Niger vs South Africa

Niger vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 209.1 days in Niger and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Niger, by 195.9 days, or 16 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Niger vs South Africa: Days above 35 °CDays above 35 °C in 2014: 209.1 days in Niger and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Niger, by 195.9 days, or 16 times that in South Africa.
NigerSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Niger has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Niger at 242.2 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearNigerSouth Africa
2014209.113.2
2013205.415.2
201220614.3
2011207.111.7
2010205.912.5
2009204.213.2
2008204.412.3
2007201.312
2006198.711.9
2005200.613.3
2004199.313.9
2003201.312.6
2002202.412.6
2001201.111.1
2000197.911.8
1999196.911
1998192.712.1
1997197.811.3
1996194.59.4
1995193.78.3
1994193.18.5
1993186.17.8
1992187.17.1
1991195.911.1
1990192.710.1
1989192.911.5
1988190.49.4
1987190.211.5
1986196.310.2
1985189.18.7
1984189.68.7
1983189.78.6
1982187.510.5
1981190.99.7
1980191.810.3
1979189.19.4
1978186.39.5
1977190.89.3
1976189.59
19751859.3
1974184.88.8
1973192.49.5
1972189.88.4
1971186.78.7
1970188.98.2
1969184.38.9
1968188.68.4
1967183.66.9
1966185.47.8
1965185.77.9
1964181.46.4
1963179.47
19621898.9
1961186.510.5
1960194.19.7
1959190.28.9
1958186.89.3
195719410.3
1956188.37.9
1955188.810.3
19541899.1
1953188.37.8
1952188.49
1951190.58.4
1950189.68.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearNigerSouth Africa
2015205.1180.6–228.114.76.8–24
2016204.2180.2–222.113.46.3–22.2
2017210.9185.3–233.615.27.7–24.6
2018206183.2–227.4179.7–28
2019206.7178.9–231.214.67.1–24.5
2020207.9183.1–226.715.77.4–23.5
2021209189.8–22817.99.4–27
2022213190.1–231189.8–29
2023207186.6–229.118.69.9–27.1
2024216.5197.3–234.617.89.8–28
2025214.6195.3–23216.57.5–29.6
2026210.3178.5–235.620.19.3–29.4
2027216.5188.8–235.619.910.5–32.8
2028217188.5–233.419.110.6–33.2
2029218.1194.8–237.821.412.9–33.6
2030217.1191.5–23721.19.6–33.9
2031215195.1–239.720.79.9–35.4
2032213.2192.1–2322110.9–34.8
2033217.2196.1–23722.612.2–34.2
2034216.7191–24024.615–35.1
2035219.7195.8–235.820.911.7–31.3
2036216.2196–236.121.111.9–32.2
2037222.3199.9–240.223.412.6–35.2
2038219.5198.9–243.826.216–36.7
2039218.3195.6–242.522.611.4–35.9
2040218.7200.4–240.121.510.9–35.4
2041222.2200.4–24523.213.2–35.8
2042222201.7–244.625.214.3–39.6
2043220.5198.6–236.425.613.4–39.9
2044218.2198.9–241.626.113.1–41.6
2045222202–24226.813.1–40.3
2046225.1198–24325.914.5–40.8
2047229.1204.3–245.726.713.7–41.4
2048225.8200.7–247.329.215.6–45.4
2049222.4197.3–242.829.117.3–44.7
2050224.7203.3–246.829.815.7–48.6
2051224.6203.8–242.127.913.6–45.2
2052229.7204.6–252.731.918.3–46.8
2053225.2204.6–248.628.318.6–43.2
2054229199.7–252.330.717.3–50.1
2055230.7210.5–249.62917.8–48
2056229.8199.3–254.529.916–45.3
2057231.1205.6–251.83117.4–50.1
2058226.7203.5–249.931.115.7–46
2059233.3210.7–2563216.1–49.9
2060230.9206.7–251.333.419.8–49.7
2061232.3207.4–256.932.718.1–51.1
2062233211.8–254.731.317.7–52.6
2063228.8206.1–248.532.317.4–50.7
2064232.3207.9–252.931.817.7–47.6
2065233.4211.8–253.631.716.2–50.7
2066236.5212.7–261.534.318.4–55.3
2067229.1206.5–253.332.617.2–52.4
2068233.9210.6–259.933.819.2–54.3
2069233.2210.6–253.734.621.3–52.4
2070235.8209.1–254.832.819.3–51.1
2071237.9218.7–258.935.320.8–55.8
2072237.9218–259.837.820.3–54.6
2073235.1210–259.44425.6–62.1
2074235.2212.8–261.338.320.7–55.8
2075239.3212.9–259.734.218.7–53.1
2076238.9215.3–262.638.822.9–57.5
2077242218.1–26439.124.2–60.3
2078241.4216.1–262.335.521.6–53.4
2079235.6213.1–259.640.522.9–59.7
2080238.2215.8–263.640.523.4–59
2081240.1217.1–267.538.523.8–59.9
2082238215.5–261.338.622.5–58.2
2083242.5216.2–26438.518.7–62.9
2084239.2214.3–261.439.720.6–58.4
2085241.7216.6–264.84021.5–65.8
2086240.9220–270.640.823–63.7
2087236.9208.4–262.938.324.6–58.6
2088236.9216.5–271.342.222.6–66.3
2089242.4215.5–267.541.624.2–59.1
2090242.1213.6–262.242.326.1–66.4
2091241.3218.9–266.543.324.2–63.6
2092245217.6–266.343.928–61.6
2093242.2219.3–262.937.521.3–63.4
2094245.1220.3–263.441.325.4–65.9
2095244.1218.8–266.643.522.9–70.2
2096241.9225.1–264.541.224.1–66.8
2097241.4218–265.637.723.7–60.9
2098240.8215.3–263.546.425.1–71.4
2099247.1221.7–265.442.525.1–64.8
2100242.2221.3–266.44022.2–64.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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