United Arab Emirates vs United Kingdom: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 28.9 °C in United Arab Emirates and 10.4 °C in United Kingdom, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 18.4 °C, or 2.77 times that in United Kingdom.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

United Arab EmiratesUnited KingdomCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, United Arab Emirates ranked 4 and United Kingdom ranked 198 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts United Arab Emirates at 30.5 °C and United Kingdom at 11 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates: CMIP6 historical run, model median	United Kingdom	United Kingdom: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	28.9	28.7	10.4	9.9
2024	29	28.7	10.2	9.8
2023	29	28.7	10.3	9.8
2022	28.9	28.4	10.4	9.8
2021	29.1	28.4	9.6	9.8
2020	28.6	28.5	10	9.9
2019	28.7	28.2	9.7	9.6
2018	29	28.4	9.8	9.5
2017	29	28.3	9.9	9.6
2016	28.2	28.2	9.6	9.7
2015	28.9	28.3	9.5	9.6
2014	28	28.2	10.2	9.4
2013	27.8	28.1	9.1	9.6
2012	28.6	28	9	9.4
2011	28.5	28	9.9	9.4
2010	29	28.1	8.3	9.5
2009	28.3	27.9	9.5	9.6
2008	27.9	28	9.3	9.5
2007	28.3	28	9.9	9.3
2006	28.3	27.9	10	9.5
2005	28.2	27.8	9.7	9.4
2004	28.2	27.8	9.8	9.2
2003	28.2	27.8	9.8	9.3
2002	28	27.9	9.8	9.3
2001	28	27.9	9.2	9.3
2000	27.9	27.7	9.5	9.2
1999	28.4	27.7	9.8	9.3
1998	28.6	27.6	9.6	9.2
1997	27.1	27.6	9.8	9
1996	27.6	27.4	8.6	9
1995	27.1	27.5	9.6	8.9
1994	27.5	27.3	9.3	9
1993	27.2	27.1	8.7	8.8
1992	26.2	27.1	9	8.8
1991	26.8	27.4	8.8	9
1990	27.4	27.5	9.7	9
1989	26.8	27.3	9.7	9
1988	27.4	27.3	9.1	9
1987	27.4	27.2	8.4	8.9
1986	27.4	27.3	8.1	8.8
1985	27.3	27.2	8.2	8.9
1984	27	27.1	9	8.7
1983	26.2	26.9	9.2	8.7
1982	26.4	27.2	9.1	8.8
1981	27.5	27.2	8.5	8.8
1980	27.6	27.2	8.6	8.7
1979	27.4	27.1	7.9	8.7
1978	26.8	27.1	8.6	8.8
1977	27.3	27.1	8.7	8.6
1976	26.5	27	9.1	8.5
1975	26.8	27	9.1	8.7
1974	26.7	27	8.8	8.7
1973	26.8	26.9	8.8	8.6
1972	26.2	26.9	8.5	8.6
1971	26.4	26.9	9.1	8.4
1970	26.7	27	8.7	8.5
1969	26.9	27	8.6	8.4
1968	26.2	27	8.6	8.5
1967	26.5	26.9	8.9	8.6
1966	26.9	26.9	8.2	8.5
1965	26.6	26.8	7.8	8.6
1964	26.3	26.8	8.4	8.6
1963	26.9	26.9	7.3	8.6
1962	27.2	27.2	7.6	8.7
1961	26.8	27	9	8.6
1960	26.9	27.2	8.8	8.5
1959	26.3	27.1	9.4	8.6
1958	27	27.1	8.5	8.6
1957	26.5	27.1	9.2	8.5
1956	26.7	26.9	8.1	8.7
1955	26.8	27	8.5	8.6
1954	27.5	27	8.3	8.6
1953	27.6	27	9.1	8.4
1952	27.1	27	8.2	8.6
1951	27.2	27	8.3	8.7
1950	26.3	27	8.5	8.5

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates: CMIP6 historical run, model median	United Kingdom	United Kingdom: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	28.728.1–29.6	–	10.19.1–10.9
2027	–	28.628.1–29.4	–	109.2–10.8
2028	–	28.628.1–29.5	–	10.19.1–11.1
2029	–	28.628–29.6	–	9.99.1–10.7
2030	–	28.828.2–29.5	–	9.88.9–10.8
2031	–	28.928.3–29.6	–	10.19–10.8
2032	–	28.828.2–29.4	–	10.29.1–11
2033	–	28.928.3–29.5	–	109.1–11
2034	–	2928.2–29.7	–	10.19.3–11
2035	–	2928.5–29.8	–	10.18.9–11
2036	–	2928.5–29.6	–	10.29.2–11.1
2037	–	29.128.5–29.7	–	109.2–10.8
2038	–	29.228.4–29.8	–	9.99.1–10.9
2039	–	29.128.5–29.8	–	109.2–10.7
2040	–	29.128.6–29.8	–	10.19.1–11.3
2041	–	29.128.6–29.9	–	9.99.2–11
2042	–	29.128.5–30.2	–	109.4–11
2043	–	29.228.6–30	–	10.19–11.2
2044	–	29.228.3–30.2	–	10.29.1–11
2045	–	29.328.7–30.2	–	10.19.3–10.9
2046	–	29.328.9–30.3	–	109.2–11
2047	–	29.528.9–30.2	–	10.49.5–11
2048	–	29.628.8–30.4	–	10.39.6–11.3
2049	–	29.428.7–30.2	–	10.39.3–11.8
2050	–	29.529–30.4	–	10.49.5–11.2
2051	–	29.628.9–30.4	–	10.29.2–11.5
2052	–	29.629–30.3	–	10.39.2–11.4
2053	–	29.628.6–30.4	–	10.29.2–11.5
2054	–	29.728.9–30.6	–	10.39.4–11.2
2055	–	29.828.9–30.7	–	10.39.3–11.5
2056	–	29.428.8–30.8	–	10.39.2–11.5
2057	–	29.629–30.8	–	10.49.5–11.7
2058	–	29.729–30.8	–	10.69.6–11.6
2059	–	29.729–30.6	–	10.49.3–11.4
2060	–	29.729.2–30.7	–	10.59.6–11.4
2061	–	29.829.2–30.6	–	10.59.7–11.4
2062	–	29.829–30.9	–	10.69.6–11.4
2063	–	29.929.2–30.9	–	10.49.7–11.6
2064	–	29.829.1–30.8	–	10.49.6–11.4
2065	–	29.829.1–31	–	10.49.4–11.8
2066	–	3029.6–31	–	10.59.2–11.6
2067	–	29.929.2–31.1	–	10.49.5–11.8
2068	–	29.929.2–30.8	–	10.59.5–11.7
2069	–	30.129.4–30.9	–	10.89.6–11.8
2070	–	30.129.4–31	–	10.39.5–12.1
2071	–	30.329.3–31.1	–	10.59.6–12
2072	–	30.229.2–31	–	10.69.4–11.9
2073	–	30.429.1–31	–	10.69.8–11.9
2074	–	30.329.1–31.2	–	10.79.7–11.8
2075	–	30.229.5–31.3	–	10.39.4–11.6
2076	–	30.229–31.2	–	10.69.6–12.1
2077	–	30.329.4–31.3	–	10.49.5–11.9
2078	–	30.229.4–31.1	–	10.59.4–12.2
2079	–	30.229.1–31.3	–	10.59.5–12.1
2080	–	30.229.3–31.2	–	10.49.5–11.9
2081	–	30.429.3–31.3	–	10.79.6–11.9
2082	–	30.329.4–31.3	–	10.69.4–12.2
2083	–	30.429.6–31.4	–	10.79.5–11.8
2084	–	30.529.5–31.3	–	10.99.5–11.8
2085	–	30.329.7–31.8	–	119.8–11.9
2086	–	30.529.5–31.6	–	10.99.9–12.4
2087	–	30.629.6–31.4	–	10.99.8–12.6
2088	–	30.529.5–31.5	–	11.29.8–12.1
2089	–	30.529.7–31.3	–	119.4–12.2
2090	–	30.429.7–31.7	–	11.29.5–12.2
2091	–	30.629.5–31.6	–	119.7–12.5
2092	–	30.529.7–31.5	–	10.99.7–12.3
2093	–	30.529.8–31.6	–	10.99.7–12.2
2094	–	30.529.8–31.7	–	10.89.5–12.3
2095	–	30.429.8–31.5	–	10.99.4–12.5
2096	–	30.529.7–31.5	–	10.99.5–12.2
2097	–	30.529.5–31.8	–	10.99.7–12.3
2098	–	30.729.7–31.9	–	11.19.7–12.4
2099	–	30.529.5–31.6	–	119.6–12.4
2100	–	30.529.6–31.7	–	119.8–12.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time