Malawi vs Tanzania

Malawi vs Tanzania: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 22.2 °C in Malawi and 23.2 °C in Tanzania, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Tanzania, by 1 °C, or 1.05 times that in Malawi.

°C · ERA5

Malawi vs Tanzania: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 22.2 °C in Malawi and 23.2 °C in Tanzania, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Tanzania, by 1 °C, or 1.05 times that in Malawi.
MalawiTanzaniaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Tanzania has been higher since 1993, when it overtook Malawi.
  • In 2025, Malawi ranked 130 and Tanzania ranked 123 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Malawi at 24.8 °C and Tanzania at 25.2 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model medianTanzaniaTanzania: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202522.222.923.223.6
202422.82323.223.7
202322.722.923.323.6
20222222.922.923.6
202122.322.72323.5
202022.522.822.923.5
201922.422.823.323.4
201822.322.722.823.4
201722.422.823.323.4
201622.722.623.223.2
201522.622.823.223.5
201422.322.622.923.2
201322.222.62323.1
201222.122.622.923.2
201122.222.522.823.3
201022.322.423.123.1
200921.922.32323
200821.622.422.523.1
200721.922.522.823
200621.922.322.823
200522.422.323.223
200421.622.422.723
200321.922.42323
20022222.422.423
20012222.422.323.1
200021.622.222.522.9
199921.622.122.422.9
199822.322.222.722.9
199721.922.122.722.9
19962222.122.422.8
199522.42222.622.8
19942221.922.622.6
19932221.722.622.5
199222.421.822.322.5
199121.82222.422.8
199022.122.122.322.8
198921.52221.922.7
198821.922.122.722.7
198722.321.922.622.7
198621.3222222.8
198521.221.821.922.5
198421.621.821.922.6
198322.421.922.622.5
198221.521.822.222.6
198121.421.922.222.7
198021.521.922.222.6
197921.621.92222.7
197821.521.72222.5
197721.921.922.222.6
197621.221.822.222.5
197521.421.82222.5
197421.121.921.922.5
197321.721.822.222.6
197221.421.821.722.5
197121.221.821.622.5
197021.721.921.922.6
196921.821.822.422.5
196821.421.721.522.4
196721.421.62222.4
196621.721.722.222.4
196520.921.821.622.4
196421.321.621.622.3
196321.321.521.522.3
196221.521.821.622.5
196121.421.822.222.5
196021.421.922.122.6
195921.521.922.122.5
195821.721.922.322.5
195721.421.821.722.5
195621.221.721.622.5
19552121.821.622.5
195421.521.821.822.5
195321.121.821.522.5
195221.621.82222.5
19512221.721.822.6
19502121.721.622.5
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model medianTanzaniaTanzania: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–22.922.2–23.6–23.723–24.3
2027–23.122.5–23.6–23.623.1–24.2
2028–23.122.5–23.6–23.723.2–24.2
2029–23.322.5–23.7–23.823.3–24.2
2030–23.122.6–23.6–23.723.2–24.2
2031–23.222.9–23.7–23.923.5–24.3
2032–23.222.6–23.9–23.823.4–24.4
2033–23.322.7–23.8–23.923.3–24.4
2034–23.322.6–24.1–23.923.3–24.4
2035–23.422.7–24–2423.4–24.5
2036–23.322.5–23.8–23.923.3–24.5
2037–23.422.8–24.1–2423.5–24.5
2038–23.623.1–24.1–24.123.6–24.5
2039–23.422.8–24.1–2423.5–24.5
2040–23.322.9–24–2423.5–24.7
2041–23.422.7–24.1–24.123.6–24.7
2042–23.522.8–24.2–24.123.6–24.7
2043–23.522.8–24.3–2423.4–24.6
2044–23.522.9–24.4–2423.5–24.7
2045–23.423–24.2–24.123.8–24.8
2046–23.822.8–24.4–24.423.7–25
2047–23.823–24.6–24.323.7–25
2048–23.823.3–24.5–24.323.8–25
2049–23.723.1–24.5–24.323.8–25
2050–23.923.3–24.5–24.323.8–25
2051–23.923.3–24.8–24.423.9–25.1
2052–23.923.4–24.7–24.423.8–25.1
2053–23.822.8–24.5–24.423.7–25
2054–2423.1–24.9–24.523.8–25.1
2055–2423.2–24.9–24.523.9–25.2
2056–2423.2–24.9–24.423.8–25.3
2057–23.923.2–24.7–24.523.8–25.2
2058–24.123.4–24.8–24.623.8–25.3
2059–2423.5–25–24.624.1–25.4
2060–24.223.1–24.8–24.723.8–25.4
2061–23.923.3–25–24.623.8–25.4
2062–24.123.4–25.2–24.724–25.6
2063–24.123.2–25–24.724–25.3
2064–24.223.2–24.9–24.823.9–25.4
2065–24.123.4–25.4–24.824–25.6
2066–24.423.5–25.2–24.824.1–25.4
2067–24.123.2–25.2–24.723.9–25.6
2068–24.323.4–25.3–24.824.1–25.6
2069–24.423.4–25.1–24.824–25.5
2070–24.323.3–25.3–24.724–25.7
2071–24.423.4–25.5–24.924.2–25.7
2072–24.523.7–25.2–2524.2–25.6
2073–24.523.4–25.6–2524.2–25.8
2074–24.323.6–25.3–24.724.1–25.6
2075–24.323.6–25.3–24.824.2–25.7
2076–24.323.3–25.2–24.924.2–25.8
2077–24.523.6–25.5–24.924.2–25.8
2078–24.523.5–25.4–24.924.3–25.7
2079–24.523.7–25.4–2524.2–25.7
2080–24.623.7–25.4–25.124.1–25.8
2081–24.423.6–25.4–2524.2–25.8
2082–24.523.7–25.2–2524.3–25.8
2083–24.523.5–25.5–2524.3–26
2084–24.523.7–25.5–25.124.3–25.9
2085–24.723.6–25.6–25.124.4–26
2086–24.323.7–25.6–2524.3–25.9
2087–24.523.7–25.5–2524.3–25.9
2088–24.823.5–25.7–25.224.2–25.9
2089–24.823.8–25.5–25.124.4–25.9
2090–24.823.5–25.8–25.124.4–26
2091–24.923.7–25.9–25.324.4–26.2
2092–24.823.6–25.8–25.224.3–26.1
2093–24.823.6–25.7–25.224.4–26
2094–24.923.6–25.8–25.324.4–26.1
2095–24.923.9–25.7–25.324.5–26.2
2096–24.723.8–25.9–25.224.4–26.2
2097–24.623.7–25.8–25.324.3–26.1
2098–24.823.8–25.8–25.224.3–26.1
2099–2523.7–25.9–25.324.3–26.1
2100–24.823.7–25.8–25.224.3–26.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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