Madagascar vs Malawi

Madagascar vs Malawi: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 23.1 °C in Madagascar and 22.2 °C in Malawi, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Madagascar, by 0.9 °C, or 1.04 times that in Malawi.

°C · ERA5

Madagascar vs Malawi: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 23.1 °C in Madagascar and 22.2 °C in Malawi, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Madagascar, by 0.9 °C, or 1.04 times that in Malawi.
MadagascarMalawiCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Madagascar has been higher since 1993, when it overtook Malawi.
  • In 2025, Madagascar ranked 126 and Malawi ranked 130 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Madagascar at 24.9 °C and Malawi at 24.8 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearMadagascarMadagascar: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202523.123.422.222.9
202423.423.522.823
202323.223.522.722.9
202222.623.52222.9
20212323.322.322.7
20202323.322.522.8
201923.323.322.422.8
201822.823.322.322.7
201723.123.322.422.8
201622.823.122.722.6
201522.823.322.622.8
201422.823.122.322.6
201322.723.122.222.6
201222.723.222.122.6
201122.823.122.222.5
2010232322.322.4
200922.82321.922.3
200822.42321.622.4
200722.72321.922.5
200622.82321.922.3
200522.622.922.422.3
200422.62321.622.4
200322.62321.922.4
200222.622.92222.4
200122.622.92222.4
200022.422.821.622.2
199922.322.821.622.1
199822.722.822.322.2
199722.422.821.922.1
199622.322.72222.1
199522.422.722.422
199422.222.62221.9
199322.122.52221.7
199222.122.522.421.8
199122.322.721.822
199022.422.822.122.1
198922.222.721.522
198822.522.721.922.1
198722.522.622.321.9
198621.922.721.322
198521.822.621.221.8
198421.822.521.621.8
198322.522.522.421.9
198222.122.621.521.8
198122.122.721.421.9
198022.222.621.521.9
197922.222.621.621.9
197822.322.521.521.7
197722.422.621.921.9
19762222.521.221.8
197521.622.521.421.8
197421.622.621.121.9
197322.122.621.721.8
197221.922.521.421.8
197121.622.521.221.8
197021.822.521.721.9
196922.122.521.821.8
196821.622.421.421.7
196721.922.321.421.6
196621.822.421.721.7
196521.122.420.921.8
196421.422.321.321.6
196321.522.221.321.5
196221.622.421.521.8
196122.122.521.421.8
196021.722.521.421.9
195921.722.621.521.9
195821.722.521.721.9
195721.922.521.421.8
195621.622.521.221.7
195521.522.52121.8
195421.622.521.521.8
195321.722.521.121.8
195221.622.521.621.8
195121.822.52221.7
195021.322.52121.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearMadagascarMadagascar: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–23.422.9–24–22.922.2–23.6
2027–23.523.1–24–23.122.5–23.6
2028–23.523.2–24.1–23.122.5–23.6
2029–23.623.1–24.1–23.322.5–23.7
2030–23.623.1–24.1–23.122.6–23.6
2031–23.723.3–24.2–23.222.9–23.7
2032–23.723.2–24.2–23.222.6–23.9
2033–23.723.2–24.2–23.322.7–23.8
2034–23.823.3–24.2–23.322.6–24.1
2035–23.823.3–24.4–23.422.7–24
2036–23.723.3–24.1–23.322.5–23.8
2037–23.923.4–24.3–23.422.8–24.1
2038–23.923.5–24.4–23.623.1–24.1
2039–23.823.4–24.4–23.422.8–24.1
2040–23.823.4–24.4–23.322.9–24
2041–23.923.4–24.4–23.422.7–24.1
2042–23.923.4–24.5–23.522.8–24.2
2043–23.923.5–24.4–23.522.8–24.3
2044–23.923.4–24.5–23.522.9–24.4
2045–23.923.5–24.4–23.423–24.2
2046–24.123.5–24.6–23.822.8–24.4
2047–24.123.5–24.6–23.823–24.6
2048–24.223.7–24.6–23.823.3–24.5
2049–24.123.7–24.6–23.723.1–24.5
2050–24.123.6–24.7–23.923.3–24.5
2051–24.123.7–24.8–23.923.3–24.8
2052–24.223.7–24.8–23.923.4–24.7
2053–24.223.5–24.8–23.822.8–24.5
2054–24.323.7–24.9–2423.1–24.9
2055–24.323.8–24.9–2423.2–24.9
2056–24.323.7–24.9–2423.2–24.9
2057–24.323.7–24.9–23.923.2–24.7
2058–24.323.8–25–24.123.4–24.8
2059–24.423.8–25–2423.5–25
2060–24.523.8–25–24.223.1–24.8
2061–24.323.7–25–23.923.3–25
2062–24.423.8–25.2–24.123.4–25.2
2063–24.523.8–25.2–24.123.2–25
2064–24.523.8–24.9–24.223.2–24.9
2065–24.523.8–25.1–24.123.4–25.4
2066–24.523.8–25.3–24.423.5–25.2
2067–24.423.7–25.1–24.123.2–25.2
2068–24.723.8–25.2–24.323.4–25.3
2069–24.623.7–25.2–24.423.4–25.1
2070–24.623.8–25.3–24.323.3–25.3
2071–24.624–25.4–24.423.4–25.5
2072–24.724–25.3–24.523.7–25.2
2073–24.724–25.4–24.523.4–25.6
2074–24.624–25.4–24.323.6–25.3
2075–24.624.1–25.3–24.323.6–25.3
2076–24.723.9–25.4–24.323.3–25.2
2077–24.724–25.5–24.523.6–25.5
2078–24.624.1–25.5–24.523.5–25.4
2079–24.623.9–25.5–24.523.7–25.4
2080–24.924–25.6–24.623.7–25.4
2081–24.724–25.4–24.423.6–25.4
2082–24.724.1–25.3–24.523.7–25.2
2083–24.724–25.5–24.523.5–25.5
2084–24.824.1–25.5–24.523.7–25.5
2085–24.924.1–25.7–24.723.6–25.6
2086–24.824.1–25.5–24.323.7–25.6
2087–24.824.1–25.6–24.523.7–25.5
2088–24.924–25.7–24.823.5–25.7
2089–24.824.1–25.8–24.823.8–25.5
2090–24.924.2–25.8–24.823.5–25.8
2091–24.924.1–25.8–24.923.7–25.9
2092–2524.1–25.7–24.823.6–25.8
2093–2524.1–25.9–24.823.6–25.7
2094–24.924.1–25.6–24.923.6–25.8
2095–25.124.2–25.6–24.923.9–25.7
2096–24.924.1–25.8–24.723.8–25.9
2097–2524.1–25.8–24.623.7–25.8
2098–24.924–25.7–24.823.8–25.8
2099–24.924.2–25.7–2523.7–25.9
2100–24.924.3–25.8–24.823.7–25.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Madagascar vs Malawi

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