Barbados

Temperature in Barbados

Temperature in Barbados: 25.6 °C in 1950 and 26.9 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
26.9 °C
Since 1950
+1.3 °C
Rank, 2025
39 of 233
counting from the highest
Projected, 2100
28.1 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Temperature in BarbadosTemperature in Barbados: 25.6 °C in 1950 and 26.9 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 28.1 °C in 2100, between 27.3 °C and 28.7 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 28.1 °C in 2100, between 27.3 °C and 28.7 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 27.4 °C in 2024, the lowest 25.6 °C in 1976.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
202526.926.9
202427.426.9
202326.926.8
202226.426.9
202126.526.8
202026.726.7
201926.626.6
201826.326.7
201726.626.7
201626.726.5
201526.426.7
201426.326.5
201326.526.6
201226.526.6
201126.626.6
20102726.5
200926.526.5
200826.326.5
200726.526.3
200626.626.4
200526.926.4
200426.526.5
200326.426.4
200226.426.4
200126.226.4
200026.126.3
199926.426.3
199826.926.2
199726.426.2
199626.326.2
199526.526.1
19942626.1
199326.326
199226.225.9
19912626.2
199026.226.2
198925.926.1
198826.226.2
198726.426.1
198625.826.1
198525.726
198425.826
198326.325.9
19822626
198126.326
198026.325.9
197926.226
197826.126
19772626.1
197625.625.8
197525.625.9
197425.626
197326.226
19722625.9
197125.826
197026.325.8
196926.625.9
19682625.9
19672625.9
196626.225.8
196525.925.9
196425.925.8
196326.225.8
19622625.9
19612626
196026.126
195926.126
195826.526
195725.925.9
195625.925.9
195525.826
195425.826
195326.225.9
195226.226
195126.125.9
195025.625.9
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–26.926.4–27.4
2027–26.926.4–27.3
2028–26.926.5–27.4
2029–2726.5–27.6
2030–26.926.6–27.3
2031–2726.6–27.4
2032–27.226.8–27.5
2033–27.126.6–27.4
2034–26.926.6–27.5
2035–27.126.8–27.6
2036–27.126.8–27.4
2037–27.226.8–27.6
2038–27.226.8–27.7
2039–27.226.6–27.6
2040–27.126.7–27.6
2041–27.326.9–27.6
2042–27.226.8–27.7
2043–27.226.7–27.7
2044–27.226.7–27.6
2045–27.326.8–27.7
2046–27.426.9–27.8
2047–27.327–27.9
2048–27.427–28
2049–27.427–27.8
2050–27.426.8–27.9
2051–27.326.9–28
2052–27.627.1–28
2053–27.427–27.9
2054–27.527.1–28
2055–27.527.1–28
2056–27.427.1–28
2057–27.627–28
2058–27.427–28.1
2059–27.627.2–28.2
2060–27.727.1–28.2
2061–27.726.9–28.1
2062–27.526.8–28.3
2063–27.727.3–28.1
2064–27.627.2–28
2065–27.727.2–28.2
2066–27.727.1–28.4
2067–27.727.2–28.2
2068–27.727.2–28.2
2069–27.727–28.2
2070–27.627.1–28.4
2071–27.727.3–28.3
2072–27.727.3–28.4
2073–27.927.3–28.6
2074–27.827.2–28.4
2075–27.727.3–28.3
2076–27.827.2–28.4
2077–27.927.1–28.5
2078–27.927.2–28.4
2079–27.827.1–28.4
2080–27.827.2–28.4
2081–27.927.3–28.5
2082–27.927.4–28.4
2083–27.927.4–28.6
2084–2827.1–28.5
2085–2827.4–28.5
2086–2827.3–28.6
2087–2827.4–28.3
2088–27.927.3–28.6
2089–2827.3–28.6
2090–27.927.2–28.6
2091–2827.2–28.8
2092–2827.4–28.7
2093–27.927.5–28.8
2094–2827.4–28.8
2095–28.227.4–28.6
2096–28.127.5–28.9
2097–2827.5–28.6
2098–28.127.5–28.8
2099–28.127.3–28.6
2100–28.127.3–28.7

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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