Italy vs United Arab Emirates: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 0.5 days in Italy and 188.2 days in United Arab Emirates, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 187.7 days, or 380 times that in Italy.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

ItalyUnited Arab EmiratesCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Italy at 9.6 days and United Arab Emirates at 211.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Italy	United Arab Emirates
2014	0.5	188.2
2013	0.2	186.1
2012	0.2	186.5
2011	0.3	186.2
2010	0.4	184.6
2009	0.3	182.8
2008	0.3	184.9
2007	0.1	183.2
2006	0.2	182.4
2005	0.1	184
2004	0.3	183
2003	0.2	181.2
2002	0.1	184.4
2001	0.1	185.8
2000	0.2	183.5
1999	0.1	182.7
1998	0.1	179.4
1997	0.1	180.6
1996	0.1	177.8
1995	0.1	178.9
1994	0	179.9
1993	0	173.8
1992	0	173.5
1991	0	176.1
1990	0.1	179.8
1989	0	176.8
1988	0	177.1
1987	0	176.2
1986	0	177
1985	0	174.6
1984	0	176.3
1983	0	170.9
1982	0	174.8
1981	0	177.2
1980	0.1	178.3
1979	0	174.3
1978	0	175.3
1977	0	173.8
1976	0	176.1
1975	0	171.8
1974	0	173.4
1973	0	175
1972	0	172.7
1971	0	170
1970	0	172.4
1969	0.1	172.3
1968	0	172.5
1967	0	169.7
1966	0	172.2
1965	0	170.5
1964	0.1	171.1
1963	0	172.1
1962	0	174.7
1961	0	174.7
1960	0	175.7
1959	0.1	175.1
1958	0	177.7
1957	0	176.8
1956	0	174.3
1955	0.1	174
1954	0	173.4
1953	0.1	174.2
1952	0.1	175.2
1951	0	174.5
1950	0.1	173.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Italy	United Arab Emirates
2015	0.40.1–1.7	191.2179.8–204.4
2016	0.40–2.6	189.6178.1–197.4
2017	0.60–3.2	188171.7–199.5
2018	0.60.1–3.2	189.4176.5–202.3
2019	0.80.1–2.4	188.9176.5–199.6
2020	0.60–3	191.1179.6–203.2
2021	0.70–3.2	189.5176.6–201.4
2022	0.90–4.3	189.6170.9–200.8
2023	0.70–3.4	190.8179–205.1
2024	1.10–3.9	192.5179.6–206
2025	0.90.1–4.3	190.7180.4–202.7
2026	10.1–6.1	195.8183.5–207.4
2027	0.90–3.8	194.4181.1–206.7
2028	1.40.2–5	194.9182.7–205.4
2029	1.20.1–5.5	192.1179.1–205.4
2030	0.90.1–4.8	196.6182.9–206.4
2031	10.1–4.1	196.3182.6–206.8
2032	1.20.3–4.7	194.1182.4–203
2033	1.60–4.3	197.4184.9–212.1
2034	1.70.2–6.9	203.2184.1–214.6
2035	1.90.2–6.5	197.7184–208.1
2036	1.90.2–7	196.3179.4–207.3
2037	1.90.4–6.2	196.4187.8–208.6
2038	1.90.2–7.5	199.4181.9–210
2039	20.3–5.6	199.8185.5–210.9
2040	2.20.3–6.7	199.6182.7–208.1
2041	2.10.3–7	198.1183.2–210.9
2042	1.80.2–6.9	199.2184.4–211.7
2043	2.10.2–5.7	201.1183.5–212.8
2044	2.40.4–6.4	201.1188.2–208.5
2045	2.10.2–6.2	202189.1–212.7
2046	2.70.5–8.8	199.2188.6–214.5
2047	3.30.9–8.1	201.6193.4–213.9
2048	2.10.1–9.3	204.3189.9–219.4
2049	2.80.3–9.4	202.4187.6–213.8
2050	3.80.8–8.5	206.3191–216.8
2051	3.20.6–11.6	205.6193–217.4
2052	2.90.2–9.6	204.2190.8–217.7
2053	30.6–9.8	204.1189.3–214.8
2054	3.70.4–11.5	201.8189.2–219.8
2055	3.30.3–10.2	207.2190.6–220.1
2056	3.40.9–11.1	204.4189.9–217.7
2057	3.10.6–8.5	208.6196.9–223
2058	4.80.6–12.3	204.4194.1–215.5
2059	4.20.6–12.5	205.3186.3–217.3
2060	3.80.9–11.3	208.1195–218.2
2061	4.51.2–10.3	206.4193.8–215.8
2062	4.50.8–10.7	209.9192.6–220.5
2063	5.70.8–13.2	207.6195.5–221.1
2064	5.51–13.9	205.1189–222.7
2065	4.80.9–13	206.2190.5–221.6
2066	4.40.6–12.7	209.6192.6–225.1
2067	7.31.3–17	210.1197.6–223.1
2068	5.71.2–13.8	205194.4–216.7
2069	6.11.5–11.5	209192.1–222.3
2070	5.71.3–15.6	209.4198.4–224
2071	7.11.2–15.6	214.1194.6–225.3
2072	6.52.1–14.7	210.3194–222.6
2073	4.51.1–11.8	211.9196.4–224.7
2074	5.30.7–12.8	211.3194.9–225.3
2075	5.81.3–18	209.5194.1–226.1
2076	5.81–15.9	208.3195–226.6
2077	5.81.5–14.7	212.1197.6–223.3
2078	5.41.4–20.3	211.5198.5–223.7
2079	6.71.2–20	207.9195.3–223.5
2080	6.41.8–17.3	209.5195.7–225.6
2081	61.5–16.9	211.3191.2–224.7
2082	9.42.3–18.9	211196.8–227.8
2083	6.11.1–15.3	214.3198.3–225.1
2084	7.72.6–20.2	212.4201.1–226.6
2085	8.22.7–17.8	212.3198.9–229.9
2086	8.12.4–18.1	213.2196.1–230.7
2087	8.12–20	213.3201.4–225.1
2088	10.63.1–22.1	213.1201.1–229.8
2089	9.23–22.4	214.3201.6–225.4
2090	8.62.9–17.7	213.9200.9–226.3
2091	9.73–19.4	211.5201.4–224.6
2092	6.70.5–17.5	212.1200.8–225.7
2093	6.42–17.4	212.2197.4–229.7
2094	7.62–19.9	213.7198.4–226.1
2095	9.71.3–19.2	215204.2–226.4
2096	7.61.6–21.4	215.8198.9–226.3
2097	8.61.8–18.9	213196.7–228
2098	9.92.4–19	214.6200.6–230.3
2099	9.51.7–19.7	215203.6–229.1
2100	9.62.4–20.4	211.7198.7–224.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time