Germany

Tropical nights in Germany

Tropical nights in Germany: 0 nights in 1950 and 0.8 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
0.8 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+0.8 nights
Projected, 2100
8.8 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in GermanyTropical nights in Germany: 0 nights in 1950 and 0.8 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 8.8 nights in 2100, between 1.9 nights and 21.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 8.8 nights in 2100, between 1.9 nights and 21.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 0.9 nights in 2010, the lowest 0 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearGermany
20140.8
20130.7
20120.9
20110.5
20100.9
20090.5
20080.2
20070.3
20060.3
20050.6
20040.7
20030.6
20020.2
20010.5
20000.2
19990.2
19980.1
19970.1
19960.2
19950.1
19940
19930
19920
19910.1
19900.1
19890.1
19880
19870
19860
19850.1
19840.1
19830
19820
19810
19800
19790
19780.1
19770
19760
19750
19740.1
19730
19720
19710
19700.1
19690
19680
19670
19660
19650
19640
19630
19620
19610
19600
19590.1
19580
19570
19560
19550
19540.1
19530
19520
19510
19500
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearGermany
20150.50–4
20160.80–4.3
20170.70–5.1
20180.70–3.5
20191.20–5
20201.20–5.7
202110–6
20221.40–5.7
20231.10–5.7
20241.20–5.2
20251.90–8.2
20261.90.1–6.5
20271.40–4.7
20281.50.1–5.5
202920.1–6.4
20301.60–6.1
20311.40–5.4
20321.50.1–7.6
20331.70–6.8
20342.10.2–8.3
20351.70.1–6.9
20362.80.1–7.8
20372.50–9.2
20382.20.1–9.7
203930–8.9
20402.30.1–7.1
20412.40.1–7.9
20422.90.4–8.9
20433.10.1–8.7
20443.10.2–10.1
204530.1–8.7
20463.10.5–10.9
20474.30.3–10.6
20483.70.2–12.9
20494.40.2–11.8
20503.10.6–9.3
20512.70.1–9.5
20523.60.2–11.5
20532.30.4–8.7
20543.50.4–10.3
20553.30.4–11.3
20564.50.7–14.3
205740.4–11.3
20585.80.7–15.5
20595.10.1–15.6
20604.40.6–12.3
20615.31–12.3
20625.51.6–14.2
20635.20.8–13.8
20644.10.5–12.2
20654.90.3–15.8
20665.30.7–11.8
20677.21.4–17.5
20683.90.9–11.3
20696.11.6–15
20705.80.6–14.9
20716.30.6–16.4
20726.21.9–13
20735.51.3–16.2
20745.50.5–16.7
20756.21.4–18.3
20767.41.1–20.1
20776.31.1–17.4
20786.50.7–21.4
20796.70.6–22.7
20806.51.2–14.9
20816.60.9–18.5
20827.91.4–22.5
20837.61.3–16.8
20845.91.1–15.9
20856.50.9–17.6
20867.90.8–23
20879.91.1–24.1
20888.92–18.4
20898.31.9–19.2
20906.20.8–24.1
20919.31.3–23.5
20928.61.7–19.2
20936.20.8–18.2
20949.32.4–20.4
20959.51.1–24
20968.10.2–21.4
20976.40.5–20.1
20989.31.4–22.1
20998.11.4–20.8
21008.81.9–21.1

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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