Nigeria vs Pakistan: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 107.4 days in Nigeria and 118.6 days in Pakistan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Pakistan, by 11.2 days, or 1.1 times that in Nigeria.

NigeriaPakistan

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6 · log scale

All years Since 1990 Since 2010

Values Change

Linear Log

Projection

NigeriaPakistanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

Latest figures

days a year · CMIP6

Country	Latest	10 years before	Projected
Nigeria	107.4 2014	99.2	163.6 2100
Pakistan	118.6 2014	116.1	147.6 2100

What the numbers say

Pakistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Nigeria at 163.6 days and Pakistan at 147.6 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Nigeria	Pakistan
2014	107.4	118.6
2013	104.3	117.5
2012	104.4	117.5
2011	103.7	118
2010	101.1	114.3
2009	99.4	115.3
2008	98.6	115.4
2007	97.4	112.5
2006	97.9	112.9
2005	97.2	114.9
2004	99.2	116.1
2003	98.2	114.6
2002	98.3	115.9
2001	102.2	114.4
2000	96.3	114.6
1999	92.3	114.2
1998	91.6	111.7
1997	95.2	112
1996	89.5	108.3
1995	90.2	110
1994	86.1	108.6
1993	83.5	107.2
1992	81.3	105.2
1991	94.2	110.6
1990	95	110.7
1989	89.3	110.9
1988	93.4	109.8
1987	90.4	108.3
1986	93.2	108.7
1985	87	105.6
1984	89.5	108
1983	88.5	104.7
1982	89.6	108
1981	91.9	109.5
1980	89.5	109.7
1979	89.8	108.7
1978	88	108.6
1977	88.4	106.5
1976	83.6	108.2
1975	87.3	105
1974	84.9	108.8
1973	88.3	108
1972	87.1	104.5
1971	84.5	106.2
1970	87.3	106.5
1969	87.1	105.8
1968	84.9	104.4
1967	84.8	106.4
1966	85.7	106.4
1965	85.7	106
1964	77.7	103
1963	81.7	104.3
1962	89.3	106.7
1961	91.6	108.7
1960	91.4	108.7
1959	88.3	110.4
1958	89.9	108.5
1957	91.2	110.7
1956	84.6	108.8
1955	88.4	108.3
1954	88.8	107
1953	91.7	107.6
1952	87.9	108.9
1951	92.1	108.1
1950	88.9	110.5

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Nigeria	Pakistan
2015	105.581.2–130.1	122100.8–136.6
2016	101.478.2–120.6	119.5104.9–132
2017	10680.5–130.9	119.999.5–134.3
2018	105.177.2–129	119.7103–133.8
2019	104.378.3–130.3	118.997.2–133.8
2020	104.778.2–130.2	122.8105–136.3
2021	104.885.2–128.6	122.9103.2–138.2
2022	111.184.4–135.5	120.7101.9–136.4
2023	106.585.6–130.6	123.3104.8–138.8
2024	114.493.3–136.4	124.4105.4–139.1
2025	112.191.1–132	123.8102.8–139.1
2026	108.574.8–133.8	122.5101.9–141.8
2027	114.581.7–136.4	124.4101.5–141
2028	113.487.6–141.8	124.8103.6–140.2
2029	116.591.5–141	126.499.2–141.6
2030	117.785.5–145.3	122.5103.5–140.1
2031	116.388.2–141.7	122.7105.6–139.9
2032	118.785.8–144.2	126104–143.9
2033	118.490.6–146	125.9106.6–144.1
2034	117.689–144.4	130.9113.2–147.8
2035	12087.5–144.3	127.1107.6–143.6
2036	116.889.2–143.5	125.5108.3–143.4
2037	124.790.9–151.6	130.7112.4–147.9
2038	126.696.2–152.6	130.9108.6–144.9
2039	122.697–147.4	128.6110.2–144.9
2040	121.193.5–153.7	133.2115.1–146.1
2041	127.599.5–154.2	127.2108.3–143.5
2042	12896.1–152.5	134.6112.8–150.7
2043	124.298.9–149.7	131.6112.5–149.3
2044	125.496.3–152.8	128.2108.1–145.9
2045	129.499.4–156.4	133.4116.7–148.7
2046	135.999.9–158.5	133.8109–151.1
2047	135.299–159.5	134.6110–150.9
2048	133.1103.7–160.3	136117.1–152.3
2049	135.4104.4–161.8	133.3115.2–152.5
2050	131.3102–166.4	138.4119.4–157.4
2051	131.6106.2–166.5	138115.5–158.2
2052	139.6101.6–171.1	138.3120.3–155.3
2053	135.1105–166.8	137.4117.7–155.8
2054	139102.4–172.2	137116–152.4
2055	140113.8–172.2	139.6120–157.2
2056	141.8102.8–177.8	135.8117.3–154.1
2057	148.8113.3–178.3	141.5119.5–158.8
2058	140112–171.9	137.1114.3–154.7
2059	142.3114.3–176.6	141.4122.6–156.6
2060	144.3110.6–176.5	142.5124.1–158.6
2061	145109.2–180.3	142.3123.2–157.4
2062	146111.1–181.8	141.3118.8–161.2
2063	147.1114.5–182.6	143.1125.6–160.6
2064	146.4112.8–179.9	140.7119.8–163.5
2065	149.2116.8–179	141.1121.5–159.3
2066	148.8117.8–185.3	143.8122.5–163.4
2067	142.6114.9–185.1	144.2125.9–162.3
2068	152.4114.1–187.8	143.2126–162.2
2069	148.2114.1–185.4	144.7119.8–163.2
2070	151.6111–187.8	143.7126.5–163
2071	155.2117.6–192.8	145.5121.8–164.4
2072	155.2118.4–190.6	147.1125.5–165.1
2073	154.8115.7–196.8	149.2122.1–164.7
2074	151.6114.2–195.8	145.8126.7–162.2
2075	158.4117.9–190.2	145.1126.2–160.5
2076	154.5120–193.1	145.7126.4–165.9
2077	164121.3–203.7	146.1126.2–164.4
2078	158.9117–196.9	146.5121.4–164.4
2079	157.6123.7–192.5	144.6122.7–161
2080	161.3118.7–197.4	148.2123.7–166.4
2081	158.9119.1–200.5	145.8122.2–167
2082	156.9118.5–201.5	146123.3–168.8
2083	160.4121.6–203.2	148.3127–167.4
2084	157.7118.3–198.5	150.5128.5–167.6
2085	165.1122.6–201.9	149.9126.1–170.8
2086	160.4122–201.3	146.3124.2–165
2087	164.1121.4–199.1	149.9124.3–167.3
2088	162.3124.7–205.8	149.3127.9–169.7
2089	157.8122.5–206.2	148.9129.6–166.7
2090	163124.3–204.5	150.3131.5–166.7
2091	167.5124.5–204.5	151.1128.4–168.7
2092	173.2125.1–206.7	150.5129.8–170.2
2093	166.1126.9–212.1	151.6131.8–167.9
2094	167.8130.5–205.1	151.5130.4–168.6
2095	173.9123–212.7	152.5130.6–169.2
2096	164.5127.5–213	150.8124.2–169
2097	161.2123.5–206.8	149.4130.3–167.5
2098	167.8128.2–206.2	151.7125.4–168.2
2099	171129.1–212.5	151.6124.4–170.6
2100	163.6126.1–210.4	147.6125.2–167.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time