Sweden vs United Arab Emirates: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 5.3 °C in Sweden and 28.9 °C in United Arab Emirates, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 23.6 °C, or 5.48 times that in Sweden.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

SwedenUnited Arab EmiratesCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, Sweden ranked 222 and United Arab Emirates ranked 4 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Sweden at 6.4 °C and United Arab Emirates at 30.5 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Sweden	Sweden: CMIP6 historical run, model median	United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	5.3	4.5	28.9	28.7
2024	4.7	4	29	28.7
2023	3.8	4.2	29	28.7
2022	4.6	4.4	28.9	28.4
2021	3.8	4.2	29.1	28.4
2020	5.5	4.1	28.6	28.5
2019	4.1	3.9	28.7	28.2
2018	4.3	3.8	29	28.4
2017	3.8	3.6	29	28.3
2016	4.1	4	28.2	28.2
2015	4.7	3.9	28.9	28.3
2014	4.9	4.2	28	28.2
2013	4	4	27.8	28.1
2012	3.1	4	28.6	28
2011	4.7	3.8	28.5	28
2010	1.7	3.8	29	28.1
2009	3.6	3.7	28.3	27.9
2008	4.3	4	27.9	28
2007	4.2	3.5	28.3	28
2006	4.5	3.9	28.3	27.9
2005	4.1	3.8	28.2	27.8
2004	3.7	3.4	28.2	27.8
2003	3.8	3.6	28.2	27.8
2002	3.9	3.3	28	27.9
2001	3.3	3.4	28	27.9
2000	4.6	3.4	27.9	27.7
1999	3.7	3.1	28.4	27.7
1998	3	3.4	28.6	27.6
1997	3.9	2.9	27.1	27.6
1996	2.7	3.2	27.6	27.4
1995	3.3	3.1	27.1	27.5
1994	3.2	2.8	27.5	27.3
1993	3.1	2.7	27.2	27.1
1992	4	2.9	26.2	27.1
1991	3.6	3.1	26.8	27.4
1990	4.6	3	27.4	27.5
1989	4.6	3.1	26.8	27.3
1988	3.3	2.9	27.4	27.3
1987	1.6	2.9	27.4	27.2
1986	2.5	3	27.4	27.3
1985	1	2.9	27.3	27.2
1984	3.5	2.4	27	27.1
1983	3.5	2.5	26.2	26.9
1982	3.3	2.6	26.4	27.2
1981	2	2.5	27.5	27.2
1980	2.1	2.6	27.6	27.2
1979	2.1	2.7	27.4	27.1
1978	2	2.7	26.8	27.1
1977	2.5	2.5	27.3	27.1
1976	2.3	2.6	26.5	27
1975	4.3	2.6	26.8	27
1974	4	2.7	26.7	27
1973	3.2	2.4	26.8	26.9
1972	3.7	2.4	26.2	26.9
1971	2.9	2.3	26.4	26.9
1970	2.1	2	26.7	27
1969	2.4	2.1	26.9	27
1968	2.2	2.7	26.2	27
1967	3.1	2.4	26.5	26.9
1966	1.1	2.3	26.9	26.9
1965	1.7	2.4	26.6	26.8
1964	2.8	2.4	26.3	26.8
1963	2	2.5	26.9	26.9
1962	1.4	2.1	27.2	27.2
1961	3.5	2.5	26.8	27
1960	3	2.6	26.9	27.2
1959	4.1	2.4	26.3	27.1
1958	2.2	2.8	27	27.1
1957	3.1	2.2	26.5	27.1
1956	1.4	2.7	26.7	26.9
1955	1.9	2.3	26.8	27
1954	3.1	2.4	27.5	27
1953	4.4	2.3	27.6	27
1952	2.2	2.7	27.1	27
1951	3.2	2.5	27.2	27
1950	2.9	2.6	26.3	27

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Sweden	Sweden: CMIP6 historical run, model median	United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	4.43.4–5.6	–	28.728.1–29.6
2027	–	4.23–5.9	–	28.628.1–29.4
2028	–	4.73.4–6.1	–	28.628.1–29.5
2029	–	4.73.3–6.2	–	28.628–29.6
2030	–	4.73.2–6.1	–	28.828.2–29.5
2031	–	4.53.2–6.2	–	28.928.3–29.6
2032	–	53.2–5.9	–	28.828.2–29.4
2033	–	4.83.9–6.1	–	28.928.3–29.5
2034	–	4.93.6–6.2	–	2928.2–29.7
2035	–	4.83.2–6.2	–	2928.5–29.8
2036	–	53.4–6.3	–	2928.5–29.6
2037	–	4.93.6–6.2	–	29.128.5–29.7
2038	–	4.83.8–6.4	–	29.228.4–29.8
2039	–	4.73.5–6.3	–	29.128.5–29.8
2040	–	5.13.5–6.4	–	29.128.6–29.8
2041	–	53.5–6.3	–	29.128.6–29.9
2042	–	53.6–6.5	–	29.128.5–30.2
2043	–	5.43.8–7	–	29.228.6–30
2044	–	4.73.1–6.5	–	29.228.3–30.2
2045	–	5.13.4–6.3	–	29.328.7–30.2
2046	–	4.73.6–6.7	–	29.328.9–30.3
2047	–	5.33.8–6.9	–	29.528.9–30.2
2048	–	5.64.3–7.1	–	29.628.8–30.4
2049	–	5.43.8–7.2	–	29.428.7–30.2
2050	–	5.54–6.9	–	29.529–30.4
2051	–	5.43.9–7	–	29.628.9–30.4
2052	–	5.23.8–7	–	29.629–30.3
2053	–	5.43.9–6.7	–	29.628.6–30.4
2054	–	5.34–6.9	–	29.728.9–30.6
2055	–	5.23.6–6.6	–	29.828.9–30.7
2056	–	5.54–7	–	29.428.8–30.8
2057	–	5.64–7	–	29.629–30.8
2058	–	5.94.2–7.4	–	29.729–30.8
2059	–	5.54.2–7.3	–	29.729–30.6
2060	–	5.64.7–6.7	–	29.729.2–30.7
2061	–	5.64.6–6.9	–	29.829.2–30.6
2062	–	5.84.5–7.2	–	29.829–30.9
2063	–	5.74.2–7.4	–	29.929.2–30.9
2064	–	5.74.4–6.9	–	29.829.1–30.8
2065	–	5.74–7.1	–	29.829.1–31
2066	–	5.84.1–7.1	–	3029.6–31
2067	–	5.54.4–7.4	–	29.929.2–31.1
2068	–	5.74–7.2	–	29.929.2–30.8
2069	–	64.1–7.6	–	30.129.4–30.9
2070	–	5.84.2–7.7	–	30.129.4–31
2071	–	5.74.2–7.8	–	30.329.3–31.1
2072	–	5.84–7.1	–	30.229.2–31
2073	–	5.94.3–7.3	–	30.429.1–31
2074	–	5.94.3–7.4	–	30.329.1–31.2
2075	–	5.44.1–7.1	–	30.229.5–31.3
2076	–	5.94.6–7.6	–	30.229–31.2
2077	–	6.14.8–7.4	–	30.329.4–31.3
2078	–	6.14.3–7.7	–	30.229.4–31.1
2079	–	5.94–7.7	–	30.229.1–31.3
2080	–	5.94.1–7.6	–	30.229.3–31.2
2081	–	6.34.5–7.3	–	30.429.3–31.3
2082	–	5.94.6–8.1	–	30.329.4–31.3
2083	–	5.64.2–7.8	–	30.429.6–31.4
2084	–	5.74.1–7.6	–	30.529.5–31.3
2085	–	6.14.4–7.7	–	30.329.7–31.8
2086	–	6.44.9–7.8	–	30.529.5–31.6
2087	–	6.24.7–8.6	–	30.629.6–31.4
2088	–	6.44.5–8	–	30.529.5–31.5
2089	–	6.14.6–7.3	–	30.529.7–31.3
2090	–	64.1–7.6	–	30.429.7–31.7
2091	–	6.34.4–7.9	–	30.629.5–31.6
2092	–	6.64.7–8	–	30.529.7–31.5
2093	–	6.84.8–8.3	–	30.529.8–31.6
2094	–	6.34.9–8	–	30.529.8–31.7
2095	–	6.44.9–7.8	–	30.429.8–31.5
2096	–	64.4–7.7	–	30.529.7–31.5
2097	–	6.64.7–8	–	30.529.5–31.8
2098	–	6.34.5–8.2	–	30.729.7–31.9
2099	–	6.34.9–8.5	–	30.529.5–31.6
2100	–	6.45–8.3	–	30.529.6–31.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time