Israel vs Lebanon: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 21.4 °C in Israel and 17 °C in Lebanon, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Israel, by 4.4 °C, or 1.26 times that in Lebanon.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

IsraelLebanonCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Israel has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, Israel ranked 137 and Lebanon ranked 159 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Israel at 23.1 °C and Lebanon at 17.9 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Israel	Israel: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Lebanon	Lebanon: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	21.4	21.4	17	16.4
2024	21.5	21.4	17	16.4
2023	21.5	21.3	16.8	16.2
2022	20.7	21.3	16	16.2
2021	21.4	21.2	16.7	16.1
2020	21.1	21.1	16.5	16
2019	20.9	21	16.1	16
2018	21.6	21.1	16.9	16.1
2017	20.8	21	16.1	16
2016	21	20.9	16.3	15.8
2015	20.6	21.1	15.7	16.1
2014	20.6	20.7	16	15.7
2013	20.5	20.7	15.7	15.7
2012	20.7	20.6	15.7	15.7
2011	20	20.7	15	15.7
2010	22	20.7	17.3	15.7
2009	20.6	20.5	15.6	15.6
2008	20.5	20.6	15.7	15.6
2007	20.2	20.4	15.4	15.5
2006	19.9	20.5	15	15.5
2005	20	20.5	14.9	15.4
2004	20.1	20.4	15.2	15.5
2003	20.3	20.6	15.5	15.6
2002	20.4	20.4	15.6	15.4
2001	20.5	20.4	16.2	15.4
2000	19.9	20.4	15.3	15.4
1999	20.5	20.4	16.1	15.3
1998	20.6	20.2	15.9	15.3
1997	19.6	20.2	14.6	15.2
1996	20.1	20.1	15.4	15.1
1995	19.6	20.2	14.9	15.1
1994	20	20.1	15.3	15.1
1993	19.5	19.8	14.6	14.8
1992	18.5	19.8	13.3	14.8
1991	19.4	20.1	14.7	15.1
1990	19.5	20.1	14.9	15.2
1989	19.3	20	14.7	14.9
1988	19.5	19.9	14.5	14.9
1987	19.3	20	14.6	14.9
1986	19.4	20.1	14.6	15
1985	19.6	19.8	14.7	14.9
1984	19.1	19.8	14.2	14.9
1983	18.6	19.7	13.6	14.7
1982	18.7	19.8	13.7	14.8
1981	19.3	19.9	14.6	14.8
1980	19.5	19.8	14.5	14.8
1979	19.9	19.7	15.1	14.7
1978	19.6	19.7	14.8	14.6
1977	19.4	19.7	14.4	14.7
1976	19.2	19.7	14.1	14.7
1975	19.2	19.7	14.2	14.8
1974	19.3	19.7	14.4	14.7
1973	19.4	19.8	14.2	14.8
1972	19.1	19.8	13.8	14.8
1971	19.3	19.8	14	14.8
1970	19.4	19.7	14.6	14.7
1969	19.9	19.7	14.8	14.7
1968	19.5	19.5	14.4	14.6
1967	18.7	19.6	13.4	14.7
1966	20	19.7	15.5	14.7
1965	19.5	19.6	14.8	14.5
1964	18.8	19.6	14.2	14.7
1963	20.2	19.8	15.2	14.8
1962	20.2	19.8	15.9	14.8
1961	19	19.8	14.5	14.9
1960	20.1	19.9	15.9	14.9
1959	18.5	19.7	13.8	14.8
1958	19.7	19.8	15.4	14.8
1957	19.4	20	14.9	15
1956	19.2	19.8	14.6	14.8
1955	19.7	19.8	15.5	14.9
1954	19.4	19.8	14.7	14.8
1953	18.7	19.9	13.6	14.9
1952	19.6	19.9	14.9	15
1951	19.4	19.9	14.8	15
1950	19.1	19.8	14.3	14.8

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Israel	Israel: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Lebanon	Lebanon: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	21.320.6–21.9	–	16.315.5–16.9
2027	–	21.320.7–22	–	16.415.7–17.1
2028	–	21.320.9–22	–	16.315.9–17
2029	–	21.421–22.2	–	16.416.1–17.1
2030	–	21.420.7–22.1	–	16.415.7–17.1
2031	–	21.621–22	–	16.615.9–17
2032	–	21.520.8–22	–	16.515.8–17
2033	–	21.621.2–22.3	–	16.616.1–17.3
2034	–	21.721–22.2	–	16.715.8–17.2
2035	–	21.821.4–22.3	–	16.816.3–17.3
2036	–	21.620.9–22.2	–	16.615.8–17.3
2037	–	21.821–22.5	–	16.715.8–17.5
2038	–	21.920.9–22.6	–	16.915.8–17.5
2039	–	2221.3–22.7	–	1716.2–17.6
2040	–	21.721.2–22.5	–	16.716.2–17.4
2041	–	21.921.2–22.3	–	16.916.2–17.3
2042	–	21.821.3–22.4	–	16.816.2–17.4
2043	–	21.721.2–22.6	–	16.716.3–17.6
2044	–	21.920.9–22.5	–	16.915.9–17.4
2045	–	2221.4–22.8	–	1716.4–17.9
2046	–	22.221.3–22.8	–	17.216.4–17.7
2047	–	22.121.3–22.8	–	1716.2–17.8
2048	–	2221.3–22.6	–	16.916.2–17.7
2049	–	21.921.3–22.5	–	16.916.3–17.5
2050	–	22.121.3–22.9	–	17.116.1–17.9
2051	–	22.121.7–22.7	–	17.116.7–17.7
2052	–	22.221.5–22.9	–	17.116.6–17.8
2053	–	22.221.6–23	–	17.216.6–18
2054	–	22.321.5–23	–	17.216.4–18
2055	–	22.421.5–23.2	–	17.316.4–18.1
2056	–	22.321.5–23.2	–	17.116.6–18.4
2057	–	22.221.4–22.9	–	17.216.4–18
2058	–	22.221.5–23.4	–	17.216.4–18.3
2059	–	22.421.4–23.2	–	17.416.3–18.2
2060	–	22.321.4–23.4	–	17.216.2–18.4
2061	–	22.321.6–23	–	17.316.6–17.9
2062	–	22.521.8–23.4	–	17.516.7–18.4
2063	–	22.421.8–23.1	–	17.416.5–18.2
2064	–	22.621.6–23.4	–	17.516.4–18.4
2065	–	22.521.7–23.2	–	17.516.5–18.2
2066	–	22.421.6–23.5	–	17.316.4–18.3
2067	–	22.721.8–23.4	–	17.616.6–18.4
2068	–	22.622–23.5	–	17.617–18.4
2069	–	22.521.9–23.3	–	17.516.9–18.3
2070	–	22.522–23.3	–	17.516.9–18.3
2071	–	22.721.8–23.6	–	17.816.9–18.5
2072	–	22.722–23.6	–	17.717–18.6
2073	–	22.621.8–23.5	–	17.616.8–18.5
2074	–	22.521.7–23.6	–	17.416.7–18.6
2075	–	22.622–23.5	–	17.617.1–18.5
2076	–	22.722–23.6	–	17.716.8–18.6
2077	–	22.821.8–23.7	–	17.716.8–18.7
2078	–	22.822–23.8	–	17.716.8–18.7
2079	–	22.922–23.8	–	17.917.2–18.8
2080	–	2322.1–23.6	–	17.817–18.5
2081	–	22.921.8–23.7	–	17.816.7–18.8
2082	–	22.922.3–23.4	–	17.817.1–18.4
2083	–	22.822.3–23.7	–	17.717.3–18.8
2084	–	2321.8–23.7	–	1816.7–18.8
2085	–	2322.3–23.8	–	17.917.2–18.8
2086	–	2322.3–24	–	1817.2–18.9
2087	–	22.921.9–23.7	–	17.916.8–18.6
2088	–	22.922.2–23.8	–	17.917.1–18.7
2089	–	22.921.8–24.2	–	17.916.8–19.2
2090	–	22.922.4–24.2	–	1817.2–19.2
2091	–	2322.4–23.9	–	1817.3–19
2092	–	2322.3–24.1	–	1816.9–19
2093	–	23.222.2–23.8	–	18.217.2–18.9
2094	–	23.422.4–24	–	18.317.2–19
2095	–	23.122.2–24	–	1817.3–19
2096	–	23.222.1–24.3	–	18.116.8–19.3
2097	–	23.222–24.3	–	18.217–19.4
2098	–	23.122.1–24.4	–	1816.9–19.4
2099	–	23.121.9–23.9	–	18.116.9–18.9
2100	–	23.122.1–24	–	17.917–19

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Israel vs Lebanon: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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