Mexico vs United Arab Emirates: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 21.7 °C in Mexico and 28.9 °C in United Arab Emirates, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 7.2 °C, or 1.33 times that in Mexico.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

MexicoUnited Arab EmiratesCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, Mexico ranked 134 and United Arab Emirates ranked 4 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Mexico at 23.7 °C and United Arab Emirates at 30.5 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Mexico	Mexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median	United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	21.7	22	28.9	28.7
2024	22	21.9	29	28.7
2023	21.7	21.9	29	28.7
2022	21	21.9	28.9	28.4
2021	21.3	21.9	29.1	28.4
2020	21.6	21.9	28.6	28.5
2019	21.4	21.9	28.7	28.2
2018	21.1	21.8	29	28.4
2017	21.4	21.7	29	28.3
2016	21.2	21.6	28.2	28.2
2015	21.1	21.6	28.9	28.3
2014	21	21.4	28	28.2
2013	20.8	21.5	27.8	28.1
2012	21.2	21.4	28.6	28
2011	21.3	21.4	28.5	28
2010	20.5	21.4	29	28.1
2009	21.2	21.4	28.3	27.9
2008	20.7	21.3	27.9	28
2007	20.7	21.2	28.3	28
2006	21	21.2	28.3	27.9
2005	21	21.3	28.2	27.8
2004	20.4	21.3	28.2	27.8
2003	20.9	21.2	28.2	27.8
2002	20.8	21.2	28	27.9
2001	20.7	21.2	28	27.9
2000	20.8	21.2	27.9	27.7
1999	20.7	21.1	28.4	27.7
1998	21	21	28.6	27.6
1997	20.4	21.1	27.1	27.6
1996	20.8	20.9	27.6	27.4
1995	21	20.9	27.1	27.5
1994	21	20.8	27.5	27.3
1993	20.5	20.7	27.2	27.1
1992	20.1	20.6	26.2	27.1
1991	20.2	20.9	26.8	27.4
1990	20.4	21	27.4	27.5
1989	20.4	20.9	26.8	27.3
1988	20.2	20.9	27.4	27.3
1987	19.8	20.9	27.4	27.2
1986	20.1	20.8	27.4	27.3
1985	20	20.7	27.3	27.2
1984	19.9	20.6	27	27.1
1983	20	20.5	26.2	26.9
1982	20.5	20.6	26.4	27.2
1981	20.1	20.8	27.5	27.2
1980	20.5	20.7	27.6	27.2
1979	20.1	20.8	27.4	27.1
1978	20.1	20.7	26.8	27.1
1977	20.2	20.7	27.3	27.1
1976	19.4	20.7	26.5	27
1975	19.8	20.6	26.8	27
1974	19.9	20.6	26.7	27
1973	19.6	20.6	26.8	26.9
1972	20.2	20.6	26.2	26.9
1971	19.9	20.6	26.4	26.9
1970	19.9	20.6	26.7	27
1969	20.2	20.6	26.9	27
1968	19.6	20.6	26.2	27
1967	20	20.6	26.5	26.9
1966	19.5	20.6	26.9	26.9
1965	19.8	20.5	26.6	26.8
1964	19.7	20.4	26.3	26.8
1963	20	20.6	26.9	26.9
1962	20.2	20.6	27.2	27.2
1961	19.8	20.7	26.8	27
1960	19.8	20.7	26.9	27.2
1959	19.7	20.7	26.3	27.1
1958	19.9	20.7	27	27.1
1957	20.4	20.7	26.5	27.1
1956	19.9	20.7	26.7	26.9
1955	19.9	20.6	26.8	27
1954	20.3	20.6	27.5	27
1953	20.1	20.6	27.6	27
1952	19.9	20.5	27.1	27
1951	20.3	20.7	27.2	27
1950	20.3	20.6	26.3	27

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Mexico	Mexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median	United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	2221.4–22.6	–	28.728.1–29.6
2027	–	2221.4–22.7	–	28.628.1–29.4
2028	–	22.121.5–22.7	–	28.628.1–29.5
2029	–	22.121.6–22.7	–	28.628–29.6
2030	–	22.221.4–22.7	–	28.828.2–29.5
2031	–	22.121.5–22.8	–	28.928.3–29.6
2032	–	22.221.5–22.7	–	28.828.2–29.4
2033	–	22.321.6–22.9	–	28.928.3–29.5
2034	–	22.221.7–22.9	–	2928.2–29.7
2035	–	22.221.5–22.9	–	2928.5–29.8
2036	–	22.321.8–22.8	–	2928.5–29.6
2037	–	22.421.5–23	–	29.128.5–29.7
2038	–	22.421.7–23.1	–	29.228.4–29.8
2039	–	22.521.8–23.2	–	29.128.5–29.8
2040	–	22.521.9–23.1	–	29.128.6–29.8
2041	–	22.521.7–23.1	–	29.128.6–29.9
2042	–	22.621.9–23.2	–	29.128.5–30.2
2043	–	22.622–23.2	–	29.228.6–30
2044	–	22.521.9–23.1	–	29.228.3–30.2
2045	–	22.621.9–23.3	–	29.328.7–30.2
2046	–	22.622–23.3	–	29.328.9–30.3
2047	–	22.722.1–23.5	–	29.528.9–30.2
2048	–	22.722.1–23.4	–	29.628.8–30.4
2049	–	22.822.1–23.5	–	29.428.7–30.2
2050	–	22.822.1–23.5	–	29.529–30.4
2051	–	22.922.2–23.5	–	29.628.9–30.4
2052	–	22.822.1–23.5	–	29.629–30.3
2053	–	22.922.1–23.7	–	29.628.6–30.4
2054	–	2322.2–23.6	–	29.728.9–30.6
2055	–	2322.2–23.7	–	29.828.9–30.7
2056	–	22.922.2–23.7	–	29.428.8–30.8
2057	–	2322.1–23.7	–	29.629–30.8
2058	–	22.922.2–23.6	–	29.729–30.8
2059	–	22.922.3–23.7	–	29.729–30.6
2060	–	2322.3–23.7	–	29.729.2–30.7
2061	–	2322.4–23.7	–	29.829.2–30.6
2062	–	2322.1–23.9	–	29.829–30.9
2063	–	23.122.4–23.9	–	29.929.2–30.9
2064	–	23.122.5–23.9	–	29.829.1–30.8
2065	–	23.222.3–23.9	–	29.829.1–31
2066	–	23.222.4–23.9	–	3029.6–31
2067	–	23.222.5–24	–	29.929.2–31.1
2068	–	23.222.4–24	–	29.929.2–30.8
2069	–	23.222.3–24	–	30.129.4–30.9
2070	–	23.322.4–24.1	–	30.129.4–31
2071	–	23.422.5–24.2	–	30.329.3–31.1
2072	–	23.422.5–24.1	–	30.229.2–31
2073	–	23.422.4–24.2	–	30.429.1–31
2074	–	23.322.6–24.1	–	30.329.1–31.2
2075	–	23.422.4–24.1	–	30.229.5–31.3
2076	–	23.322.4–24.3	–	30.229–31.2
2077	–	23.422.4–24.1	–	30.329.4–31.3
2078	–	23.522.6–24.3	–	30.229.4–31.1
2079	–	23.522.6–24.4	–	30.229.1–31.3
2080	–	23.522.6–24.5	–	30.229.3–31.2
2081	–	23.522.7–24.3	–	30.429.3–31.3
2082	–	23.522.6–24.3	–	30.329.4–31.3
2083	–	23.522.5–24.5	–	30.429.6–31.4
2084	–	23.522.7–24.5	–	30.529.5–31.3
2085	–	23.522.7–24.3	–	30.329.7–31.8
2086	–	23.522.6–24.4	–	30.529.5–31.6
2087	–	23.522.6–24.4	–	30.629.6–31.4
2088	–	23.622.7–24.3	–	30.529.5–31.5
2089	–	23.622.6–24.5	–	30.529.7–31.3
2090	–	23.622.6–24.5	–	30.429.7–31.7
2091	–	23.722.7–24.6	–	30.629.5–31.6
2092	–	23.622.7–24.4	–	30.529.7–31.5
2093	–	23.622.7–24.6	–	30.529.8–31.6
2094	–	23.722.9–24.6	–	30.529.8–31.7
2095	–	23.823–24.6	–	30.429.8–31.5
2096	–	23.722.8–24.6	–	30.529.7–31.5
2097	–	23.622.7–24.7	–	30.529.5–31.8
2098	–	23.822.9–24.6	–	30.729.7–31.9
2099	–	23.722.7–24.6	–	30.529.5–31.6
2100	–	23.722.8–24.5	–	30.529.6–31.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time