South Africa vs Sudan

South Africa vs Sudan: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 13.2 days in South Africa and 184 days in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Sudan, by 170.8 days, or 14 times that in South Africa.

South Africa vs Sudan: Days above 35 °CDays above 35 °C in 2014: 13.2 days in South Africa and 184 days in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Sudan, by 170.8 days, or 14 times that in South Africa.
South AfricaSudanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

Latest figures

days a year · CMIP6

CountryLatest10 years beforeProjected
South Africa13.2 201413.940 2100
Sudan184 2014171.6230.7 2100

What the numbers say

  • Sudan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts South Africa at 40 days and Sudan at 230.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearSouth AfricaSudan
201413.2184
201315.2179.8
201214.3180.9
201111.7183.5
201012.5181.3
200913.2175.7
200812.3173.9
200712171.9
200611.9171.2
200513.3169.5
200413.9171.6
200312.6172.7
200212.6173.6
200111.1177.8
200011.8170.3
199911170.7
199812.1166
199711.3169.3
19969.4165.5
19958.3165.1
19948.5162.2
19937.8154.5
19927.1154.3
199111.1165.3
199010.1166.6
198911.5164.1
19889.4164.2
198711.5163.3
198610.2166.1
19858.7159.7
19848.7158
19838.6157
198210.5155.1
19819.7162.1
198010.3161.1
19799.4160.4
19789.5155.5
19779.3157.9
19769157.3
19759.3153.9
19748.8155.3
19739.5161.4
19728.4156.2
19718.7153.4
19708.2156.8
19698.9153.8
19688.4154.6
19676.9148.4
19667.8153
19657.9154.2
19646.4148.7
19637146.1
19628.9155.9
196110.5158.5
19609.7161.3
19598.9158.4
19589.3156.7
195710.3159.4
19567.9157.7
195510.3154.7
19549.1158.7
19537.8156.3
19529156.1
19518.4158.9
19508.7155.1
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearSouth AfricaSudan
201514.76.8–24183.4158.5–201.6
201613.46.3–22.2179.1156.3–200.8
201715.27.7–24.6184.1159.3–204.4
2018179.7–28178.9156–204.1
201914.67.1–24.5181.9158.3–204.8
202015.77.4–23.5182.3159.2–205.5
202117.99.4–27183.1159.4–206.8
2022189.8–29187.9165.4–207.6
202318.69.9–27.1185.3162.7–207.9
202417.89.8–28192.2168–211.3
202516.57.5–29.6188.6166.8–209.3
202620.19.3–29.4188.5157.9–211.8
202719.910.5–32.8189.2157–211.6
202819.110.6–33.2189.6162.9–211.3
202921.412.9–33.6190.4166.6–209.3
203021.19.6–33.9191.6170.8–214.6
203120.79.9–35.4192.2167.3–218
20322110.9–34.8191.2169.9–210.3
203322.612.2–34.2195.3172.4–216.8
203424.615–35.1197.1168.8–222.4
203520.911.7–31.3196.4168.7–221.2
203621.111.9–32.2191.3171.4–213.6
203723.412.6–35.2198173.5–220.2
203826.216–36.7200.4179.8–221.2
203922.611.4–35.9199.5171.5–218.6
204021.510.9–35.4196.3172.7–217.9
204123.213.2–35.8202.2174.1–221.8
204225.214.3–39.6201.6175.8–224.1
204325.613.4–39.9198.7169.7–224.3
204426.113.1–41.6198.3173.4–222.2
204526.813.1–40.3203.4179.1–224.6
204625.914.5–40.8210.2177.8–229.9
204726.713.7–41.4206.2180.9–228.4
204829.215.6–45.4204.6180–231.3
204929.117.3–44.7204.3178.2–227.3
205029.815.7–48.6205.3180.8–234.5
205127.913.6–45.2206.2186–229.8
205231.918.3–46.8209182–231.9
205328.318.6–43.2208.7181.2–230.7
205430.717.3–50.1211180.1–231.4
20552917.8–48212.3184–233.5
205629.916–45.3208.5182.4–235.7
20573117.4–50.1213.2186.4–240.1
205831.115.7–46213.4183–233.4
20593216.1–49.9214.6189.2–242.4
206033.419.8–49.7213.7189.1–241.7
206132.718.1–51.1214.5186.1–239.4
206231.317.7–52.6214.4187–241.2
206332.317.4–50.7212.5181.1–235.9
206431.817.7–47.6214.9189.9–242.2
206531.716.2–50.7217.2195.4–238.5
206634.318.4–55.3217.1190.9–246.3
206732.617.2–52.4216.5188.1–243.9
206833.819.2–54.3216.7193.9–247.6
206934.621.3–52.4216.1187.6–243.2
207032.819.3–51.1219.4189.5–241.3
207135.320.8–55.8224.1190.5–247.8
207237.820.3–54.6222.3196.2–245.1
20734425.6–62.1221.8196.1–246.8
207438.320.7–55.8218.1183.5–249
207534.218.7–53.1221.9188.6–243.6
207638.822.9–57.5222.4196.4–250.8
207739.124.2–60.3225.8194.6–252.8
207835.521.6–53.4224.1196.8–250.7
207940.522.9–59.7220.7194.1–245.3
208040.523.4–59225.9191.3–250
208138.523.8–59.9225.1197.7–250.3
208238.622.5–58.2222.6195.3–249.8
208338.518.7–62.9228.1199.6–251.9
208439.720.6–58.4224.5194.9–252.9
20854021.5–65.8226.3199.3–251.5
208640.823–63.7225.2193.1–258.3
208738.324.6–58.6222.9190.2–250.1
208842.222.6–66.3220.4194.2–256.8
208941.624.2–59.1227195.7–249.8
209042.326.1–66.4229198.7–254.5
209143.324.2–63.6227196.4–254.1
209243.928–61.6227.2200.5–253.1
209337.521.3–63.4227.5203–252.1
209441.325.4–65.9231.9201.3–256
209543.522.9–70.2228.4202.1–255
209641.224.1–66.8226.4198.4–255.9
209737.723.7–60.9225.9196.5–255.7
209846.425.1–71.4227.8194.4–253.4
209942.525.1–64.8229.5200.7–257.4
21004022.2–64.5230.7199.7–256.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time