French Polynesia

Tropical nights in French Polynesia

Tropical nights in French Polynesia: 362.1 nights in 1950 and 363 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
363 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+0.9 nights
Projected, 2100
364 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in French PolynesiaTropical nights in French Polynesia: 362.1 nights in 1950 and 363 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 364 nights in 2100, between 358.3 nights and 364.4 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 364 nights in 2100, between 358.3 nights and 364.4 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 363 nights in 2007, the lowest 361.8 nights in 1964.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearFrench Polynesia
2014363
2013363
2012362.8
2011362.9
2010362.7
2009362.6
2008362.9
2007363
2006362.9
2005362.8
2004362.8
2003362.8
2002362.9
2001362.7
2000362.7
1999362.8
1998362.7
1997362.5
1996362.7
1995362.4
1994362.2
1993362.2
1992362.2
1991362.5
1990362.4
1989362.4
1988362.7
1987362.6
1986362.5
1985362.6
1984362.4
1983362.4
1982362.4
1981362.4
1980362.5
1979362.5
1978362.3
1977362.3
1976362
1975362.1
1974362.4
1973362.2
1972362.1
1971362.1
1970362.1
1969362.2
1968362
1967362.1
1966362
1965361.8
1964361.8
1963361.9
1962362
1961362.2
1960362.1
1959362.4
1958362.4
1957362
1956362.4
1955362
1954362.1
1953362
1952362.1
1951362.1
1950362.1
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearFrench Polynesia
2015362.8357.1–363.9
2016363.2357.5–364.7
2017362.8356.9–363.6
2018362.9357.1–363.4
2019363357.1–363.9
2020363357.2–364.9
2021363357.1–363.7
2022363.1357.2–363.8
2023363.1357.4–363.8
2024363.2357.7–364.7
2025363.4357.4–364
2026363.3357.7–363.8
2027363.3357.7–363.7
2028363.2357.4–364.8
2029363357.4–363.9
2030363.2357.6–363.8
2031363.2357.3–363.9
2032363.1357.5–364.8
2033363.4357.8–364
2034363.3357.7–363.9
2035363.4358–364
2036363.6358.3–365.1
2037363.4357.3–363.9
2038363.5358–363.9
2039363.5357.9–364
2040363.5358–365
2041363.5357.8–364
2042363.5358.1–364
2043363.5357.5–363.8
2044363.6358.1–364.9
2045363.6357.9–364.1
2046363.5357.8–364
2047363.6357.5–364.1
2048363.4357.4–364.9
2049363.5358.1–364
2050363.5358.1–364.1
2051363.6358.1–364.1
2052363.6357.9–365.2
2053363.6358.2–364.4
2054363.9358.3–364.3
2055363.8358–364.2
2056363.7358.2–365.1
2057363.7357.9–364.1
2058363.8358.1–364.2
2059363.6358.1–364.1
2060363.8358–365.1
2061363.7358.2–364.2
2062363.6357.8–364.1
2063363.7358.1–364.1
2064363.8358.2–365.3
2065363.7358.3–364.3
2066363.9358.1–364.2
2067363.9358.2–364.3
2068363.8358.1–365.3
2069363.9358.3–364.3
2070363.9358.5–364.3
2071363.9358.6–364.3
2072363.9358.1–365.4
2073363.9358.1–364.4
2074363.9358.4–364.4
2075364358.6–364.5
2076363.9358.4–365.3
2077363.9358.2–364.2
2078363.9358.5–364.4
2079363.9358.4–364.3
2080364358.3–365.4
2081364358.7–364.5
2082364.1358.6–364.4
2083364358.4–364.4
2084364358.4–365.5
2085363.9358.1–364.3
2086364358.4–364.4
2087363.8358.6–364.3
2088364358.4–365.4
2089364.1358.6–364.6
2090364358.5–364.5
2091364358.3–364.4
2092363.9358.5–365.4
2093364.1358.5–364.5
2094364358.6–364.4
2095364358.5–364.5
2096364.2358.6–365.6
2097364.1358.6–364.4
2098364.1358.7–364.6
2099364.1358.7–364.6
2100364358.3–364.4

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time