Israel vs Mexico: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 30.3 days in Israel and 32.8 days in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mexico, by 2.4 days, or 1.08 times that in Israel.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

IsraelMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Mexico has been higher since 2004, when it overtook Israel.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Israel at 85.6 days and Mexico at 67.8 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Israel	Mexico
2014	30.3	32.8
2013	29.7	31.6
2012	27.9	30.4
2011	29.6	30.5
2010	29.7	31.8
2009	26.8	30.6
2008	28.9	30.7
2007	25.8	29
2006	26.3	28.6
2005	26.2	29.2
2004	26.5	29.4
2003	28.6	27.2
2002	24.9	27.8
2001	26.4	29.6
2000	25.4	27.9
1999	25.1	26.4
1998	23.9	27
1997	21.2	26.7
1996	20.5	25.7
1995	19.9	25.1
1994	19.2	24.1
1993	16.1	21.9
1992	17.4	20.9
1991	20.3	26.5
1990	22.4	26.5
1989	20.7	24
1988	18.7	23.9
1987	19	25.7
1986	20.7	24.1
1985	17.6	21.9
1984	14.6	22
1983	16.1	20.7
1982	18	22.1
1981	19	23.4
1980	19.6	22.5
1979	16.1	24
1978	16.7	22.5
1977	16.4	22.8
1976	18.3	22.2
1975	16.5	21.3
1974	18.1	22.6
1973	17.2	21.7
1972	18.2	22.5
1971	18.2	21.2
1970	17.4	22.3
1969	17.5	23.1
1968	15.5	21.7
1967	15.4	22.8
1966	15.6	21.9
1965	14.7	20.3
1964	15	20.6
1963	16.8	22.1
1962	17.2	22.7
1961	16.5	23.5
1960	19.7	23.2
1959	18	23.7
1958	18.6	22.9
1957	19.7	22.3
1956	18.5	22.8
1955	18.4	23.1
1954	15.9	22.1
1953	18.2	22.5
1952	17.8	21.4
1951	18.3	22.1
1950	16.8	22.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Israel	Mexico
2015	35.422.7–49.3	35.225.3–48.5
2016	3222.7–48.1	33.924.5–44.6
2017	36.626.9–47.6	35.424.4–46.9
2018	37.726.5–50.4	3625.2–47.9
2019	3727.2–50.2	36.726–51.6
2020	40.527.5–54.7	37.325.8–50.6
2021	38.329.9–48.9	37.726.7–51.1
2022	41.828–54.5	37.225.5–52
2023	43.631.6–54.9	38.426.6–52.5
2024	4531.6–56.2	42.228.1–55.6
2025	45.327.6–56.7	39.627.6–53.3
2026	42.830–55.6	39.126.4–51.8
2027	44.833–56.4	37.926.5–53.6
2028	45.331.2–56.1	40.127.8–55.7
2029	44.232.9–59.9	41.727.6–56.7
2030	45.134–56.7	39.325.9–53
2031	44.833.2–57	4127.8–56.3
2032	49.336.9–60.5	42.527.6–55.9
2033	50.432.4–64.9	42.530.2–57.1
2034	48.932.1–62.4	40.427.8–56.6
2035	52.636.4–66.8	40.528.2–56.9
2036	46.537.2–62.3	41.428.9–55.3
2037	54.737.5–67.2	44.230–59.6
2038	54.234.6–71.5	45.130.6–59.7
2039	55.438.7–70.4	4732.9–63.1
2040	55.439.7–72.6	46.933.9–61.8
2041	54.241–69.9	44.530.9–60.8
2042	55.736.3–69.2	48.633.8–64.3
2043	55.441.6–68.9	46.632.5–63.4
2044	5537.4–71.2	47.234.1–63.7
2045	59.445.3–73.9	48.333.7–65.3
2046	60.545.7–74.6	5035.6–64.3
2047	60.245.4–76.2	51.537.2–67
2048	62.442.8–77.6	50.235.3–67.1
2049	58.337.9–75.3	52.336.1–69.5
2050	6042.7–78.5	50.234.4–66.5
2051	60.446.6–73.1	50.436.9–66.9
2052	6046.1–75.7	5235.5–68.6
2053	60.646.1–76.6	5336.9–70.2
2054	63.344.6–77.5	52.835.8–69.3
2055	63.543.4–80.4	54.437.3–71.1
2056	64.542.6–81	52.837.6–69.6
2057	63.249.8–82.3	55.937–72
2058	65.445.9–86.6	51.536.7–70.5
2059	68.645.1–84.4	55.340.6–72.6
2060	66.450.5–84.8	55.739.5–73.4
2061	65.748.9–82	57.642.1–73.9
2062	68.745–87.3	5535.6–77
2063	68.152.7–86.2	57.641.7–77.2
2064	68.555.6–88.7	58.242.8–75
2065	68.851.6–88.2	59.540.3–79
2066	68.849–86.7	57.940.6–76.3
2067	73.852.9–91.6	5841.9–76.7
2068	74.755.9–94.1	60.343.2–79.1
2069	7055.7–83.4	58.339.8–80.5
2070	76.353.6–91.5	60.239.8–80.8
2071	73.953.1–92.8	61.344.6–81.4
2072	77.258.3–92.6	63.144–80.9
2073	75.754.6–95.1	62.842.3–85.4
2074	71.955.9–89.6	6043.5–80.9
2075	71.952.3–88.9	60.842.2–80.8
2076	75.555.1–94.5	61.242.4–83.6
2077	75.254.9–92.1	60.843.2–79.8
2078	78.158.3–94.6	64.744.4–86.4
2079	82.356.7–99.2	6646.1–87.4
2080	80.565.3–99.3	64.744–84.6
2081	75.157.8–93.6	64.845.7–84.4
2082	80.761.4–99.5	63.643.2–82.2
2083	80.261.7–97.3	65.140.9–89.7
2084	80.464.4–94.8	65.446.4–86.3
2085	80.663.1–97.1	65.744.8–85.9
2086	78.761.7–102.1	64.644.8–85.1
2087	79.661.2–100.8	64.644.4–84.2
2088	84.160.7–101.2	6545.7–86.5
2089	8163.9–105.3	66.644.2–87.9
2090	8365.5–101.4	66.246–89
2091	84.363.6–101.9	6946.6–92.4
2092	82.860.3–105.3	67.746–86.5
2093	86.263.7–107.4	66.846.9–91.6
2094	87.266–105.1	67.546.7–92.1
2095	84.363.3–105.9	70.149.8–93.9
2096	82.561.3–103.9	68.547.9–91.7
2097	85.865.7–105.3	67.346–89.7
2098	85.165.1–104.2	71.348.2–95.2
2099	8560.2–104.3	68.349.1–91.5
2100	85.660.5–104.5	67.846.4–88.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Israel vs Mexico: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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