Kazakhstan

Days above 35 °C in Kazakhstan

Days above 35 °C in Kazakhstan: 8.5 days in 1950 and 15 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
15 days
Modelled
Since 1950
+6.5 days
Projected, 2100
34.8 days
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Days above 35 °C in KazakhstanDays above 35 °C in Kazakhstan: 8.5 days in 1950 and 15 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 34.8 days in 2100, between 21.2 days and 50.4 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 34.8 days in 2100, between 21.2 days and 50.4 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 15 days in 2014, the lowest 6 days in 1983.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearKazakhstan
201415
201313
201214.4
201113
201012.7
200913.5
200813.6
200713.3
200612.1
200512.6
200411.7
200312.2
200212.6
200111.8
200011.7
199911.5
199810.6
199712.2
199610.6
19959.7
19949.5
19937.9
19927.7
19919.2
199010.1
19898.9
19889
198710
19868.3
19859.1
19847.6
19836
19829.2
19819.2
19808.4
19798.9
19787.4
19779.4
19768
19757.9
19747.4
19737.2
19727.9
19717.7
19707.9
19697.6
19687.8
19677.4
19667.1
19657.6
19646.9
19637.8
19628.5
19618.1
19608.5
19598.3
19589.2
19579.2
19568.4
19558.3
19548.8
19537.8
19529
19518.6
19508.5
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearKazakhstan
201517.710–27.1
201616.18.8–25.8
201715.58.6–22.9
201816.58.7–26.2
201916.59.2–24.4
202015.79.7–24.8
202115.58.3–24
202216.99.8–26.7
202318.110.3–27.3
202417.28.9–25.5
202517.911.6–27
202617.49.5–25.8
202718.111.2–28.8
202818.510.1–29.1
202916.89.8–28.1
203018.910.4–29.3
203122.713.5–32
203221.812.4–31
203320.312.1–31.1
203418.310–29.7
203520.810.9–32.9
203621.611.8–32.1
203720.511.9–29.7
203821.912.2–30.7
20392113.3–32
204022.311.8–32.1
204122.614.5–35.7
204221.812.6–33.6
204322.414.1–32.2
204423.712.9–34.5
204522.913.3–33.5
204623.715–36.3
204724.314.2–37.3
204824.312.5–35.5
204925.715.8–37.1
205026.915.5–36.1
205124.114.7–36.5
205225.113.9–36.8
205326.115.1–37.3
205424.114.2–38
205525.215.2–37.4
205627.416.3–40
205728.218.2–41.1
205824.814.5–38.5
20592717.1–40.4
20602817.6–38.2
206127.717.1–39.6
206226.616.1–39.8
206328.714.8–42.2
20642711.8–42.7
206529.717.7–40.8
206625.916–38.4
206726.615.3–40.8
206829.718.2–43.5
206928.918–44
207028.417.9–43.7
207130.218.1–45.1
207229.719–42.7
207329.215.9–46.6
207431.619–48.2
20753119.4–43.6
207628.717–43.3
207730.118.6–44.9
207831.519.9–44.2
207931.118.3–44.1
208030.218.6–44.3
208130.418.9–43.7
208230.716.6–44.6
208333.320.2–47
208430.816.3–44.9
20853217.1–47.9
208630.617.4–44
208731.219.3–45.8
208832.219.1–48.2
208933.119.5–47.4
209034.121–49.1
209131.418.7–50.2
209233.519.2–47.8
209333.220.8–47
209431.620.1–50.9
20953420.5–48.9
209635.621.4–52.3
209736.121.8–49.9
209835.621.1–48.6
209933.519.5–47.5
210034.821.2–50.4

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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