.1
1989	51.7	34.5
1988	50.7	33.9
1987	52.6	35.9
1986	52.9	35.5
1985	49.1	31.2
1984	50.3	31
1983	48.7	30.2
1982	50.6	33.9
1981	52.3	34.6
1980	49.5	36.4
1979	49.2	34.4
1978	49	31.8
1977	49.9	30.5
1976	47.6	28.6
1975	47.2	29.7
1974	48	30.4
1973	48.8	29.1
1972	45.8	28.4
1971	45.9	28.1
1970	48.8	27
1969	48.4	29
1968	45	25.7
1967	42.5	26.9
1966	47.7	25.8
1965	44.4	24.4
1964	37.2	20.8
1963	43.2	25.7
1962	48.1	28.8
1961	47.7	30.9
1960	49.5	29.5
1959	47.9	30.4
1958	49.7	28
1957	48.1	30.7
1956	45.1	28.9
1955	48.8	30.2
1954	47.7	30
1953	49	31
1952	46.9	29.8
1951	51.3	30.1
1950	47.3	30.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Guinea	Kenya
2015	67.752.4–86.7	50.131.1–66.1
2016	65.148.7–80.1	49.230.5–67.3
2017	67.350.5–85.2	50.228.4–68.7
2018	68.448.1–83.5	5033.4–67.3
2019	66.649.4–87.9	49.431.2–67.4
2020	6847.9–87.8	53.533.4–75.7
2021	70.153.8–85.6	52.434.3–69.5
2022	75.253.7–93.6	51.825–70.5
2023	71.453.2–92.3	55.535.3–80
2024	76.259.9–99.5	60.738.5–78.7
2025	75.455.3–98	55.236.8–74.4
2026	77.547.7–101.5	55.435.2–86.2
2027	7845.8–99.1	5634.2–77.5
2028	78.756.5–100.7	56.731.5–80.6
2029	79.758–105.5	59.535.1–79.7
2030	77.857.3–100.9	57.940.5–79.9
2031	80.660.2–99.3	64.244.3–83.9
2032	79.759–111	58.839.6–81.3
2033	82.758.3–105.3	63.639.2–87.1
2034	80.558.3–107.6	62.339.2–84.6
2035	81.157.3–116.7	61.636.8–84.1
2036	81.154.2–111.7	59.840.3–84.7
2037	89.861.7–113.8	63.740.4–91.7
2038	91.667–120.3	63.235.1–89.5
2039	87.465.4–111.1	65.540.6–88.4
2040	85.859.8–121.2	64.144.3–84.7
2041	93.267.5–118	69.847.4–98.8
2042	9366.1–119.6	71.147–95.3
2043	86.966.1–118	66.640.7–91.1
2044	93.963.8–124.5	69.243–91.5
2045	9566.5–121.2	7049.2–100.3
2046	99.465.4–120.5	76.643.2–107.2
2047	100.569.2–127.7	74.249.2–103.8
2048	98.175.5–128.4	72.847.4–102.8
2049	99.273.9–125.6	78.548.6–107.8
2050	93.369.9–131.3	7250–107.2
2051	96.567.7–139.4	79.352.5–111
2052	10471.2–144.6	79.550.7–104.4
2053	98.270.4–142.9	72.944.3–104.5
2054	105.569.9–140.7	73.142.1–99.6
2055	105.576.4–142.5	80.450.6–105.6
2056	105.275.2–148.8	76.247–111.2
2057	11274.7–144.9	81.352.9–109.1
2058	106.279.8–146.4	78.950–112.4
2059	11177.4–151.7	83.351.3–115.7
2060	111.579.8–148	85.749.3–116.5
2061	11374.1–150.7	85.354.7–115.1
2062	107.276.9–147.1	85.355.1–116.5
2063	110.779.2–146.4	84.254.2–110.1
2064	11382.4–149.5	87.448.2–113.7
2065	117.981.1–150.7	86.855.1–123.7
2066	109.684.2–162.4	83.857–115
2067	110.181.7–154	8955.6–119.5
2068	115.782.1–157.9	87.751.4–117.1
2069	119.577.2–163.5	8653.8–118.3
2070	111.477.1–161.1	86.150.8–121
2071	11484.2–163.2	91.757.9–123.6
2072	123.287.6–161.4	91.461.3–123.1
2073	124.879.9–169.7	91.458.5–127.3
2074	11681.2–174.4	87.855.2–124.3
2075	118.383.1–155.8	89.853.7–127.4
2076	123.888.6–164.3	97.664.7–134.6
2077	130.275.1–177.5	97.755.7–131.4
2078	123.488.3–162.4	90.260.9–124.7
2079	125.587–168.7	9463.2–125.8
2080	131.484.8–179.1	96.157.8–132.4
2081	123.283.1–170.6	99.766.8–136.7
2082	127.787.6–167.6	99.458.5–131.7
2083	127.292.2–175.6	100.263.9–137.5
2084	127.991.6–164.8	9967.9–133.8
2085	134.592–171.9	99.259.2–137.4
2086	13588.4–173.3	104.457.4–142.5
2087	125.985.9–174	99.762.4–134.4
2088	12584.6–177.3	98.761–135.2
2089	118.488.2–173.4	97.966–126.9
2090	123.286.9–169	101.468.5–136
2091	130.590.8–169.4	104.465.5–141.4
2092	135.586.5–176.6	99.759.8–137.8
2093	131.194.3–177.9	105.971.9–140.7
2094	132.493.5–181	107.369.1–137.3
2095	139.288.6–182.1	106.367.5–142.4
2096	136.291.6–181.7	105.461.5–142.2
2097	126.790.6–178.6	105.161.4–139.2
2098	139.893.2–178.1	104.861.9–140.8
2099	138.689–187	103.362.5–145.4
2100	142.595.7–195.1	103.757.3–139.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Guinea vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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