Bahamas

Temperature in Bahamas

Temperature in Bahamas: 24.7 °C in 1950 and 25.8 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
25.8 °C
Since 1950
+1.1 °C
Projected, 2100
27.3 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Temperature in BahamasTemperature in Bahamas: 24.7 °C in 1950 and 25.8 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 27.3 °C in 2100, between 26.6 °C and 27.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 27.3 °C in 2100, between 26.6 °C and 27.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 26.3 °C in 2023, the lowest 24.5 °C in 1968.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
202525.826
20242626
202326.326
202225.925.9
202125.825.9
20202625.9
20192625.8
201825.625.8
201725.725.8
201625.825.7
20152625.7
201425.725.6
201325.425.7
201225.225.6
201125.425.6
201024.925.8
200925.225.6
200825.325.5
200725.525.5
200625.225.6
200525.225.5
200425.125.4
200325.625.4
200225.625.5
200125.225.4
200024.925.5
199925.125.4
199825.625.4
199725.525.3
199624.825.2
199525.325.2
199425.525.1
199325.225.1
19922525
199125.425.2
199025.525.3
198925.225.2
19882525.1
198725.125.1
198625.125.1
198524.925.1
198424.824.9
198325.125
198225.325
198124.725.1
198025.125.1
19792525.1
197825.125
197724.925
197624.724.9
197525.324.9
197424.925
19732524.9
197225.325
197124.924.9
197024.724.8
196924.824.9
196824.524.9
196724.825
196624.724.9
196524.924.8
196425.224.9
19632524.9
196224.925
196125.125.1
19602525
195925.425.1
19582525
195725.325
195624.825
195524.825
195424.925
195325.225
195225.125
19512525.1
195024.725.1
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–26.125.6–26.5
2027–26.125.7–26.7
2028–26.125.7–26.5
2029–26.125.7–26.7
2030–26.125.6–26.6
2031–26.125.8–26.7
2032–26.325.7–26.7
2033–26.225.7–26.7
2034–26.125.7–26.9
2035–26.125.8–26.6
2036–26.225.8–26.7
2037–26.225.9–27
2038–26.326–26.7
2039–26.425.8–26.9
2040–26.325.8–26.9
2041–26.325.9–26.8
2042–26.425.8–26.9
2043–26.425.9–27
2044–26.425.9–27
2045–26.526–27.1
2046–26.425.8–27.1
2047–26.426.1–27.2
2048–26.626.1–27.1
2049–26.626.1–27.1
2050–26.626–27.2
2051–26.626.1–27.1
2052–26.525.9–27.2
2053–26.626–27.3
2054–26.726.3–27.1
2055–26.626.2–27.2
2056–26.726.2–27.2
2057–26.726.1–27.3
2058–26.726.2–27.3
2059–26.826.2–27.4
2060–26.826.2–27.3
2061–26.826.3–27.5
2062–26.826.2–27.4
2063–26.826.1–27.6
2064–26.926.2–27.4
2065–26.926.2–27.5
2066–26.926.3–27.4
2067–26.926.3–27.5
2068–26.926.3–27.6
2069–2726.4–27.6
2070–2726–27.7
2071–27.126.3–27.6
2072–27.126.2–27.5
2073–27.126.5–27.7
2074–2726.3–27.6
2075–2726.4–27.5
2076–2726.3–27.6
2077–2726.4–27.5
2078–2726.3–27.7
2079–27.126.5–27.6
2080–27.126.6–27.8
2081–27.126.6–27.6
2082–27.126.6–27.7
2083–2726.4–27.6
2084–27.126.7–27.8
2085–27.226.6–27.9
2086–27.126.4–27.6
2087–27.226.5–27.7
2088–27.326.5–28
2089–27.226.4–28
2090–27.326.6–28
2091–27.326.6–27.8
2092–27.326.6–27.8
2093–27.226.5–28
2094–27.226.5–28.1
2095–27.226.5–27.9
2096–27.226.6–27.8
2097–27.226.6–27.9
2098–27.326.5–28
2099–27.326.6–28
2100–27.326.6–27.9

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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