Côte d’Ivoire vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 36.4 days in Côte d’Ivoire and 48.1 days in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 11.8 days, or 1.32 times that in Côte d’Ivoire.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Côte d’IvoireKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Côte d’Ivoire at 110.6 days and Kenya at 103.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Côte d’Ivoire	Kenya
2014	36.4	48.1
2013	37.7	46.4
2012	35	45.5
2011	35.7	46.4
2010	33.9	45.5
2009	32.7	40.9
2008	29.4	40.8
2007	31	39.2
2006	29.7	42
2005	32.3	42.9
2004	33.6	41.8
2003	30.8	41
2002	31.2	42.7
2001	32.8	43.4
2000	30.7	39.6
1999	29.5	40.9
1998	29.1	39.7
1997	28.5	38.8
1996	22	35.3
1995	23.7	34.3
1994	23.7	32.9
1993	19.8	28.5
1992	18.4	28.2
1991	27.1	35.1
1990	28.5	34.1
1989	24.1	34.5
1988	26.3	33.9
1987	25.3	35.9
1986	25.7	35.5
1985	24.4	31.2
1984	24.5	31
1983	24.3	30.2
1982	25.5	33.9
1981	25.4	34.6
1980	23.3	36.4
1979	24.1	34.4
1978	23.9	31.8
1977	23.5	30.5
1976	22.4	28.6
1975	21.1	29.7
1974	22.5	30.4
1973	22.7	29.1
1972	21.3	28.4
1971	21.8	28.1
1970	21.6	27
1969	23.9	29
1968	20.1	25.7
1967	18.6	26.9
1966	22.3	25.8
1965	19.2	24.4
1964	14.2	20.8
1963	22.2	25.7
1962	23.5	28.8
1961	22.7	30.9
1960	25.2	29.5
1959	23.5	30.4
1958	24.4	28
1957	21.8	30.7
1956	21.9	28.9
1955	25	30.2
1954	22.3	30
1953	20.9	31
1952	21	29.8
1951	24.3	30.1
1950	21.3	30.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Côte d’Ivoire	Kenya
2015	39.425–57.3	50.131.1–66.1
2016	35.216.8–50.3	49.230.5–67.3
2017	3620.5–51.5	50.228.4–68.7
2018	37.619–57.1	5033.4–67.3
2019	37.320.4–58.7	49.431.2–67.4
2020	38.122.5–63	53.533.4–75.7
2021	39.826.1–54.4	52.434.3–69.5
2022	4525.4–64.1	51.825–70.5
2023	40.323.9–55.9	55.535.3–80
2024	43.329.5–64.3	60.738.5–78.7
2025	44.224.5–59.9	55.236.8–74.4
2026	44.322.5–67	55.435.2–86.2
2027	44.518.2–68.2	5634.2–77.5
2028	45.423.3–70.2	56.731.5–80.6
2029	48.427.4–73.1	59.535.1–79.7
2030	47.826.8–74.8	57.940.5–79.9
2031	49.926.4–70.3	64.244.3–83.9
2032	50.425–75.3	58.839.6–81.3
2033	53.229.1–74.9	63.639.2–87.1
2034	51.430.2–72.8	62.339.2–84.6
2035	5128.1–75.7	61.636.8–84.1
2036	50.925.8–79.3	59.840.3–84.7
2037	60.830–84.2	63.740.4–91.7
2038	60.135.1–86.1	63.235.1–89.5
2039	56.536.2–81.3	65.540.6–88.4
2040	54.231.5–91.5	64.144.3–84.7
2041	6539.9–87.6	69.847.4–98.8
2042	6137–84.8	71.147–95.3
2043	56.936.2–84.4	66.640.7–91.1
2044	62.538.5–92.4	69.243–91.5
2045	6638.2–93.7	7049.2–100.3
2046	67.336.4–92.2	76.643.2–107.2
2047	71.837.3–96.2	74.249.2–103.8
2048	67.544.2–94.9	72.847.4–102.8
2049	67.342.7–100.2	78.548.6–107.8
2050	62.941–102.8	7250–107.2
2051	67.939.3–102.7	79.352.5–111
2052	75.641.4–107	79.550.7–104.4
2053	69.643.7–109.3	72.944.3–104.5
2054	72.942.2–107.6	73.142.1–99.6
2055	77.446.2–112.6	80.450.6–105.6
2056	75.246.8–112.7	76.247–111.2
2057	80.146.7–110.5	81.352.9–109.1
2058	76.444.6–105.3	78.950–112.4
2059	77.848.5–119.8	83.351.3–115.7
2060	81.649.8–115.6	85.749.3–116.5
2061	82.447.9–117.4	85.354.7–115.1
2062	73.847.7–115.8	85.355.1–116.5
2063	83.655.4–125.6	84.254.2–110.1
2064	80.148.8–114.1	87.448.2–113.7
2065	86.652.1–119	86.855.1–123.7
2066	79.854.4–119.2	83.857–115
2067	8152.6–119.3	8955.6–119.5
2068	87.151.2–124.3	87.751.4–117.1
2069	9049.1–129.5	8653.8–118.3
2070	82.945.1–131.3	86.150.8–121
2071	81.952.8–131.5	91.757.9–123.6
2072	89.453–124.2	91.461.3–123.1
2073	94.850–142.1	91.458.5–127.3
2074	83.553.4–142.6	87.855.2–124.3
2075	89.751.6–131.7	89.853.7–127.4
2076	96.257.8–132	97.664.7–134.6
2077	98.950.4–141.2	97.755.7–131.4
2078	9157.1–137.8	90.260.9–124.7
2079	94.156.6–139.9	9463.2–125.8
2080	103.354.6–141.4	96.157.8–132.4
2081	96.658.5–139.2	99.766.8–136.7
2082	98.855.7–136.5	99.458.5–131.7
2083	99.660.7–141.8	100.263.9–137.5
2084	98.557.3–141.8	9967.9–133.8
2085	108.660.6–148.6	99.259.2–137.4
2086	102.359.9–144.7	104.457.4–142.5
2087	99.854.5–143.3	99.762.4–134.4
2088	101.756.4–138	98.761–135.2
2089	89.560.4–138.3	97.966–126.9
2090	98.358.5–146.7	101.468.5–136
2091	103.466.1–145.8	104.465.5–141.4
2092	109.559.6–150.7	99.759.8–137.8
2093	102.561.4–163.2	105.971.9–140.7
2094	102.361.8–153.6	107.369.1–137.3
2095	115.160.6–159.8	106.367.5–142.4
2096	104.661.5–158.1	105.461.5–142.2
2097	96.659.8–152.6	105.161.4–139.2
2098	10959.4–154	104.861.9–140.8
2099	107.653.7–164.1	103.362.5–145.4
2100	110.666.8–162	103.757.3–139.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Côte d’Ivoire vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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