Nigeria vs Uganda

Nigeria vs Uganda: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 27.8 °C in Nigeria and 23.8 °C in Uganda, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 3.9 °C, or 1.16 times that in Uganda.

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°C · ERA5

Nigeria vs Uganda: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 27.8 °C in Nigeria and 23.8 °C in Uganda, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 3.9 °C, or 1.16 times that in Uganda.
NigeriaUgandaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Nigeria ranked 16 and Uganda ranked 114 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Nigeria at 29.6 °C and Uganda at 25.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUgandaUganda: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202527.827.923.823.7
202427.82824.223.9
202327.627.82423.6
20222727.923.523.6
202127.527.823.623.6
202027.327.723.123.7
201927.327.723.523.5
201827.227.723.223.6
201727.427.723.723.6
201627.427.624.123.4
201527.327.723.623.6
201427.127.723.423.4
201327.327.72323.3
20122727.72323.4
201127.227.622.923.4
201027.727.623.123.3
200927.527.523.523.2
200826.827.522.823.2
20072727.42323.1
200627.527.52323.2
200527.527.423.523.2
200427.127.423.223.2
200327.127.523.223.2
200226.927.423.123.2
200126.727.622.623.2
200026.727.422.923.1
199926.927.322.623.1
199827.427.323.323
199726.827.323.123
199626.827.222.723
199526.727.22322.9
199426.527.122.722.8
199326.826.922.922.7
199226.226.922.722.8
199126.727.222.522.9
19902727.322.623
198926.227.122.423
198826.827.222.622.9
198727.427.12322.9
198626.827.222.323
198526.62722.122.8
198426.827.122.422.8
198326.92722.822.8
198226.627.122.422.8
198126.427.122.522.9
198026.727.122.722.9
197926.627.122.522.8
197826.32722.122.7
197726.527.122.122.8
197626.226.92222.8
1975262721.922.8
197426.1272222.8
197327.127.122.422.8
197226.72721.922.8
197126.426.921.722.7
197026.5272222.7
196926.62722.322.7
196826.32721.722.7
196726.226.921.822.6
196626.826.922.122.6
196526.626.92222.6
196426.726.721.622.5
196326.626.721.422.6
196226.327.121.222.7
196126.22721.922.7
196026.627.122.122.8
195926.52722.322.8
195826.52722.522.7
195725.527.122.222.8
195625.826.921.422.8
195525.82721.422.7
1954262721.422.8
195325.92721.122.7
195225.92721.522.7
195125.927.121.322.8
195025.82721.122.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUgandaUganda: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–2827.1–28.5–23.723.1–24.3
2027–2827.2–28.6–23.723.3–24.2
2028–2827.5–28.6–23.823.2–24.2
2029–28.227.6–28.6–23.923.4–24.3
2030–28.127.4–28.7–23.823.3–24.4
2031–28.127.5–28.8–2423.6–24.4
2032–28.127.6–28.7–23.923.6–24.4
2033–28.227.5–28.8–2423.4–24.7
2034–28.127.5–28.7–2423.6–24.7
2035–28.327.5–28.8–2423.5–24.5
2036–28.227.5–28.8–2423.6–24.6
2037–28.427.8–28.9–24.123.6–24.7
2038–28.527.9–29–24.223.6–24.7
2039–28.427.7–28.8–24.223.5–24.6
2040–28.327.8–29–24.223.6–24.7
2041–28.427.9–29.1–24.223.8–24.7
2042–28.527.8–29.1–24.323.7–24.8
2043–28.427.8–28.9–24.223.5–24.7
2044–28.427.8–29.2–24.223.6–24.7
2045–28.527.8–29.1–24.323.8–24.9
2046–28.727.9–29.3–24.523.6–25.2
2047–28.727.9–29.3–24.423.9–25.1
2048–28.728–29.3–24.523.9–25.1
2049–28.728–29.4–24.523.8–25.2
2050–28.628.1–29.5–24.423.8–25.3
2051–28.728.1–29.5–24.523.9–25.1
2052–28.928–29.5–24.523.9–25.1
2053–28.827.9–29.5–24.623.9–25.1
2054–28.928–29.6–24.624–25.2
2055–28.928.3–29.6–24.623.9–25.3
2056–28.928.1–29.7–24.523.9–25.5
2057–2928.2–29.8–24.624.1–25.5
2058–28.928.2–29.7–24.923.9–25.4
2059–2928.4–29.8–24.824.1–25.5
2060–2928.4–29.8–24.823.9–25.6
2061–29.128.1–29.9–24.824–25.7
2062–29.128.2–30–24.724–25.8
2063–29.128.3–29.9–24.724.1–25.3
2064–2928.3–29.9–24.924–25.5
2065–29.228.5–29.9–24.824.3–25.6
2066–29.228.4–30.1–24.724.2–25.6
2067–2928.3–30.2–24.724.1–25.7
2068–29.228.4–30.1–24.924.2–25.7
2069–29.228.3–30.1–24.824.1–25.8
2070–29.228.5–30.2–24.924.2–25.8
2071–29.328.5–30.3–24.924.2–25.9
2072–29.328.5–30.2–2524.3–25.8
2073–29.428.5–30.4–25.124.5–26
2074–29.228.3–30.4–24.924.2–25.8
2075–29.428.4–30.1–24.924.1–25.9
2076–29.428.6–30.3–25.124.3–26
2077–29.628.6–30.6–25.124.4–26
2078–29.428.5–30.4–2524.4–25.9
2079–29.428.7–30.2–25.224.3–25.8
2080–29.528.5–30.4–25.224.2–26.1
2081–29.528.5–30.4–25.124.4–26
2082–29.428.6–30.5–25.124.4–26.1
2083–29.528.6–30.6–25.224.4–26.4
2084–29.428.6–30.6–25.224.5–26.2
2085–29.628.7–30.6–25.324.4–26.1
2086–29.628.6–30.6–25.224.4–26.2
2087–29.528.6–30.6–25.324.4–26.2
2088–29.528.6–30.7–25.224.5–26.2
2089–29.528.7–30.7–25.124.6–26.1
2090–29.628.7–30.6–25.224.5–26.4
2091–29.728.7–30.7–25.524.4–26.4
2092–29.828.7–30.7–25.324.6–26.4
2093–29.728.8–30.7–25.324.7–26.2
2094–29.728.9–30.7–25.424.6–26.4
2095–29.928.8–30.9–25.424.7–26.6
2096–29.528.9–30.8–25.324.5–26.4
2097–29.528.7–30.7–25.324.5–26.3
2098–29.828.7–30.7–25.224.6–26.4
2099–29.728.8–30.8–25.424.5–26.5
2100–29.628.9–30.8–25.424.5–26.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Nigeria vs Uganda

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